Short Trade on DOGE (BosPullback)
With 7415.17 DOGE at 0.0701$ per unit. Take profit: 0.06739 (3.85 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07116 (1.53 %)
Short Trade on DOGE (BosPullback)
With 7415.17 DOGE at 0.0701$ per unit. Take profit: 0.06739 (3.85 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07116 (1.53 %)
Position
Entry 0.07009$
Qty 7415.1659 DOGE
Size 519.6993$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)
Risk Setup
TP 0.06739 (+3.85%)
TP $ 20.02$
SL 0.07116 (-1.53%)
SL $ 7.93$
RR 2.52
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6417
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.35×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.15×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 28/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 29/07 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 29/07 19:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4632 | r1h: 0.307% · r4h: -1.280% · r1d: -0.40% · r3d: -4.44% · ema21_slope: -0.0414% · dist_ema21: -0.386% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4638 | rs_1h: 0.089% · rs_4h: -0.525% · rs_1d: -0.77% · rs_3d: -2.31% · beta_24h: 1.042 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2879 | rvol_20: 0.11× · zscore_50: -0.709 · trend: 51.38% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6667 | ADX: 26.3 (trend) · Chop: 44.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.853% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.170% | 0.1R | -0.502% | 0.3R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.348% | 0.2R | -0.845% | 0.6R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.348% | 0.2R | -0.845% | 0.6R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.676% | 0.4R | -0.845% | 0.6R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.676% | 0.4R | -0.845% | 0.6R | 0.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.676% | 0.4R | -1.273% | 0.8R | 0.5× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.79 | bear_high | -4.75% | -0.43 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | near -0.2ATR | — | 0.84 | range_high | -0.63% | -0.30 | 29/07 16:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | normal | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | near 0.3ATR | near 0.4ATR | 0.74 | range_medium | -0.54% | -0.06 | 29/07 19:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | range_medium |
41%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.78 | range_low | -0.03% | -0.05 | 29/07 19:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 25b | — | 3.156×ATR | p31 | -0.237×ATR | p27 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 22b | — | 3.704×ATR | p50 | -0.347×ATR | p37 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 2.007×ATR | p24 | -0.167×ATR | p21 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 12b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | +0.484×ATR | p55 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.068829
146
0.263
0.6975
0.3345
0.2056
0.44
1
0.1626
0.4314
0.2948
0.5937
0.7017
0.241
-0.0981
-0.0597
0
-0.2997
-0.8608
0.35
0.65
-1
3
1
0.5888
0.7064
3.802
0.65
1.9982
4.4588
-0.8608
0
0.3491
0.68
-0.0215
0.4604
0.5882
0.7706
0.241
-6.6755
2.12
1
0
0
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0.068829
0.071107
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0.069764
0.069152
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0.7628
0.071107
0.070172
0.0706395
0.8355
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (7)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:38 | 0.07008600 | -0.006% |
| 2 | 19:43 | 0.07008600 | -0.006% |
| 3 | 19:49 | 0.07011000 | +0.029% |
| 4 | 19:55 | 0.07011000 | +0.029% |
| 5 | 20:32 | 0.07014200 | +0.074% |
| 6 | 20:38 | 0.07013500 | +0.064% |
| 7 | 20:44 | 0.07013500 | +0.064% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07009 | 0.07116 | 0.06739 | 2.52 | 0.06805 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07116 - 0.07009 = 0.00107
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07009 - 0.06739 = 0.0027
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0027 / 0.00107 = 2.5234
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 519.6993 | 100 | 7415.1659 | 5.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00107 = 7476.64
Taille de position USD = 7476.64 x 0.07009 = 524.04
Donc, tu peux acheter 7476.64 avec un stoploss a 0.07116
Avec un position size USD de 524.04$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 7476.64 x 0.00107 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 7476.64 x 0.0027 = 20.19
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.19$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.85 % | 20.02 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.53 % | 7.93 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.93 $ | -1.53 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5851 % | 103.83 % | 143 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07009 | 0.07116 | 0.06739 | 2.52 | 0.06805 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07116 - 0.07009 = 0.00107
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07009 - 0.06739 = 0.0027
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0027 / 0.00107 = 2.5234
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.170% | 0.1R | -0.502% | 0.3R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.348% | 0.2R | -0.845% | 0.6R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.348% | 0.2R | -0.845% | 0.6R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.676% | 0.4R | -0.845% | 0.6R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.676% | 0.4R | -0.845% | 0.6R | 0.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.676% | 0.4R | -1.273% | 0.8R | 0.5× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
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