Short Trade on ZRO (momentum_rotation_score)
With 227.53 ZRO at 0.766$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.8015 (4.59 %)
Short Trade on ZRO (momentum_rotation_score)
With 227.53 ZRO at 0.766$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.8015 (4.59 %)
Position
Entry 0.7663$
Qty 227.5296 ZRO
Size 174.3559$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0 (+100%)
TP $ 174.36$
SL 0.8015 (-4.59%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0207
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -1.04×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.21×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 29/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 30/07 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 30/07 01:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3114 | r1h: 1.346% · r4h: -0.587% · r1d: -3.57% · r3d: -15.13% · ema21_slope: -0.2547% · dist_ema21: -1.203% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3876 | rs_1h: 1.190% · rs_4h: -0.355% · rs_1d: -3.65% · rs_3d: -13.08% · beta_24h: 1.639 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1675 | rvol_20: 0.47× · zscore_50: -0.859 · trend: -31.38% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5395 | ADX: 26.7 (trend) · Chop: 60.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.665% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.509% | 0.1R | -1.066% | 0.2R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.509% | 0.1R | -1.066% | 0.2R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +0.509% | 0.1R | -2.155% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 36 |
| 4h | +0.509% | 0.1R | -2.267% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.509% | 0.1R | -2.575% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.509% | 0.1R | -2.575% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | near -1.2ATR | — | 0.51 | bear_high | -5.16% | -0.96 | 29/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | near -1.0ATR | — | 0.43 | range_high | -0.48% | -0.82 | 30/07 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.36 | range_medium | -0.19% | -0.28 | 30/07 01:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | pullback | bear_trend | moderate | grind | compression | bear_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.54 | range_low | +0.15% | +0.07 | 30/07 01:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 3.31×ATR | p14 | -0.918×ATR | p82 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 16b | — | 7.761×ATR | p85 | -0.981×ATR | p78 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 1.226×ATR | p0 | +0.095×ATR | p9 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 1.527×ATR | p3 | +0.618×ATR | p46 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7663 | 0.8015 | 1.5121 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.8015 - 0.7663 = 0.0352
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.7663 - = 0.7663
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.7663 / 0.0352 = 21.7699
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 174.3559 | 100 | 227.5296 | 2.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0352 = 227.27
Taille de position USD = 227.27 x 0.7663 = 174.16
Donc, tu peux acheter 227.27 avec un stoploss a 0.8015
Avec un position size USD de 174.16$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 227.27 x 0.0352 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 227.27 x 0.7663 = 174.16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 174.16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 100 % | 174.36 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.59 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -3.44 $ | -1.98 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.1545 % | 46.9 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7663 | 0.8015 | 1.5121 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.8015 - 0.7663 = 0.0352
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.7663 - = 0.7663
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.7663 / 0.0352 = 21.7699
Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.509% | 0.1R | -1.066% | 0.2R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.509% | 0.1R | -1.066% | 0.2R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +0.509% | 0.1R | -2.155% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 36 |
| 4h | +0.509% | 0.1R | -2.267% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.509% | 0.1R | -2.575% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.509% | 0.1R | -2.575% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
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