Long Trade on JUP (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 1208.12 JUP at 0.198$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2027 (2.53 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1911 (3.34 %)
Long Trade on JUP (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 1208.12 JUP at 0.198$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2027 (2.53 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1911 (3.34 %)
Position
Entry 0.1977$
Qty 1208.1234 JUP
Size 238.8702$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2027 (+2.53%)
TP $ 6.04$
SL 0.1911 (-3.34%)
SL $ 7.97$
RR 0.76
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9041
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.08×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.34×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.43×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 28/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 29/07 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 29/07 19:00 Score : +1 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bear
— |
expansion
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6518 | r1h: 0.873% · r4h: 1.934% · r1d: 3.12% · r3d: 3.16% · ema21_slope: 0.0899% · dist_ema21: 1.973% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6406 | rs_1h: 0.777% · rs_4h: 1.280% · rs_1d: 3.01% · rs_3d: 5.28% · beta_24h: 1.419 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1790 | rvol_20: 0.20× · zscore_50: -0.928 · trend: -19.35% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5303 | ADX: 17.5 (weak) · Chop: 52.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.425% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.172% | 0.1R | -1.346% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.759% | 0.2R | -1.346% | 0.4R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.204% | 0.4R | -1.346% | 0.4R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.204% | 0.4R | -1.629% | 0.5R | 0.7× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.204% | 0.4R | -1.679% | 0.5R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.204% | 0.4R | -1.679% | 0.5R | 0.7× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
32%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.67 | bear_high | -4.75% | -0.74 | 28/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | range_high |
34%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.63 | range_high | -0.63% | +0.51 | 29/07 16:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | explosive | expansion | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.64 | range_medium | -0.40% | +0.39 | 29/07 19:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_medium |
58%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.63 | range_low | -0.03% | +0.04 | 29/07 19:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 27b | — | 4.476×ATR | p45 | +0.527×ATR | p51 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 12b | — | 4.05×ATR | p71 | +0.687×ATR | p63 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 2.777×ATR | p54 | +0.953×ATR | p80 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 14b | — | 5.759×ATR | p87 | +1.324×ATR | p85 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20:10 | 0.19772000 | +0.01% |
| 2 | 22:10 | 0.19884000 | +0.577% |
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1977 | 0.1911 | 0.2027 | 0.76 | 0.2606 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1911 - 0.1977 = -0.0066
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1977 - 0.2027 = -0.005
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.005 / -0.0066 = 0.7576
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 238.8702 | 100 | 1208.1234 | 2.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0066 = -1212.12
Taille de position USD = -1212.12 x 0.1977 = -239.64
Donc, tu peux acheter -1212.12 avec un stoploss a 0.1911
Avec un position size USD de -239.64$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1212.12 x -0.0066 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1212.12 x -0.005 = 6.06
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.06$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.53 % | 6.04 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.34 % | 7.97 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -2.17 $ | -0.91 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.6287 % | 48.79 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1977 | 0.1911 | 0.2027 | 0.76 | 0.2606 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1911 - 0.1977 = -0.0066
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1977 - 0.2027 = -0.005
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.005 / -0.0066 = 0.7576
Array
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Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.172% | 0.1R | -1.346% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.759% | 0.2R | -1.346% | 0.4R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.204% | 0.4R | -1.346% | 0.4R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.204% | 0.4R | -1.629% | 0.5R | 0.7× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.204% | 0.4R | -1.679% | 0.5R | 0.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.204% | 0.4R | -1.679% | 0.5R | 0.7× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
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