Long Trade on BCH (CatchTheWave)
With 8.08 BCH at 218.71$ per unit. Take profit: 220.6913 (0.91 %) & Stop Loss: 217.7193 (0.45 %)
Long Trade on BCH (CatchTheWave)
With 8.08 BCH at 218.71$ per unit. Take profit: 220.6913 (0.91 %) & Stop Loss: 217.7193 (0.45 %)
Position
Entry 218.71$
Qty 8.0753 BCH
Size 1766.1552$ (margin 100$) (leverage 18)
Risk Setup
TP 220.6913 (+0.91%)
TP $ 16$
SL 217.7193 (-0.45%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5139
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.06×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.56×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 24.76×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 29/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 30/07 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 30/07 12:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.148375 15m : 0.438262 |
1H_regime : bull_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : bull_low |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6411 | r1h: 0.364% · r4h: 4.173% · r1d: 4.79% · r3d: 1.90% · ema21_slope: 0.1234% · dist_ema21: 3.406% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6629 | rs_1h: 0.293% · rs_4h: 4.411% · rs_1d: 3.30% · rs_3d: 2.10% · beta_24h: 1.423 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9171 | rvol_20: 3.06× · zscore_50: 1.757 · trend: 146.06% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6844 | ADX: 22.1 (weak) · Chop: 28.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.984% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.713% | 1.6R | -0.188% | 0.4R | 3.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.713% | 1.6R | -0.188% | 0.4R | 3.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.713% | 1.6R | -0.805% | 1.8R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.713% | 1.6R | -1.385% | 3.1R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.713% | 1.6R | -2.350% | 5.2R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.67 | bear_high | -5.25% | -0.91 | 29/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 36% | late | — | — | 0.67 | bull_high | +0.77% | +0.11 | 30/07 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
66%
|
ranging_calm 49% | late | — | near -1.1ATR | 0.57 | range_medium | +0.71% | +0.48 | 30/07 12:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_medium_confirmed |
60%
|
ranging_calm 53% | early | — | — | — | range_low | +0.60% | +0.42 | 30/07 12:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 20b | — | 4.509×ATR | p70 | -0.402×ATR | p44 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 5b | — | 4.05×ATR | p59 | +1.454×ATR | p94 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 2b | — | 1.589×ATR | p9 | +2.361×ATR | p98 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 2.674×ATR | p21 | +0.569×ATR | p48 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64685.4
0.000828211
64739
0.148375
64354.7
0.00597072
64739
0.438262
64296
0.00794665
64807
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-28 14:00:00
[1] => 209.13
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-28 15:00:00
[1] => 215.09
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-29 00:00:00
[1] => 216
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-29 04:00:00
[1] => 210.81
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-29 06:00:00
[1] => 215.73
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-29 18:00:00
[1] => 212.3
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-29 20:00:00
[1] => 204.31
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-29 23:00:00
[1] => 212.3
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 08:00:00
[1] => 209.42
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 16:00:00
[1] => 221.89
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.84275992608949
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.0615987011747
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.9545411135517
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 03:15:00
[1] => 210.97
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 04:15:00
[1] => 209.46
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 05:30:00
[1] => 211.02
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 07:00:00
[1] => 210.81
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 08:00:00
[1] => 209.42
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 09:45:00
[1] => 211.15
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 11:00:00
[1] => 210.05
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 13:45:00
[1] => 221.37
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 16:00:00
[1] => 221.89
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 17:00:00
[1] => 218.71
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.4331425481094
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.4539801563714
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 12:15:00
[1] => 211.96
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 12:45:00
[1] => 211.17
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 13:55:00
[1] => 221.37
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 14:30:00
[1] => 217.21
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 14:50:00
[1] => 219.98
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 15:10:00
[1] => 218.39
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 15:20:00
[1] => 219.82
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 15:50:00
[1] => 218.75
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 16:05:00
[1] => 221.89
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 17:10:00
[1] => 218.71
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.4331425481094
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 13
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.4539801563714
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
217.21
196
0.7362
0.5508
0.4048
0.2975
0.4925
0.3166
0.5582
0.727
0.6286
0.6119
0.5486
0.8936
0.3399
0.142
1
2.7529
3.3596
0.45
0.55
1
4
1
0.4049
0.3128
6.1207
0.6
0.3166
1.9378
3.3596
0.489
0.2747
0.72
-0.0302
0.5867
0.505
0.456
0.8936
-0.8706
7.3137
1
0
1
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 12:15:00 | 211.96 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 12:45:00 | 211.17 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 13:55:00 | 221.37 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 14:30:00 | 217.21 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 14:50:00 | 219.98 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 15:10:00 | 218.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 15:20:00 | 219.82 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 15:50:00 | 218.75 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 16:05:00 | 221.89 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 17:10:00 | 218.71 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 03:15:00 | 210.97 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 04:15:00 | 209.46 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 05:30:00 | 211.02 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 07:00:00 | 210.81 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 08:00:00 | 209.42 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 09:45:00 | 211.15 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 11:00:00 | 210.05 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 13:45:00 | 221.37 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 16:00:00 | 221.89 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 17:00:00 | 218.71 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 14:00:00 | 209.13 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 15:00:00 | 215.09 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 00:00:00 | 216 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 04:00:00 | 210.81 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 06:00:00 | 215.73 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 18:00:00 | 212.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 20:00:00 | 204.31 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 23:00:00 | 212.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 08:00:00 | 209.42 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 16:00:00 | 221.89 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 218.71 | 217.7193 | 220.6913 | 2 | 262.41 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 217.7193 - 218.71 = -0.9907
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 218.71 - 220.6913 = -1.9813
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.9813 / -0.9907 = 1.9999
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1766.1552 | 100 | 8.0753 | 18.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.9907 = -8.08
Taille de position USD = -8.08 x 218.71 = -1767.18
Donc, tu peux acheter -8.08 avec un stoploss a 217.7193
Avec un position size USD de -1767.18$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -8.08 x -0.9907 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -8.08 x -1.9813 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.91 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.45 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.45 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4618 % | 101.94 % | 10 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 218.71 | 217.7193 | 220.6913 | 2 | 262.41 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 217.7193 - 218.71 = -0.9907
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 218.71 - 220.6913 = -1.9813
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.9813 / -0.9907 = 1.9999
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 220.6913
[entry_price] => 218.71
[stop_loss] => 217.62023
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-07-30 21:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 220.6913
[entry_price] => 218.71
[stop_loss] => 217.52116
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-07-30 21:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 220.6913
[entry_price] => 218.71
[stop_loss] => 217.42209
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-07-30 21:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 220.6913
[entry_price] => 218.71
[stop_loss] => 217.22395
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-07-30 21:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.713% | 1.6R | -0.188% | 0.4R | 3.8× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.713% | 1.6R | -0.188% | 0.4R | 3.8× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.713% | 1.6R | -0.805% | 1.8R | 0.9× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.713% | 1.6R | -1.385% | 3.1R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.713% | 1.6R | -2.350% | 5.2R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
Aucun commentaire.