Short Trade on KAITO

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30 Jul 2026 at 17:10:04 hyperliquid

Short Trade on KAITO (momentum_rotation_score)

With 64.25 KAITO at 1.069$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 1.1939 (11.64 %)

KAITO SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 30 Jul 2026 17:10 → 20:05 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 1.0694$

Qty 64.2506 KAITO

Size 68.7096$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 68.71$

SL 1.1939 (-11.64%)

SL $ 8$

Status loss PnL -5.97% / -4.1$ MAE -6.59% MFE +0.00% 0.0R expires 30 Jul 20:10 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 53860)

#42 / 42

seuil : top 15
score du 30/07/2026 17:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2097

Quality Score

0.299

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#42 / 42

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-4

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

11.64 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#42 / 42

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 %

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-4

BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

11.64 %

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	1.11×ATR
4h	clear	1.21×ATR
1d	clear	2.65×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	early	OK
4h	↓ down	mid	OK
1d	↓ down	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

seuil : ≥ +3

Breadth Leadership

N/A

attendu : btc_leading

Breadth State

N/A

attendu : contracting / deteriorating

Décision V5

N/A

regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

LOW

seuil : ≥ +3

Local 4h

N/A

attendu : bearish

Median return 4h

N/A

attendu : < -1.5

Décision V6

N/A

regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

11.6M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
30/07 17:02

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 29/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 30/07 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 30/07 16:00 Score : -4 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

29/07 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

30/07 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

30/07 16:00

Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #1173

Voir snapshot →

range compression range_bound

Strategic	range —	compression 0
Operational	range —	range 0
Tactical	range —	range 0
Micro	— —

MTF alignment : 0.65

Stability : 0.67

Transition risk : 0.33

Score contribution (this trade) 0

Market Breadth

Breadth Score —

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	—
1h	—
4h	—
24h	—

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	—	—
4h	—	—
24h	—	—

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : —

Universe : —

Regime confidence : 0.80

Snapshot évalué : 30/07 17:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 30/07/2026 17:00

Score brut

0.2985

Score SMA

0.4538

Rank

#42 / 42

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.2097

Rank Norm SMA

0.4341

Calculé le

30/07/2026 17:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.1411	r1h: -0.833% · r4h: -4.665% · r1d: -18.01% · r3d: -15.40% · ema21_slope: -0.6596% · dist_ema21: -5.737%
Force Relative	25%	0.1125	rs_1h: -0.934% · rs_4h: -4.734% · rs_1d: -20.12% · rs_3d: -15.24% · beta_24h: -2.106
Volume	20%	0.1664	rvol_20: 0.43× · zscore_50: -0.687 · trend: -40.80%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.8435	ADX: 41.2 (trend) · Chop: 34.9 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.6821	ATR%: 3.954% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -11.642% (0.1245)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.000%	0.0R	-4.591%	0.4R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.000%	0.0R	-5.685%	0.5R	0.0×	24
3h ★	+0.000%	0.0R	-6.593%	0.6R	0.0×	36
4h	+0.000%	0.0R	-6.593%	0.6R	0.0×	48
8h	+0.000%	0.0R	-7.163%	0.6R	0.0×	96
12h	+0.000%	0.0R	-10.165%	0.9R	0.0×	144

computed 3 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	volatile_reversal	bull_high	61%	noisy_chop 38%	early	—	—	0.43	bear_high	-4.05%	+1.00	29/07 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	54%	noisy_chop 42%	mid	—	—	0.05	bull_high	+0.76%	-0.80	30/07 16:00
1h	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	strong	balanced	expansion	bear_high	56%	noisy_chop 48%	early	—	—	-0.07	bull_medium	+0.80%	-0.93	30/07 16:00
15m	↓ down	transition	bullish_transition	strong	fading	compression	bear_high	54%	noisy_chop 47%	early	near -0.9ATR	—	0.02	range_low	+0.56%	-0.50	30/07 16:45
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	early	1b	—	2.131×ATR	p0	-0.207×ATR	p20
4h	↓ down	mid	7b	—	3.572×ATR	p26	-0.669×ATR	p62
1h	↓ down	early	4b	—	1.675×ATR	p10	-0.382×ATR	p39
15m	↓ down	early	4b	—	1.875×ATR	p11	-0.49×ATR	p42

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 1.19391236
atr: 0.04150412
expires_at: 2026-07-31T00:10:04+00:00

Details

rank: 45
total: 45
score: 0.1411
confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
1.0694	1.1939			0.2168

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 1.0694
Stop Loss: 1.1939
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 1.1939 - 1.0694 = 0.1245
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 1.0694 - = 1.0694
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.0694 / 0.1245 = 8.5896

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
68.7096	68.7096	64.2506	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.1245

Taille de position = 8 / 0.1245 = 64.26

Taille de position USD = 64.26 x 1.0694 = 68.72

Donc, tu peux acheter 64.26 avec un stoploss a 1.1939

Avec un position size USD de 68.72$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 64.26 x 0.1245 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 64.26 x 1.0694 = 68.72

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 68.72$

Résumé

Taille de position 64.26
Taille de position USD 68.72
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 68.72
Risk-Reward Ratio 8.5896

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
100 %	68.71 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
11.64 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
-4.1 $	-5.97

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-6.5925 %	56.63 %	0

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
1.0694	1.1939			0.2168

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 1.0694
Stop Loss: 1.1939
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 1.1939 - 1.0694 = 0.1245
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 1.0694 - = 1.0694
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.0694 / 0.1245 = 8.5896

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -11.642% (0.1245)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.000%	0.0R	-4.591%	0.4R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.000%	0.0R	-5.685%	0.5R	0.0×	24
3h ★	+0.000%	0.0R	-6.593%	0.6R	0.0×	36
4h	+0.000%	0.0R	-6.593%	0.6R	0.0×	48
8h	+0.000%	0.0R	-7.163%	0.6R	0.0×	96
12h	+0.000%	0.0R	-10.165%	0.9R	0.0×	144

computed 3 months ago

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