Short Trade on XPL (BosPullback)
With 7234.32 XPL at 0.0755$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07274 (3.66 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07661 (1.47 %)
Short Trade on XPL (BosPullback)
With 7234.32 XPL at 0.0755$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07274 (3.66 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07661 (1.47 %)
Position
Entry 0.0755$
Qty 7234.3196 XPL
Size 546.1984$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)
Risk Setup
TP 0.07274 (+3.66%)
TP $ 19.97$
SL 0.07661 (-1.47%)
SL $ 8.03$
RR 2.49
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0931
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | 0.37×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 29/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 30/07 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 30/07 13:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
expansion
-1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3777 | r1h: 0.823% · r4h: -0.259% · r1d: -2.28% · r3d: -9.18% · ema21_slope: -0.1709% · dist_ema21: -0.337% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4060 | rs_1h: 0.629% · rs_4h: -0.150% · rs_1d: -3.31% · rs_3d: -9.08% · beta_24h: 1.730 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1358 | rvol_20: 0.24× · zscore_50: -0.963 · trend: -68.93% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4965 | ADX: 25.8 (trend) · Chop: 65.2 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.449% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.313% | 0.2R | -2.350% | 1.6R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.313% | 0.2R | -2.350% | 1.6R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.313% | 0.2R | -3.143% | 2.1R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.313% | 0.2R | -4.280% | 2.9R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.313% | 0.2R | -4.280% | 2.9R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
49%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.54 | bear_high | -3.91% | -0.96 | 29/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | grind | expansion | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.37 | range_high | +0.73% | -0.86 | 30/07 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.49 | bull_medium | +0.96% | -0.23 | 30/07 13:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | range_medium |
39%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | near -1.1ATR | 0.49 | bull_low | +0.80% | -0.02 | 30/07 13:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 26b | — | 5.667×ATR | p80 | -0.88×ATR | p76 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 12b | — | 4.698×ATR | p77 | -0.651×ATR | p64 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 0.256×ATR | p0 | +0.338×ATR | p37 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 2.6×ATR | p43 | +0.53×ATR | p43 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.076513
144
0.2432
0.53
0.4088
0.232
0.5533
0.5026
0.5618
0.5287
0.2599
0.012
0.5489
0.1202
-0.0782
-0.1073
0
-0.7872
-2.613
0.3
0.7
-1
11
1
0.5359
0.4081
3.8452
0.55
0.5026
1.9326
-2.613
0.652
0.2894
0.02
-0.332
0.4183
0.4857
0.7355
0.1202
-12.0925
1.6516
1
0
1
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[price] => 0.079178
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[label] =>
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[price] => 0.077438
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[price] => 0.076397
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
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[price] => 0.075427
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
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[price] => 0.075321
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[price] => 0.076225
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[price] => 0.074819
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0.073907
0.076513
0.076513
0.073907
0.079092
0.076701
0.0778965
0.8497
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:22 | 0.07550100 | +0.001% |
| 2 | 14:27 | 0.07550100 | +0.001% |
| 3 | 14:46 | 0.07549200 | -0.011% |
| 4 | 14:51 | 0.07544200 | -0.077% |
| 5 | 14:57 | 0.07544200 | -0.077% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0755 | 0.07661 | 0.07274 | 2.49 | 0.05804 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07661 - 0.0755 = 0.00111
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.0755 - 0.07274 = 0.00276
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00276 / 0.00111 = 2.4865
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 546.1984 | 100 | 7234.3196 | 5.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00111 = 7207.21
Taille de position USD = 7207.21 x 0.0755 = 544.14
Donc, tu peux acheter 7207.21 avec un stoploss a 0.07661
Avec un position size USD de 544.14$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 7207.21 x 0.00111 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 7207.21 x 0.00276 = 19.89
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.89$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.66 % | 19.97 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.47 % | 8.03 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.03 $ | -1.47 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.8808 % | 127.93 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0755 | 0.07661 | 0.07274 | 2.49 | 0.05804 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07661 - 0.0755 = 0.00111
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.0755 - 0.07274 = 0.00276
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00276 / 0.00111 = 2.4865
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(
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[result] => loss
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.313% | 0.2R | -2.350% | 1.6R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.313% | 0.2R | -2.350% | 1.6R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.313% | 0.2R | -3.143% | 2.1R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.313% | 0.2R | -4.280% | 2.9R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.313% | 0.2R | -4.280% | 2.9R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
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