30 Jul 2026 at 12:10:04 hyperliquid

Long Trade on PUMP (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 98582.87 PUMP at 0.00197$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002017 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.001887 (4.12 %)

PUMP LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 30 Jul 2026 12:10 → 15:15 · 3 hours

Position

Entry 0.001968$

Qty 98582.8712 PUMP

Size 194.0111$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.002017 (+2.49%)

TP $ 4.83$

SL 0.001887 (-4.12%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR 0.6

Status win PnL +0.36% / +0.69$ MAE -0.61% MFE +2.44% 0.6R expires 30 Jul 15:20 Exit rank_decay: long rank=15 > threshold=10/44

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 53643)
#10 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/07/2026 12:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.5244

Quality Score
0.574
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#10 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.12 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#10 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.12 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.96×ATR
4h clear 0.82×ATR
1d clear 0.93×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↑ up early OK
1d ↑ up mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
N/A
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
14.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/07 12:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

29/07 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

30/07 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

30/07 11:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #1168
Voir snapshot →
range compression range_bound
Strategic range

—

compression

0

Operational range

—

range

0

Tactical range

—

range

0

Micro —

—

MTF alignment : 0.65
Stability : 0.67
Transition risk : 0.33
Score contribution (this trade) 0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.80
Snapshot évalué : 30/07 12:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 30/07/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.5739
Score SMA
0.4716
Rank
#10 / 46
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5244
Rank Norm SMA
0.3444
Calculé le
30/07/2026 12:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6587 r1h: 1.642% · r4h: 3.177% · r1d: 5.32% · r3d: -5.40% · ema21_slope: 0.1197% · dist_ema21: 3.526%
Force Relative 25% 0.6316 rs_1h: 1.493% · rs_4h: 3.186% · rs_1d: 4.07% · rs_3d: -5.75% · beta_24h: 1.914
Volume 20% 0.2124 rvol_20: 0.61× · zscore_50: -0.459 · trend: -30.75%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5063 ADX: 16.2 (weak) · Chop: 54.1 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.727% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 3.2h) Initial Risk: -4.116% (0.0001)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.439% 0.6R -0.203% 0.1R 12.0× 12
2h +2.439% 0.6R -0.203% 0.1R 12.0× 24
3.2h ★ +2.439% 0.6R -0.610% 0.2R 4.0× 37
4h +3.811% 0.9R -0.610% 0.2R 6.3× 48
8h +3.811% 0.9R -0.610% 0.2R 6.3× 96
12h +3.811% 0.9R -0.610% 0.2R 6.3× 144

computed 3 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.24
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind expansion_after_compression bull_high
64%
noisy_chop 45% mid — — 0.60 bear_high -3.91% +0.99 29/07 20:00
4h ↑ up range range moderate grind normal bull_high
57%
noisy_chop 35% early — — 0.53 range_high +0.59% -0.29 30/07 08:00
1h ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 45% late — near -1.0ATR 0.31 range_medium +0.73% +0.32 30/07 11:00
15m ↑ up range range moderate fading expansion bull_high
58%
noisy_chop 44% late — near -0.8ATR 0.37 range_low +0.67% +0.41 30/07 11:45
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up mid 16b — 3.532×ATR p50 +0.09×ATR p12
4h ↑ up early 4b — 2.014×ATR p0 +0.575×ATR p52
1h ↑ up late 18b — 4.636×ATR p89 +1.016×ATR p83
15m ↑ up late 19b — 5.769×ATR p93 +1.237×ATR p89

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.00188685
  2. tp_price: 0.0020172
  3. atr: 3.246E-5
  4. expires_at: 2026-07-30T22:10:04+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 4
  2. total: 48
  3. score: 0.6587
  4. delta_2h: 0.1173
  5. extension_atr: 1.52
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.5244
  9. confidence: 0.986

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.001968 0.001887 0.002017 0.6 0.00394
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.001968
  • Stop Loss: 0.001887
  • Take Profit: 0.002017

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.001887 - 0.001968 = -8.1E-5

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.001968 - 0.002017 = -4.9E-5

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -4.9E-5 / -8.1E-5 = 0.6049

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
194.0111 100 98582.8712 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -8.1E-5

Taille de position = 8 / -8.1E-5 = -98765.43

Taille de position USD = -98765.43 x 0.001968 = -194.37

Donc, tu peux acheter -98765.43 avec un stoploss a 0.001887

Avec un position size USD de -194.37$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -98765.43 x -8.1E-5 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -98765.43 x -4.9E-5 = 4.84

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.84$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -98765.43
  • Taille de position USD -194.37
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 4.84
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6049

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.49 % 4.83 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.12 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
0.69 $ 0.36
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.6098 % 14.82 % 13
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.001968 0.001887 0.002017 0.6 0.00394
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.001968
  • Stop Loss: 0.001887
  • Take Profit: 0.002017

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.001887 - 0.001968 = -8.1E-5

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.001968 - 0.002017 = -4.9E-5

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -4.9E-5 / -8.1E-5 = 0.6049

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 3.2h) Initial Risk: -4.116% (0.0001)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +2.439% 0.6R -0.203% 0.1R 12.0× 12
2h +2.439% 0.6R -0.203% 0.1R 12.0× 24
3.2h ★ +2.439% 0.6R -0.610% 0.2R 4.0× 37
4h +3.811% 0.9R -0.610% 0.2R 6.3× 48
8h +3.811% 0.9R -0.610% 0.2R 6.3× 96
12h +3.811% 0.9R -0.610% 0.2R 6.3× 144

computed 3 months ago

Commentaires

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