Short Trade on PENGU (CatchTheWave)
With 331125.83 PENGU at 0.0059$ per unit. Take profit: 0.00585 (0.81 %) & Stop Loss: 0.005922 (0.41 %)
Short Trade on PENGU (CatchTheWave)
With 331125.83 PENGU at 0.0059$ per unit. Take profit: 0.00585 (0.81 %) & Stop Loss: 0.005922 (0.41 %)
Position
Entry 0.005898$
Qty 331125.8278 PENGU
Size 1952.9801$ (margin 100$) (leverage 20)
Risk Setup
TP 0.00585 (+0.81%)
TP $ 15.89$
SL 0.005922 (-0.41%)
SL $ 7.95$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2506
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | 0.10×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.72×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 29/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 29/07 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 29/07 22:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.760212 15m : 0.767378 |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bull_medium_confirmed 5m_regime : bull_low_confirmed |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4956 | r1h: 1.599% · r4h: 2.007% · r1d: -0.80% · r3d: -8.15% · ema21_slope: -0.1259% · dist_ema21: 0.523% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5089 | rs_1h: 1.040% · rs_4h: 1.718% · rs_1d: -1.36% · rs_3d: -6.39% · beta_24h: 1.496 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1576 | rvol_20: 0.25× · zscore_50: -0.636 · trend: -62.58% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6782 | ADX: 33.0 (trend) · Chop: 50.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.147% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.221% | 3.0R | -0.119% | 0.3R | 10.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.543% | 3.8R | -0.119% | 0.3R | 13.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.848% | 4.5R | -0.119% | 0.3R | 15.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.984% | 4.9R | -0.119% | 0.3R | 16.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.984% | 4.9R | -0.119% | 0.3R | 16.7× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | pullback | bear_trend | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | near -1.7ATR | — | 0.75 | bear_high | -5.16% | -0.67 | 29/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.73 | range_high | +0.00% | -0.59 | 29/07 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.55 | range_medium | +0.09% | +0.01 | 29/07 22:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_medium_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 53% | late | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.70 | range_low | +0.49% | +0.20 | 29/07 22:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 26b | — | 3.464×ATR | p28 | -0.686×ATR | p64 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 1.931×ATR | p0 | +0.024×ATR | p2 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 5b | — | 3.779×ATR | p86 | +1.411×ATR | p92 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 25b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | +1.622×ATR | p90 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
63987.7
0.00406654
64248
0.760212
64005.6
0.00339518
64223
0.767378
64174.9
0.00174626
64287
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0.005652
194
0.4134
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0.4965
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0.4931
0.6724
0.2996
-0.0232
-0.0657
0.6667
1.2355
0.0053
0.3
0.7
-1
5
0.9474
0.4862
0.5263
3.3187
0.55
1.8605
3.8967
0.0053
0.1836
0.2891
0.48
0.0077
0.5426
0.5538
0.8243
0.2996
-8.7902
3.7608
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22:52 | 0.00589800 | 0% |
| 2 | 22:58 | 0.00589000 | -0.136% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 21:05:00 | 0.005652 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 21:50:00 | 0.0057 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 22:25:00 | 0.005765 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 22:40:00 | 0.005739 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 23:10:00 | 0.005731 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 23:20:00 | 0.005755 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 00:15:00 | 0.005776 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 00:40:00 | 0.00574 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 02:35:00 | 0.005851 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 02:45:00 | 0.005907 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 07:15:00 | 0.005832 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 07:45:00 | 0.00591 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 09:30:00 | 0.005905 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 14:00:00 | 0.005864 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 15:15:00 | 0.005763 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 18:00:00 | 0.005892 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 21:00:00 | 0.005652 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 22:15:00 | 0.005765 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 23:15:00 | 0.005731 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 02:45:00 | 0.005907 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 21:00:00 | 0.006285 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-27 09:00:00 | 0.006493 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 01:00:00 | 0.005836 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 08:00:00 | 0.005966 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 13:00:00 | 0.005805 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 16:00:00 | 0.006128 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 04:00:00 | 0.005807 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 18:00:00 | 0.005892 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 21:00:00 | 0.005652 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 02:00:00 | 0.005904 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.005898 | 0.005922 | 0.00585 | 2 | 0.006098 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.005922 - 0.005898 = 2.4000000000001E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.005898 - 0.00585 = 4.7999999999999E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 4.7999999999999E-5 / 2.4000000000001E-5 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1952.9801 | 100 | 331125.8278 | 20.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 2.4000000000001E-5 = 333333.33
Taille de position USD = 333333.33 x 0.005898 = 1966
Donc, tu peux acheter 333333.33 avec un stoploss a 0.005922
Avec un position size USD de 1966$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 333333.33 x 2.4000000000001E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 333333.33 x 4.7999999999999E-5 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.81 % | 15.89 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.41 % | 7.95 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.89 $ | 0.81 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1187 % | 29.17 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.005898 | 0.005922 | 0.00585 | 2 | 0.006098 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.005922 - 0.005898 = 2.4000000000001E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.005898 - 0.00585 = 4.7999999999999E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 4.7999999999999E-5 / 2.4000000000001E-5 = 2
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.221% | 3.0R | -0.119% | 0.3R | 10.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.543% | 3.8R | -0.119% | 0.3R | 13.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.848% | 4.5R | -0.119% | 0.3R | 15.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.984% | 4.9R | -0.119% | 0.3R | 16.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.984% | 4.9R | -0.119% | 0.3R | 16.7× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
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