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Long Trade on CRV

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30 Jul 2026 at 06:37:26 hyperliquid

Long Trade on CRV (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 3566.49 CRV at 0.212$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2177 (2.64 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2099 (1.04 %)

CRV LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 30 Jul 2026 06:37 → 07:55 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 0.2121$

Qty 3566.4928 CRV

Size 756.4531$ (margin 100$) (leverage 8)

Risk Setup

TP 0.2177 (+2.64%)

TP $ 19.97$

SL 0.2099 (-1.04%)

SL $ 7.85$

RR 2.55

Status loss PnL -1.04% / -7.85$ MAE -1.41% MFE +1.46% 1.4R expires 30 Jul 18:37

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 53333)
#7 / 47
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/07/2026 06:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.7706

Quality Score
0.520
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#7 / 47
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.04 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#7 / 47
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.04 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -1.01×ATR
4h near 0.49×ATR
1d clear 19.62×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up mid OK
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/07 06:30
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

29/07 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

30/07 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

30/07 06:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 30/07/2026 06:00
Score brut
0.5200
Score SMA
0.4967
Rank
#7 / 47
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7706
Rank Norm SMA
0.6025
Calculé le
30/07/2026 06:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5635 r1h: 0.592% · r4h: 1.472% · r1d: 0.26% · r3d: 1.09% · ema21_slope: 0.0174% · dist_ema21: 1.228%
Force Relative 25% 0.5417 rs_1h: 0.150% · rs_4h: 0.610% · rs_1d: 0.41% · rs_3d: 2.12% · beta_24h: 1.131
Volume 20% 0.1739 rvol_20: 0.53× · zscore_50: -0.673 · trend: -39.76%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5381 ADX: 10.9 (weak) · Chop: 44.7 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 0.907% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.037% (0.0022)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.170% 0.2R -0.787% 0.8R 0.2× 12
2h +0.170% 0.2R -1.410% 1.4R 0.1× 24
4h +0.170% 0.2R -1.410% 1.4R 0.1× 48
8h +1.132% 1.1R -1.410% 1.4R 0.8× 96
12h ★ +1.462% 1.4R -1.410% 1.4R 1.0× 144
24h +1.462% 1.4R -2.400% 2.3R 0.6× 288

computed 3 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.98
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down range range moderate fading compression bear_high
59%
noisy_chop 31% early — — 0.68 bear_high -5.25% +0.21 29/07 20:00
4h ↑ up range range moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high
52%
noisy_chop 37% mid — near 0.5ATR 0.48 range_high +0.45% +0.24 30/07 04:00
1h ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced compression bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 41% mid — near -1.0ATR 0.49 range_medium +0.50% +0.09 30/07 06:00
15m ↑ up range range moderate fading compression bull_low
47%
noisy_chop 55% late — near -0.5ATR — bull_low +0.79% +0.10 30/07 06:00
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 16b — 2.013×ATR p0 -0.006×ATR p2
4h ↑ up mid 3b — 2.48×ATR p9 +0.593×ATR p70
1h ↑ up mid 5b — 2.178×ATR p47 +0.916×ATR p82
15m ↑ up late 8b — 5.429×ATR p94 +1.633×ATR p95

