Long Trade on TRUMP (BosPullback)
With 223.29 TRUMP at 1.457$ per unit. Take profit: 1.5462 (6.15 %) & Stop Loss: 1.4208 (2.46 %)
Long Trade on TRUMP (BosPullback)
With 223.29 TRUMP at 1.457$ per unit. Take profit: 1.5462 (6.15 %) & Stop Loss: 1.4208 (2.46 %)
Position
Entry 1.4566$
Qty 223.2897 TRUMP
Size 325.2437$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 1.5462 (+6.15%)
TP $ 20.01$
SL 1.4208 (-2.46%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2.5
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6437
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.09×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 4.25×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 48.98×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 28/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 29/07 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (-1) 29/07 17:00 Score : -6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bull_medium |
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4175 | r1h: 0.830% · r4h: 0.111% · r1d: -2.24% · r3d: -8.91% · ema21_slope: -0.0825% · dist_ema21: 0.131% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4800 | rs_1h: 0.770% · rs_4h: 1.230% · rs_1d: -1.60% · rs_3d: -6.93% · beta_24h: 1.547 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1995 | rvol_20: 0.35× · zscore_50: -0.505 · trend: -25.11% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8001 | ADX: 44.7 (trend) · Chop: 47.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.225% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.378% | 0.2R | -0.233% | 0.1R | 1.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.893% | 0.4R | -0.233% | 0.1R | 3.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.455% | 0.6R | -0.233% | 0.1R | 6.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.497% | 0.6R | -0.233% | 0.1R | 6.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.497% | 0.6R | -0.687% | 0.3R | 2.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.497% | 0.6R | -1.201% | 0.5R | 1.3× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.52 | bear_high | -4.75% | -0.83 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_high |
48%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | — | 0.48 | bear_high_confirmed | -1.56% | -0.63 | 29/07 16:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | near 0.3ATR | near 0.1ATR | 0.47 | bear_medium | -1.10% | +0.03 | 29/07 17:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | range_medium |
41%
|
noisy_chop 46% | early | — | — | — | range_low | -0.73% | +0.26 | 29/07 17:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 25b | — | 5.431×ATR | p50 | -1.118×ATR | p83 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 0.69×ATR | p0 | -0.523×ATR | p54 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.695×ATR | p9 | +0.366×ATR | p40 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 2.689×ATR | p31 | +0.657×ATR | p59 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
1.4227
148
0.4523
0.5505
0.4564
0.2657
0.6125
0.8721
0.2081
0.4935
0.5143
0.8633
0.6394
0.222
0.0209
-0.0541
0.3333
0.5416
-0.8376
0.25
0.75
1
4
1
0.4686
0.453
3.8538
0.55
0.8721
3.3609
-0.8376
0.1666
0.2728
0.92
0.1669
0.6124
0.5837
0.5664
0.222
-8.0238
2.2902
1
0
1
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1.4227
1.4752
1.4752
1.4227
1.4402
1.415
1.4276
0.8305
1.4911
1.4762
1.48365
0.9026
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.4566 | 1.4208 | 1.5462 | 2.5 | 1.1483 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.4208 - 1.4566 = -0.0358
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.4566 - 1.5462 = -0.0896
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0896 / -0.0358 = 2.5028
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 325.2437 | 100 | 223.2897 | 3.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0358 = -223.46
Taille de position USD = -223.46 x 1.4566 = -325.49
Donc, tu peux acheter -223.46 avec un stoploss a 1.4208
Avec un position size USD de -325.49$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -223.46 x -0.0358 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -223.46 x -0.0896 = 20.02
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.02$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.15 % | 20.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.46 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.99 $ | -2.46 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.4921 % | 101.4 % | 46 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.4566 | 1.4208 | 1.5462 | 2.5 | 1.1483 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.4208 - 1.4566 = -0.0358
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.4566 - 1.5462 = -0.0896
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0896 / -0.0358 = 2.5028
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.378% | 0.2R | -0.233% | 0.1R | 1.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.893% | 0.4R | -0.233% | 0.1R | 3.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.455% | 0.6R | -0.233% | 0.1R | 6.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.497% | 0.6R | -0.233% | 0.1R | 6.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.497% | 0.6R | -0.687% | 0.3R | 2.2× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.497% | 0.6R | -1.201% | 0.5R | 1.3× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
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