Long Trade on JUP (CatchTheWave)
With 13529.51 JUP at 0.195$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1959 (0.62 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1941 (0.31 %)
Long Trade on JUP (CatchTheWave)
With 13529.51 JUP at 0.195$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1959 (0.62 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1941 (0.31 %)
Position
Entry 0.1947$
Qty 13529.5112 JUP
Size 2633.79$ (margin 100$) (leverage 26)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1959 (+0.62%)
TP $ 16.24$
SL 0.1941 (-0.31%)
SL $ 8.12$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9142
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.03×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.25×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.68×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 29/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 30/07 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 30/07 03:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.643213 15m : 0.584901 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bear_low |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5307 | r1h: 0.046% · r4h: -1.021% · r1d: 1.33% · r3d: 1.62% · ema21_slope: 0.0742% · dist_ema21: 0.402% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5446 | rs_1h: 0.093% · rs_4h: -0.742% · rs_1d: 1.99% · rs_3d: 3.76% · beta_24h: 1.406 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1394 | rvol_20: 0.20× · zscore_50: -0.910 · trend: -53.88% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5453 | ADX: 16.5 (weak) · Chop: 49.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.291% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.745% | 2.4R | -0.164% | 0.5R | 4.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.878% | 2.9R | -0.164% | 0.5R | 5.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.971% | 3.2R | -0.164% | 0.5R | 5.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.885% | 6.1R | -0.164% | 0.5R | 11.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.885% | 6.1R | -0.164% | 0.5R | 11.5× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | — | 0.67 | bear_high | -5.25% | -0.34 | 29/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | range_high |
33%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.63 | range_high | -0.41% | +0.39 | 30/07 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.65 | range_medium | -0.27% | +0.06 | 30/07 03:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | grind | compression | range_medium |
38%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | — | 0.58 | range_low | +0.01% | -0.19 | 30/07 03:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 28b | — | 4.767×ATR | p55 | +0.303×ATR | p34 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 14b | — | 3.954×ATR | p69 | +0.324×ATR | p31 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.944×ATR | p19 | -0.167×ATR | p16 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 2.169×ATR | p10 | -0.695×ATR | p51 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64041.6
-0.000509946
64009
0.643213
64092
-0.00129517
64009
0.584901
64176.2
-0.00224717
64032
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0.20008
194
0.7317
0.5359
0.373
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0.4317
1
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0.5942
0.7113
0.2347
0.63
0.7922
0.0279
0.059
1
0.0792
1.1793
0.65
0.35
1
5
0.9474
0.4499
0.4768
3.6581
0.5
1.1438
3.6282
1.1793
0.2034
0.2415
0.18
-0.11
0.56
0.4799
0.7324
0.7922
-2.1325
8.1316
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:33 | 0.19467000 | -0.015% |
| 2 | 03:38 | 0.19461000 | -0.046% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 00:55:00 | 0.19504 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 01:45:00 | 0.1992 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 02:25:00 | 0.20008 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 03:30:00 | 0.19704 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 03:45:00 | 0.19811 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 05:00:00 | 0.19448 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 05:30:00 | 0.19674 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 06:20:00 | 0.1952 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 07:00:00 | 0.19632 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 07:30:00 | 0.19467 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 15:15:00 | 0.19235 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 18:45:00 | 0.19879 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 20:15:00 | 0.18982 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 00:00:00 | 0.19821 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 00:45:00 | 0.19504 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 02:15:00 | 0.20008 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 05:00:00 | 0.19448 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 05:30:00 | 0.19674 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 07:00:00 | 0.19632 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 07:30:00 | 0.19467 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 22:00:00 | 0.17741 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 06:00:00 | 0.18389 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 11:00:00 | 0.18129 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 15:00:00 | 0.19197 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 04:00:00 | 0.18736 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 11:00:00 | 0.1976 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 18:00:00 | 0.19879 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 20:00:00 | 0.18982 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 02:00:00 | 0.20008 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 05:00:00 | 0.19448 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1947 | 0.1941 | 0.1959 | 2 | 0.233 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1941 - 0.1947 = -0.00060000000000002
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1947 - 0.1959 = -0.0012
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0012 / -0.00060000000000002 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2633.79 | 100 | 13529.5112 | 26.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00060000000000002 = -13333.33
Taille de position USD = -13333.33 x 0.1947 = -2596
Donc, tu peux acheter -13333.33 avec un stoploss a 0.1941
Avec un position size USD de -2596$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -13333.33 x -0.00060000000000002 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -13333.33 x -0.0012 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.62 % | 16.24 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.31 % | 8.12 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.23 $ | 0.62 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1644 % | 53.34 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1947 | 0.1941 | 0.1959 | 2 | 0.233 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1941 - 0.1947 = -0.00060000000000002
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1947 - 0.1959 = -0.0012
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0012 / -0.00060000000000002 = 2
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Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.745% | 2.4R | -0.164% | 0.5R | 4.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.878% | 2.9R | -0.164% | 0.5R | 5.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.971% | 3.2R | -0.164% | 0.5R | 5.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.885% | 6.1R | -0.164% | 0.5R | 11.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.885% | 6.1R | -0.164% | 0.5R | 11.5× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
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