Long Trade on BCH (CatchTheWave)
With 13.52 BCH at 218.63$ per unit. Take profit: 219.8132 (0.54 %) & Stop Loss: 218.0384 (0.27 %)
Long Trade on BCH (CatchTheWave)
With 13.52 BCH at 218.63$ per unit. Take profit: 219.8132 (0.54 %) & Stop Loss: 218.0384 (0.27 %)
Position
Entry 218.63$
Qty 13.5231 BCH
Size 2956.5464$ (margin 100$) (leverage 30)
Risk Setup
TP 219.8132 (+0.54%)
TP $ 16$
SL 218.0384 (-0.27%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6682
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.12×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.87×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 22.16×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 29/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 30/07 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 30/07 15:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.139908 15m : 0.435099 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
bull
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5837 | r1h: 0.096% · r4h: 0.526% · r1d: 3.98% · r3d: 2.21% · ema21_slope: 0.1652% · dist_ema21: 2.437% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5877 | rs_1h: 0.307% · rs_4h: 0.443% · rs_1d: 3.63% · rs_3d: 2.44% · beta_24h: 1.597 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2981 | rvol_20: 0.38× · zscore_50: -0.328 · trend: 39.91% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7159 | ADX: 25.9 (trend) · Chop: 28.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.940% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.334% | 1.2R | -0.215% | 0.8R | 1.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.334% | 1.2R | -0.768% | 2.8R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.334% | 1.2R | -1.290% | 4.8R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.334% | 1.2R | -2.154% | 8.0R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.334% | 1.2R | -2.740% | 10.1R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.67 | bear_high | -4.05% | -0.84 | 29/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid | — | — | 0.67 | range_high | +0.73% | +0.05 | 30/07 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | normal | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.56 | bull_medium | +0.77% | +0.20 | 30/07 15:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_medium |
60%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | — | range_low | +0.61% | +0.01 | 30/07 15:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 20b | — | 3.331×ATR | p30 | +0.404×ATR | p44 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 5b | — | 3.616×ATR | p41 | +1.174×ATR | p85 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.646×ATR | p12 | +0.526×ATR | p51 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 0.732×ATR | p0 | -0.446×ATR | p39 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64748.4
0.00124333
64829
0.139908
64481.1
0.00539495
64829
0.435099
64316.3
0.00761273
64806
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-28 14:00:00
[1] => 209.13
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-28 15:00:00
[1] => 215.09
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-29 00:00:00
[1] => 216
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-29 04:00:00
[1] => 210.81
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-29 06:00:00
[1] => 215.73
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-29 18:00:00
[1] => 212.3
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-29 20:00:00
[1] => 204.31
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-29 23:00:00
[1] => 212.3
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 08:00:00
[1] => 209.42
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 16:00:00
[1] => 221.89
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.4872233989815
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.3787603858275
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.9545411135517
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 04:15:00
[1] => 209.46
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 05:30:00
[1] => 211.02
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 07:00:00
[1] => 210.81
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 08:00:00
[1] => 209.42
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 09:45:00
[1] => 211.15
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 11:00:00
[1] => 210.05
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 13:45:00
[1] => 221.37
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 16:00:00
[1] => 221.89
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 17:15:00
[1] => 218.3
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 19:15:00
[1] => 218.45
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.4691964486908
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.082398718242164
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 13
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.068712780577177
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 14:50:00
[1] => 219.98
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 15:10:00
[1] => 218.39
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 15:20:00
[1] => 219.82
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 15:50:00
[1] => 218.75
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 16:05:00
[1] => 221.89
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 17:15:00
[1] => 218.3
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 17:55:00
[1] => 220.27
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 18:10:00
[1] => 219.42
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 18:35:00
[1] => 220.09
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 19:15:00
[1] => 218.45
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.66336498705076
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.082398718242164
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 8
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.75074387731747
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
221.89
196
0.7262
0.6806
0.3916
0.2785
0.4842
1
0.6251
0.478
0.6251
0.5256
0.6761
0.8123
0.2931
0.138
1
1.7917
2.6307
0.45
0.55
1
6
1
0.4429
0.6792
6.1207
0.5
1.125
2.0988
2.6307
0.8219
0.2645
0.68
-0.1236
0.5371
0.4729
0.6426
0.8123
-1.6307
7.0565
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:19 | 218.63000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 15:25 | 218.72000000 | +0.041% |
| 3 | 16:32 | 217.84000000 | -0.361% |
| 4 | 16:38 | 217.96000000 | -0.306% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 14:50:00 | 219.98 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 15:10:00 | 218.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 15:20:00 | 219.82 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 15:50:00 | 218.75 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 16:05:00 | 221.89 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 17:15:00 | 218.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 17:55:00 | 220.27 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 18:10:00 | 219.42 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 18:35:00 | 220.09 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 19:15:00 | 218.45 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 04:15:00 | 209.46 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 05:30:00 | 211.02 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 07:00:00 | 210.81 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 08:00:00 | 209.42 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 09:45:00 | 211.15 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 11:00:00 | 210.05 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 13:45:00 | 221.37 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 16:00:00 | 221.89 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 17:15:00 | 218.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 19:15:00 | 218.45 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 14:00:00 | 209.13 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 15:00:00 | 215.09 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 00:00:00 | 216 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 04:00:00 | 210.81 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 06:00:00 | 215.73 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 18:00:00 | 212.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 20:00:00 | 204.31 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 23:00:00 | 212.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 08:00:00 | 209.42 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 16:00:00 | 221.89 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 218.63 | 218.0384 | 219.8132 | 2 | 266.79 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 218.0384 - 218.63 = -0.5916
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 218.63 - 219.8132 = -1.1832
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.1832 / -0.5916 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2956.5464 | 100 | 13.5231 | 30.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.5916 = -13.52
Taille de position USD = -13.52 x 218.63 = -2955.88
Donc, tu peux acheter -13.52 avec un stoploss a 218.0384
Avec un position size USD de -2955.88$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -13.52 x -0.5916 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -13.52 x -1.1832 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.54 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.27 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.27 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4025 % | 148.74 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 218.63 | 218.0384 | 219.8132 | 2 | 266.79 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 218.0384 - 218.63 = -0.5916
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 218.63 - 219.8132 = -1.1832
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.1832 / -0.5916 = 2
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 219.8132
[entry_price] => 218.63
[stop_loss] => 217.97924
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-07-30 20:30:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 219.8132
[entry_price] => 218.63
[stop_loss] => 217.92008
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-07-30 20:30:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 219.8132
[entry_price] => 218.63
[stop_loss] => 217.86092
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-07-30 20:30:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 219.8132
[entry_price] => 218.63
[stop_loss] => 217.7426
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-07-30 20:35:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.334% | 1.2R | -0.215% | 0.8R | 1.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.334% | 1.2R | -0.768% | 2.8R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.334% | 1.2R | -1.290% | 4.8R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.334% | 1.2R | -2.154% | 8.0R | 0.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.334% | 1.2R | -2.740% | 10.1R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
Aucun commentaire.