Short Trade on KAITO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 96.06 KAITO at 1.162$ per unit. Take profit: 1.1325 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1.2448 (7.17 %)
30 Jul 2026 at 05:10:06
hyperliquid
KAITO
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
30 Jul 2026 05:10
→ 06:40
· 1 hour
Position
Entry 1.1615$
Qty 96.0574 KAITO
Size 111.5706$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 1.1325 (+2.5%)
TP $ 2.79$
SL 1.2448 (-7.17%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.35
Status
win
PnL
+2.50%
/ +2.79$
MAE -0.62%
MFE +15.07%
2.1R
expires
30 Jul 11:10
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 53315)
#47 / 47
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/07/2026 05:00
score du 30/07/2026 05:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5315
Quality Score
0.380
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#47 / 47
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-4
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.17 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#47 / 47
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-4
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.17 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.22×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.67×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 5.74×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
N/A
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
14.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/07 05:02
30/07 05:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 29/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 30/07 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 30/07 04:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #1161
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.80
Snapshot évalué :
30/07 05:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
30/07/2026 05:00
Score brut
0.3799
Score SMA
0.6011
Rank
#47
/ 47
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5315
Rank Norm SMA
0.8189
Calculé le
30/07/2026 05:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3024 | r1h: -3.181% · r4h: -3.463% · r1d: -6.10% · r3d: -1.52% · ema21_slope: -0.2702% · dist_ema21: -5.724% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2151 | rs_1h: -3.722% · rs_4h: -3.977% · rs_1d: -5.99% · rs_3d: -0.26% · beta_24h: -1.259 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1525 | rvol_20: 0.23× · zscore_50: -0.713 · trend: -67.41% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7001 | ADX: 24.0 (weak) · Chop: 34.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9986 | ATR%: 3.004% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -7.172%
(0.0833)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.240% | 0.2R | -0.620% | 0.1R | 2.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +8.739% | 1.2R | -0.620% | 0.1R | 14.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +15.074% | 2.1R | -0.620% | 0.1R | 24.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +15.074% | 2.1R | -0.620% | 0.1R | 24.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +15.074% | 2.1R | -0.620% | 0.1R | 24.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +15.074% | 2.1R | -0.620% | 0.1R | 24.3× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 40
ML Pullback Score: 6.84
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.44 | bear_high | -5.25% | +1.00 | 29/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.07 | range_high | -0.44% | +0.32 | 30/07 04:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | -0.06 | range_medium | +0.18% | -0.56 | 30/07 04:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.05 | range_low | +0.47% | -0.16 | 30/07 04:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 19b | — | 4.771×ATR | p58 | +0.551×ATR | p48 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 2.72×ATR | p21 | -0.447×ATR | p44 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 15b | — | 5.748×ATR | p92 | -1.117×ATR | p83 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 12b | — | 3.989×ATR | p67 | -1.55×ATR | p93 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 1.24478356
- tp_price: 1.1324625
- atr: 0.03331342
- expires_at: 2026-07-30T15:10:06+00:00
Details
- rank: 48
- total: 49
- score: 0.3024
- delta_2h: -0.2135
- extension_atr: -1.93
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.5315
- confidence: 0.979
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:10 | 1.16150000 | 0% |
| 2 | 06:10 | 1.15490000 | -0.568% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.1615 | 1.2448 | 1.1325 | 0.35 | 0.2067 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.1615
- Stop Loss: 1.2448
- Take Profit: 1.1325
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.2448 - 1.1615 = 0.0833
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.1615 - 1.1325 = 0.029
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.029 / 0.0833 = 0.3481
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 111.5706 | 100 | 96.0574 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0833
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0833 = 96.04
Taille de position USD = 96.04 x 1.1615 = 111.55
Donc, tu peux acheter 96.04 avec un stoploss a 1.2448
Avec un position size USD de 111.55$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 96.04 x 0.0833 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 96.04 x 0.029 = 2.79
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.79$
Résumé
- Taille de position 96.04
- Taille de position USD 111.55
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 2.79
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3481
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 2.79 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.17 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 2.79 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6199 % | 8.64 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.1615 | 1.2448 | 1.1325 | 0.35 | 0.2067 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.1615
- Stop Loss: 1.2448
- Take Profit: 1.1325
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.2448 - 1.1615 = 0.0833
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.1615 - 1.1325 = 0.029
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.029 / 0.0833 = 0.3481
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.9949
[stop_loss] => 1.2448
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-07-30 12:00:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -7.172%
(0.0833)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.240% | 0.2R | -0.620% | 0.1R | 2.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +8.739% | 1.2R | -0.620% | 0.1R | 14.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +15.074% | 2.1R | -0.620% | 0.1R | 24.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +15.074% | 2.1R | -0.620% | 0.1R | 24.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +15.074% | 2.1R | -0.620% | 0.1R | 24.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +15.074% | 2.1R | -0.620% | 0.1R | 24.3× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
Commentaires
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