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Long Trade on MON

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30 Jul 2026 at 18:10:04 hyperliquid

Long Trade on MON (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 14664.37 MON at 0.0217$ per unit. Take profit: 0.02227 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.02119 (2.49 %)

MON LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 30 Jul 2026 18:10 → 22:10 · 3 hours

Position

Entry 0.02173$

Qty 14664.3692 MON

Size 318.6714$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 0.02227 (+2.49%)

TP $ 7.92$

SL 0.02119 (-2.49%)

SL $ 7.92$

RR 1

Status loss PnL -0.88% / -2.8$ MAE -0.94% MFE +0.92% 0.4R expires 30 Jul 22:20 Exit rank_decay: long rank=27 > threshold=10/42

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 53908)
#3 / 43
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/07/2026 18:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8400

Quality Score
0.661
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#3 / 43
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.49 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#3 / 43
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.49 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.28×ATR
4h clear 2.45×ATR
1d clear 7.60×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↑ up late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
N/A
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/07 18:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

29/07 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

30/07 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

30/07 17:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #1174
Voir snapshot →
range compression range_bound
Strategic range

—

compression

0

Operational range

—

range

0

Tactical range

—

range

0

Micro —

—

MTF alignment : 0.65
Stability : 0.67
Transition risk : 0.33
Score contribution (this trade) 0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.80
Snapshot évalué : 30/07 18:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 30/07/2026 18:00
Score brut
0.6609
Score SMA
0.5399
Rank
#3 / 43
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8400
Rank Norm SMA
0.6569
Calculé le
30/07/2026 18:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6934 r1h: 0.901% · r4h: 2.462% · r1d: 4.76% · r3d: 5.50% · ema21_slope: 0.1649% · dist_ema21: 2.972%
Force Relative 25% 0.6818 rs_1h: 0.921% · rs_4h: 2.624% · rs_1d: 3.38% · rs_3d: 5.59% · beta_24h: 0.976
Volume 20% 0.4084 rvol_20: 1.10× · zscore_50: 0.432 · trend: 13.00%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6714 ADX: 20.6 (weak) · Chop: 30.1 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.049% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 4.2h) Initial Risk: -2.485% (0.0005)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.258% 0.1R -0.290% 0.1R 0.9× 12
2h +0.920% 0.4R -0.290% 0.1R 3.2× 24
4h +0.920% 0.4R -0.939% 0.4R 1.0× 48
4.2h ★ +0.920% 0.4R -0.943% 0.4R 1.0× 49
8h +0.920% 0.4R -2.655% 1.1R 0.4× 96
12h +0.920% 0.4R -3.405% 1.4R 0.3× 144

computed 3 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.82
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range strong balanced compression bear_high
52%
noisy_chop 32% early — — — bear_high -4.05% -0.70 29/07 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate fading normal bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 37% late — — 0.55 range_high +0.64% +0.64 30/07 16:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced expansion bull_high
66%
noisy_chop 51% late — near -0.3ATR 0.38 range_medium +0.63% +0.32 30/07 17:00
15m ↑ up range range weak fading compression bull_medium
58%
noisy_chop 54% late — — 0.62 range_low +0.34% +0.20 30/07 17:45
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 23b — 3.704×ATR p31 -0.009×ATR p1
4h ↑ up late 4b — 2.805×ATR p39 +1.521×ATR p93
1h ↑ up late 3b — 2.818×ATR p55 +1.775×ATR p96
15m ↑ up late 12b — 5.385×ATR p93 +1.128×ATR p79

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.02118546
  2. tp_price: 0.02227427
  3. atr: 0.00021821
  4. expires_at: 2026-07-31T04:10:04+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 2
  2. total: 44
  3. score: 0.6934
  4. delta_2h: 0.1443
  5. extension_atr: 2.09
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.84
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.02173 0.02119 0.02227 1 0.01713
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.02173
  • Stop Loss: 0.02119
  • Take Profit: 0.02227

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.02119 - 0.02173 = -0.00054

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.02173 - 0.02227 = -0.00054

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00054 / -0.00054 = 1

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
318.6714 100 14664.3692 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.00054

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00054 = -14814.81

Taille de position USD = -14814.81 x 0.02173 = -321.93

Donc, tu peux acheter -14814.81 avec un stoploss a 0.02119

Avec un position size USD de -321.93$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -14814.81 x -0.00054 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -14814.81 x -0.00054 = 8

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 8$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -14814.81
  • Taille de position USD -321.93
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 8
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.49 % 7.92 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.49 % 7.92 $
PNL PNL %
-2.8 $ -0.88
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.9388 % 37.78 % 14
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.02173 0.02119 0.02227 1 0.01713
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.02173
  • Stop Loss: 0.02119
  • Take Profit: 0.02227

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.02119 - 0.02173 = -0.00054

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.02173 - 0.02227 = -0.00054

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00054 / -0.00054 = 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 4.2h) Initial Risk: -2.485% (0.0005)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.258% 0.1R -0.290% 0.1R 0.9× 12
2h +0.920% 0.4R -0.290% 0.1R 3.2× 24
4h +0.920% 0.4R -0.939% 0.4R 1.0× 48
4.2h ★ +0.920% 0.4R -0.943% 0.4R 1.0× 49
8h +0.920% 0.4R -2.655% 1.1R 0.4× 96
12h +0.920% 0.4R -3.405% 1.4R 0.3× 144

computed 3 months ago

Commentaires

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