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. confidence: 0.9606
  3. reason: up_bo width=2.07×ATR dur=31b phase=fresh
  4. stop_price: 0.2098569
  5. tp_price: 0.21770776
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.96063053297151
  8. expires_at: 2026-07-30T22:37:18.395695
  9. max_bars: 12
  10. max_bars_tf: 1h
  11. confidence_pre_ob: 0.96063053297151
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
    5. ¸
  5. market_structures
    6. ¸
  6. market_structure_v2
    7. ¸
  7. trend_analyzer_1h
    8. ¸
  8. orderbook_context
  9. obi_top5 : 0.0623
  10. obi_top10 : 0.0327
  11. micro_price : 0.21180061
  12. spread_pct : 0.047214
  13. mid_price : 0.21185
  14. bid_wall_price : 0.21
  15. bid_wall_size : 729785
  16. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  17. ask_wall_price : 0.213
  18. ask_wall_size : 867137
  19. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  20. snapshots_count : 5
  21. obi_top5_mean : 0.0623
  22. obi_top5_std : 0
  23. pressure_side : neutral
  24. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  25. collection_ms : 6964
  26. aggregation_tick : 0.001
  27. error :
    28. ¸
  28. strategy_details
  29. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  30. strategy_details
  31. balance_zone_top: 
    0.21199
  32. balance_zone_bottom: 
    0.2081
  33. balance_zone_mid: 
    0.210045
  34. balance_zone_start_time: 
    1785297600
  35. balance_zone_end_time: 
    1785405600
  36. balance_zone_width_atr: 
    2.068
  37. balance_zone_duration_bars: 
    31
  38. balance_zone_quality: tight
  39. balance_zone_maturity: established
  40. balance_zone_confidence: 
    0.9606
  41. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  42. balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
  43. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  44. balance_zone_breakout_time: 
    1785402000
  45. balance_zone_breakout_price: 
    0.21199
  46. strategy_details
  47. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio: 
    0.8065
  48. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout: 
    1
  49. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr: 
    0.0585
  50. balance_metrics_has_retested: 
    1
  51. balance_metrics_retest_count: 
    1
  52. balance_metrics_touch_upper: 
    6
  53. balance_metrics_touch_lower: 
    6
  54. regime : bull_high
  55. atr_entry : 0.00188102
    56. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
31
inside_close_ratio
0.8065
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.0585

Signaux confirmants (5)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 06:37 0.21210000 0%
2 06:43 0.21210000 0%
3 06:49 0.21228000 +0.085%
4 06:55 0.21228000 +0.085%
5 07:02 0.21228000 +0.085%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 6964ms Confidence avant OB : 96% → 96%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.062
avg 0.062 ± 0.000
OBI Top 10 0.033

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.2119
Micro Price
0.2118
Spread
0.0472%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
0.2100
Size
729,785.00

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
0.2130
Size
867,137.00

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2121 0.2099 0.2177 2.55 0.259
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2121
  • Stop Loss: 0.2099
  • Take Profit: 0.2177

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2099 - 0.2121 = -0.0022

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2121 - 0.2177 = -0.0056

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0056 / -0.0022 = 2.5455

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
756.4531 100 3566.4928 8.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0022

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0022 = -3636.36

Taille de position USD = -3636.36 x 0.2121 = -771.27

Donc, tu peux acheter -3636.36 avec un stoploss a 0.2099

Avec un position size USD de -771.27$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -3636.36 x -0.0022 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -3636.36 x -0.0056 = 20.36

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.36$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -3636.36
  • Taille de position USD -771.27
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 20.36
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5455

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.64 % 19.97 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.04 % 7.85 $
PNL PNL %
-7.85 $ -1.04
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.207 % 116.37 % 1
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2121 0.2099 0.2177 2.55 0.259
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2121
  • Stop Loss: 0.2099
  • Take Profit: 0.2177

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2099 - 0.2121 = -0.0022

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2121 - 0.2177 = -0.0056

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0056 / -0.0022 = 2.5455

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.2177
            [entry_price] => 0.2121
            [stop_loss] => 0.20968
            [rr_ratio] => 2.31
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-07-30 11:55:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.2177
            [entry_price] => 0.2121
            [stop_loss] => 0.20946
            [rr_ratio] => 2.12
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-07-30 12:00:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.2177
            [entry_price] => 0.2121
            [stop_loss] => 0.20924
            [rr_ratio] => 1.96
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-07-30 12:00:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.037% (0.0022)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.170% 0.2R -0.787% 0.8R 0.2× 12
2h +0.170% 0.2R -1.410% 1.4R 0.1× 24
4h +0.170% 0.2R -1.410% 1.4R 0.1× 48
8h +1.132% 1.1R -1.410% 1.4R 0.8× 96
12h ★ +1.462% 1.4R -1.410% 1.4R 1.0× 144
24h +1.462% 1.4R -2.400% 2.3R 0.6× 288

computed 3 months ago

Commentaires

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