Long Trade on ADA (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1576.02 ADA at 0.168$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1808 (7.56 %) & Stop Loss: 0.163 (3.03 %)
30 Jul 2026 at 10:14:48
hyperliquid
ADA
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
30 Jul 2026 10:14
→ 22:10
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.1681$
Qty 1576.0193 ADA
Size 264.9604$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1808 (+7.56%)
TP $ 20.02$
SL 0.163 (-3.03%)
SL $ 8.04$
RR 2.49
Status
win
PnL
+1.09%
/ +2.88$
MAE -0.39%
MFE +4.70%
1.6R
expires
30 Jul 22:14
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 53534)
#5 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/07/2026 10:00
score du 30/07/2026 10:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7902
Quality Score
0.597
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#5 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-2
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.03 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#5 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.03 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.78×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.65×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 12.14×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
5.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/07 10:00
30/07 10:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 29/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 30/07 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 30/07 09:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #1166
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.67
Transition risk :
0.33
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.80
Snapshot évalué :
30/07 10:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
30/07/2026 10:00
Score brut
0.5967
Score SMA
0.5415
Rank
#5
/ 46
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7902
Rank Norm SMA
0.8317
Calculé le
30/07/2026 10:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6116 | r1h: 0.982% · r4h: 2.146% · r1d: 1.67% · r3d: 2.07% · ema21_slope: 0.0441% · dist_ema21: 2.279% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6002 | rs_1h: 0.853% · rs_4h: 1.470% · rs_1d: 1.13% · rs_3d: 2.39% · beta_24h: 1.660 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3302 | rvol_20: 1.05× · zscore_50: -0.178 · trend: -9.35% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6475 | ADX: 30.9 (trend) · Chop: 51.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.975% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.034%
(0.0051)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +4.628% | 1.5R | -0.393% | 0.1R | 11.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +4.700% | 1.6R | -0.393% | 0.1R | 12.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +4.700% | 1.6R | -0.393% | 0.1R | 12.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.700% | 1.6R | -0.393% | 0.1R | 12.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +4.700% | 1.6R | -0.393% | 0.1R | 12.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.700% | 1.6R | -0.976% | 0.3R | 4.8× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.62
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.81 | bear_high | -3.91% | -0.18 | 29/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | range_high |
33%
|
noisy_chop 38% | mid | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.71 | bull_high | +0.82% | +0.10 | 30/07 08:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.74 | bull_medium | +1.12% | +0.03 | 30/07 09:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_medium_confirmed |
54%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | — | bull_low | +1.14% | +0.08 | 30/07 09:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 1.794×ATR | p0 | +0.181×ATR | p24 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 1.738×ATR | p0 | +0.736×ATR | p62 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 8b | — | 3.735×ATR | p80 | +2.089×ATR | p99 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 4b | — | 3.313×ATR | p57 | +2.289×ATR | p98 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.7652
- reason: up_bo width=2.12×ATR dur=40b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.16304392
- tp_price: 0.1808102
- atr:
- score: 0.76520360533365
- expires_at: 2026-07-31T02:14:40.686059
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.76520360533365
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.0072
- obi_top10 : -0.0252
- micro_price : 0.16862461
- spread_pct : 0.059312
- mid_price : 0.16865
- bid_wall_price : 0.168
- bid_wall_size : 12617261.4
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.169
- ask_wall_size : 8062160.4
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0073
- obi_top5_std : 0.0001
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7030
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.164945
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.16147
- balance_zone_mid:
0.1632075
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785279600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785420000
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.1243
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
40
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7652
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785412800
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.164945
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.825
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
2
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.9409
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
8
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
5
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.00163581 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
40
inside_close_ratio
0.825
bars_since_breakout
2
distance_to_edge_atr
1.9409
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:14 | 0.16812000 | +0.012% |
| 2 | 10:20 | 0.16872000 | +0.369% |
| 3 | 10:26 | 0.16872000 | +0.369% |
| 4 | 10:33 | 0.16872000 | +0.369% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7030ms
Confidence avant OB :
77%
→
77%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.007
avg -0.007
± 0.000
OBI Top 10
-0.025
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.1687
Micro Price
0.1686
Spread
0.0593%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.1680
Size
12,617,261.40
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.1690
Size
8,062,160.40
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1681 | 0.163 | 0.1808 | 2.49 | 0.1819 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1681
- Stop Loss: 0.163
- Take Profit: 0.1808
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.163 - 0.1681 = -0.0051
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1681 - 0.1808 = -0.0127
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0127 / -0.0051 = 2.4902
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 264.9604 | 100 | 1576.0193 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0051
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0051 = -1568.63
Taille de position USD = -1568.63 x 0.1681 = -263.69
Donc, tu peux acheter -1568.63 avec un stoploss a 0.163
Avec un position size USD de -263.69$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1568.63 x -0.0051 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1568.63 x -0.0127 = 19.92
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.92$
Résumé
- Taille de position -1568.63
- Taille de position USD -263.69
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.92
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4902
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.56 % | 20.02 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.03 % | 8.04 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 2.88 $ | 1.09 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3926 % | 12.94 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1681 | 0.163 | 0.1808 | 2.49 | 0.1819 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1681
- Stop Loss: 0.163
- Take Profit: 0.1808
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.163 - 0.1681 = -0.0051
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1681 - 0.1808 = -0.0127
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0127 / -0.0051 = 2.4902
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.034%
(0.0051)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +4.628% | 1.5R | -0.393% | 0.1R | 11.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +4.700% | 1.6R | -0.393% | 0.1R | 12.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +4.700% | 1.6R | -0.393% | 0.1R | 12.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +4.700% | 1.6R | -0.393% | 0.1R | 12.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +4.700% | 1.6R | -0.393% | 0.1R | 12.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.700% | 1.6R | -0.976% | 0.3R | 4.8× | 288 |
computed 3 months ago
Commentaires
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