Short Trade on ZRO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 266.93 ZRO at 0.766$ per unit. Take profit: 0.7471 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.7963 (3.91 %)
30 Jul 2026 at 02:10:07
hyperliquid
ZRO
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
30 Jul 2026 02:10
→ 05:10
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.7663$
Qty 266.9331 ZRO
Size 204.5508$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.7471 (+2.51%)
TP $ 5.13$
SL 0.7963 (-3.91%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 0.64
Status
loss
PnL
-1.78%
/ -3.63$
MAE -2.15%
MFE +0.51%
0.1R
expires
30 Jul 05:20
Exit
rank_decay: short rank=24 <= threshold=37/47
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 53151)
#48 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/07/2026 02:00
score du 30/07/2026 02:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0207
Quality Score
0.405
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#48 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#48 / 49
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -1.04×ATR |
| 1d | near | -1.21×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
N/A
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/07 02:00
30/07 02:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 29/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 30/07 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 30/07 01:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #1158
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.80
Snapshot évalué :
30/07 02:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
30/07/2026 02:00
Score brut
0.4047
Score SMA
0.3917
Rank
#48
/ 49
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0207
Rank Norm SMA
0.0259
Calculé le
30/07/2026 02:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3114 | r1h: 1.346% · r4h: -0.587% · r1d: -3.57% · r3d: -15.13% · ema21_slope: -0.2547% · dist_ema21: -1.203% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3876 | rs_1h: 1.190% · rs_4h: -0.355% · rs_1d: -3.65% · rs_3d: -13.08% · beta_24h: 1.639 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1675 | rvol_20: 0.47× · zscore_50: -0.859 · trend: -31.38% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5395 | ADX: 26.7 (trend) · Chop: 60.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.665% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
3.2h)
Initial Risk: -3.915%
(0.0300)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.509% | 0.1R | -1.066% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.509% | 0.1R | -1.066% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 3.2h ★ | +0.509% | 0.1R | -2.155% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 37 |
| 4h | +0.509% | 0.1R | -2.267% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.509% | 0.1R | -2.575% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.509% | 0.1R | -2.575% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.52
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | near -1.2ATR | — | 0.51 | bear_high | -5.16% | -0.96 | 29/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | near -1.0ATR | — | 0.43 | range_high | -0.48% | -0.82 | 30/07 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.36 | range_medium | -0.19% | -0.28 | 30/07 01:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | pullback | bear_trend | moderate | grind | compression | bear_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.54 | range_low | +0.15% | +0.07 | 30/07 01:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 3.31×ATR | p14 | -0.918×ATR | p82 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 16b | — | 7.761×ATR | p85 | -0.981×ATR | p78 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 1.226×ATR | p0 | +0.095×ATR | p9 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 1.527×ATR | p3 | +0.618×ATR | p46 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.79627006
- tp_price: 0.7471425
- atr: 0.01198803
- expires_at: 2026-07-30T12:10:07+00:00
Details
- rank: 50
- total: 52
- score: 0.3114
- delta_2h: -0.0177
- extension_atr: -0.47
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0207
- confidence: 0.961
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:10 | 0.76630000 | 0% |
| 2 | 04:10 | 0.76424000 | -0.269% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7663 | 0.7963 | 0.7471 | 0.64 | 1.5105 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.7663
- Stop Loss: 0.7963
- Take Profit: 0.7471
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7963 - 0.7663 = 0.03
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.7663 - 0.7471 = 0.0192
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0192 / 0.03 = 0.64
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 204.5508 | 100 | 266.9331 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.03
Taille de position = 8 / 0.03 = 266.67
Taille de position USD = 266.67 x 0.7663 = 204.35
Donc, tu peux acheter 266.67 avec un stoploss a 0.7963
Avec un position size USD de 204.35$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 266.67 x 0.03 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 266.67 x 0.0192 = 5.12
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.12$
Résumé
- Taille de position 266.67
- Taille de position USD 204.35
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 5.12
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.64
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 5.13 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.91 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -3.63 $ | -1.78 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.1545 % | 55.03 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7663 | 0.7963 | 0.7471 | 0.64 | 1.5105 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.7663
- Stop Loss: 0.7963
- Take Profit: 0.7471
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7963 - 0.7663 = 0.03
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.7663 - 0.7471 = 0.0192
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0192 / 0.03 = 0.64
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
3.2h)
Initial Risk: -3.915%
(0.0300)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.509% | 0.1R | -1.066% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.509% | 0.1R | -1.066% | 0.3R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 3.2h ★ | +0.509% | 0.1R | -2.155% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 37 |
| 4h | +0.509% | 0.1R | -2.267% | 0.6R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.509% | 0.1R | -2.575% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.509% | 0.1R | -2.575% | 0.7R | 0.2× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
Commentaires
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