Long Trade on JUP (CatchTheWave)
With 10707.93 JUP at 0.197$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1988 (0.76 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1965 (0.41 %)
Long Trade on JUP (CatchTheWave)
With 10707.93 JUP at 0.197$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1988 (0.76 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1965 (0.41 %)
Position
Entry 0.1973$
Qty 10707.9279 JUP
Size 2112.2459$ (margin 100$) (leverage 21)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1988 (+0.76%)
TP $ 16.06$
SL 0.1965 (-0.41%)
SL $ 8.57$
RR 1.88
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9004
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.06×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.73×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.56×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 29/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 29/07 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 29/07 23:00 Score : +3 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.661024 15m : 0.594183 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6430 | r1h: 0.387% · r4h: 1.873% · r1d: 4.16% · r3d: 4.10% · ema21_slope: 0.1069% · dist_ema21: 2.402% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6309 | rs_1h: 0.319% · rs_4h: 1.296% · rs_1d: 3.63% · rs_3d: 5.43% · beta_24h: 1.400 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1420 | rvol_20: 0.17× · zscore_50: -0.912 · trend: -47.92% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5754 | ADX: 19.0 (weak) · Chop: 48.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.381% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.411% | 1.0R | -0.715% | 1.8R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.411% | 1.0R | -1.429% | 3.5R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.411% | 1.0R | -1.429% | 3.5R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.411% | 1.0R | -1.480% | 3.7R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.542% | 1.3R | -1.480% | 3.7R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
36%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | — | 0.67 | bear_high | -5.16% | -0.23 | 29/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
51%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | — | near -0.7ATR | 0.63 | range_high | -0.19% | +0.55 | 29/07 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | explosive | expansion | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.65 | range_medium | -0.07% | +0.23 | 29/07 23:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | compression | bull_medium |
66%
|
noisy_chop 47% | early | — | — | 0.59 | range_low | +0.33% | +0.07 | 29/07 23:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 28b | — | 4.675×ATR | p55 | +0.548×ATR | p53 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 13b | — | 4.325×ATR | p74 | +0.754×ATR | p68 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 7b | — | 3.088×ATR | p67 | +0.477×ATR | p49 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 2.261×ATR | p17 | -0.528×ATR | p38 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64022.5
0.00316156
64225
0.661024
64037.2
0.00246284
64195
0.594183
64189.9
-0.000201396
64177
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0.18982
192
0.6233
0.6075
0.35
0.2971
0.3933
1
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0.5351
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0.5936
0.7173
0.9091
0.1263
0.0905
1
1.0819
2.1661
0.6
0.4
-1
7
0.9474
0.4584
0.6403
3.172
0.55
1.3929
3.6128
2.1661
0.1457
0.1984
0.64
0.0144
0.5695
0.578
0.7424
0.9091
-0.7862
7.8655
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23:27 | 0.19726000 | -0.02% |
| 2 | 23:33 | 0.19709000 | -0.106% |
| 3 | 00:08 | 0.19680000 | -0.253% |
| 4 | 00:14 | 0.19655000 | -0.38% |
Market Structure Score: 3
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 19:10:00 | 0.19777 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 20:25:00 | 0.18982 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 21:05:00 | 0.18983 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 22:45:00 | 0.19494 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 00:10:00 | 0.19821 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 00:55:00 | 0.19504 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 01:45:00 | 0.1992 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 02:25:00 | 0.20008 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 03:20:00 | 0.19721 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 08:15:00 | 0.19187 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 11:00:00 | 0.1976 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 12:15:00 | 0.19369 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 15:15:00 | 0.19235 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 18:45:00 | 0.19879 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 20:15:00 | 0.18982 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 00:00:00 | 0.19821 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 00:45:00 | 0.19504 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 02:15:00 | 0.20008 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 03:15:00 | 0.19747 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 20:00:00 | 0.18768 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-27 22:00:00 | 0.17741 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 06:00:00 | 0.18389 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 11:00:00 | 0.18129 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 15:00:00 | 0.19197 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 04:00:00 | 0.18736 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 11:00:00 | 0.1976 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 18:00:00 | 0.19879 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 20:00:00 | 0.18982 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 02:00:00 | 0.20008 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1973 | 0.1965 | 0.1988 | 1.88 | 0.2556 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1965 - 0.1973 = -0.0008
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1973 - 0.1988 = -0.0015
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0015 / -0.0008 = 1.875
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2112.2459 | 100 | 10707.9279 | 21.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0008 = -10000
Taille de position USD = -10000 x 0.1973 = -1973
Donc, tu peux acheter -10000 avec un stoploss a 0.1965
Avec un position size USD de -1973$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -10000 x -0.0008 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -10000 x -0.0015 = 15
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.76 % | 16.06 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.41 % | 8.57 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.56 $ | -0.41 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5474 % | 134.99 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1973 | 0.1965 | 0.1988 | 1.88 | 0.2556 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1965 - 0.1973 = -0.0008
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1973 - 0.1988 = -0.0015
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0015 / -0.0008 = 1.875
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.411% | 1.0R | -0.715% | 1.8R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.411% | 1.0R | -1.429% | 3.5R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.411% | 1.0R | -1.429% | 3.5R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.411% | 1.0R | -1.480% | 3.7R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.542% | 1.3R | -1.480% | 3.7R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
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