Long Trade on LIT (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 159.32 LIT at 2.277$ per unit. Take profit: 2.4023 (5.51 %) & Stop Loss: 2.2266 (2.2 %)
30 Jul 2026 at 09:22:38
hyperliquid
LIT
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
30 Jul 2026 09:22
→ 13:30
· 4 hours
Position
Entry 2.2768$
Qty 159.3221 LIT
Size 362.7447$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 2.4023 (+5.51%)
TP $ 19.99$
SL 2.2266 (-2.2%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-2.20%
/ -8$
MAE -2.95%
MFE +1.01%
0.5R
expires
30 Jul 21:22
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 53510)
#23 / 48
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 30/07/2026 09:00
score du 30/07/2026 09:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3567
Quality Score
0.474
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#23 / 48
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.20 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#23 / 48
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.20 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.87×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.19×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
17.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/07 09:17
30/07 09:17
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 29/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 30/07 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 30/07 08:00 Score : +4 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #1165
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.80
Snapshot évalué :
30/07 09:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
30/07/2026 09:00
Score brut
0.4737
Score SMA
0.4943
Rank
#23
/ 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3567
Rank Norm SMA
0.5059
Calculé le
30/07/2026 09:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5391 | r1h: 0.616% · r4h: 0.499% · r1d: 0.90% · r3d: -1.57% · ema21_slope: 0.0046% · dist_ema21: 1.211% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5058 | rs_1h: 0.527% · rs_4h: -0.323% · rs_1d: 0.03% · rs_3d: -1.18% · beta_24h: 1.990 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1659 | rvol_20: 0.55× · zscore_50: -0.620 · trend: -65.22% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3492 | ADX: 11.1 (weak) · Chop: 68.2 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.834% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.205%
(0.0502)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.659% | 0.3R | -0.729% | 0.3R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.659% | 0.3R | -0.887% | 0.4R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.659% | 0.3R | -2.104% | 1.0R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.659% | 0.3R | -2.947% | 1.3R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.010% | 0.5R | -2.947% | 1.3R | 0.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.010% | 0.5R | -5.293% | 2.4R | 0.2× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.86
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | — | bear_high | -3.91% | -0.96 | 29/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | range_high |
34%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | near 0.3ATR | near 0.2ATR | 0.39 | bull_high | +0.85% | +0.06 | 30/07 08:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | near -0.9ATR | 0.46 | bull_medium | +0.88% | -0.01 | 30/07 08:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_medium |
63%
|
noisy_chop 50% | mid | — | near -1.2ATR | 0.32 | bull_low | +0.99% | +0.14 | 30/07 08:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 24b | — | 2.548×ATR | p0 | +0.198×ATR | p21 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 1.793×ATR | p3 | +0.198×ATR | p24 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 1.615×ATR | p4 | +0.508×ATR | p46 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 0.644×ATR | p0 | +1.019×ATR | p71 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 1
- reason: up_bo width=2.17×ATR dur=27b phase=fresh|ob:bid_pressure(+0.07)|ob:obi_strong(+0.08)
- stop_price: 2.22658727
- tp_price: 2.40233182
- atr:
- score: 0.91469726701921
- expires_at: 2026-07-31T01:22:31.047098
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.91469726701921
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.7823
- obi_top10 : 0.4319
- micro_price : 2.26473107
- spread_pct : 0.088378
- mid_price : 2.264
- bid_wall_price : 2.23
- bid_wall_size : 78194
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 2.31
- ask_wall_size : 15521
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.7833
- obi_top5_std : 0.0021
- pressure_side : bid
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7115
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
2.2766
- balance_zone_bottom:
2.185
- balance_zone_mid:
2.2308
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785322800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785416400
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.1744
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
27
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: forming
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.9147
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785412800
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
2.2766
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6667
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.0047
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
5
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
6
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.04212728 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
27
inside_close_ratio
0.6667
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.0047
Signaux confirmants (11)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:22 | 2.27680000 | 0% |
| 2 | 09:28 | 2.27680000 | 0% |
| 3 | 09:35 | 2.27680000 | 0% |
| 4 | 09:52 | 2.28790000 | +0.488% |
| 5 | 09:58 | 2.28790000 | +0.488% |
| 6 | 10:05 | 2.28790000 | +0.488% |
| 7 | 10:52 | 2.27920000 | +0.105% |
| 8 | 10:58 | 2.27920000 | +0.105% |
| 9 | 11:05 | 2.27920000 | +0.105% |
| 10 | 11:10 | 2.28350000 | +0.294% |
| 11 | 11:16 | 2.28350000 | +0.294% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↑ bid
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7115ms
Confidence avant OB :
91%
→
100%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.782
avg 0.783
± 0.002
OBI Top 10
0.432
Microstructure
Mid Price
2.2640
Micro Price
2.2647
Spread
0.0884%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
2.2300
Size
78,194.00
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
2.3100
Size
15,521.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.2768 | 2.2266 | 2.4023 | 2.5 | 3.3153 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.2768
- Stop Loss: 2.2266
- Take Profit: 2.4023
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.2266 - 2.2768 = -0.0502
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.2768 - 2.4023 = -0.1255
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1255 / -0.0502 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 362.7447 | 100 | 159.3221 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0502
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0502 = -159.36
Taille de position USD = -159.36 x 2.2768 = -362.83
Donc, tu peux acheter -159.36 avec un stoploss a 2.2266
Avec un position size USD de -362.83$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -159.36 x -0.0502 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -159.36 x -0.1255 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position -159.36
- Taille de position USD -362.83
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.51 % | 19.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.2 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -2.20 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.6441 % | 119.92 % | 15 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.2768 | 2.2266 | 2.4023 | 2.5 | 3.3153 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.2768
- Stop Loss: 2.2266
- Take Profit: 2.4023
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.2266 - 2.2768 = -0.0502
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.2768 - 2.4023 = -0.1255
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.1255 / -0.0502 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2.4023
[entry_price] => 2.2768
[stop_loss] => 2.22158
[rr_ratio] => 2.27
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-07-30 17:30:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2.4023
[entry_price] => 2.2768
[stop_loss] => 2.21656
[rr_ratio] => 2.08
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-07-30 17:30:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 2.4023
[entry_price] => 2.2768
[stop_loss] => 2.21154
[rr_ratio] => 1.92
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-07-30 17:50:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.205%
(0.0502)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.659% | 0.3R | -0.729% | 0.3R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.659% | 0.3R | -0.887% | 0.4R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.659% | 0.3R | -2.104% | 1.0R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.659% | 0.3R | -2.947% | 1.3R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.010% | 0.5R | -2.947% | 1.3R | 0.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.010% | 0.5R | -5.293% | 2.4R | 0.2× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
Commentaires
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