30 Jul 2026 at 18:14:29 hyperliquid

Long Trade on ADA (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 1249.77 ADA at 0.17$ per unit. Take profit: 0.186 (9.48 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1635 (3.77 %)

ADA LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 30 Jul 2026 18:14 → 06:10 · 11 hours

Position

Entry 0.1699$

Qty 1249.7735 ADA

Size 212.399$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.186 (+9.48%)

TP $ 20.12$

SL 0.1635 (-3.77%)

SL $ 8$

RR 2.52

Status loss PnL -0.44% / -0.93$ MAE -1.36% MFE +1.12% 0.3R expires 31 Jul 06:14 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 53888)
#7 / 43
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/07/2026 18:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9201

Quality Score
0.581
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#7 / 43
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
70 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#7 / 43
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
70 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.41×ATR
4h clear —
1d clear 10.51×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

V6 Shadow Analysis

V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
4.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/07 18:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

29/07 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

30/07 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

30/07 17:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #1174
Voir snapshot →
range compression range_bound
Strategic range

—

compression

0

Operational range

—

range

0

Tactical range

—

range

0

Micro —

—

MTF alignment : 0.65
Stability : 0.67
Transition risk : 0.33
Score contribution (this trade) 0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.80
Snapshot évalué : 30/07 18:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 30/07/2026 18:00
Score brut
0.5813
Score SMA
0.5641
Rank
#7 / 43
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9201
Rank Norm SMA
0.8438
Calculé le
30/07/2026 18:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5928 r1h: -0.205% · r4h: -0.954% · r1d: 4.64% · r3d: 7.37% · ema21_slope: 0.2504% · dist_ema21: 1.408%
Force Relative 25% 0.5786 rs_1h: -0.185% · rs_4h: -0.792% · rs_1d: 3.26% · rs_3d: 7.46% · beta_24h: 0.216
Volume 20% 0.1473 rvol_20: 0.28× · zscore_50: -0.947 · trend: -42.12%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8626 ADX: 43.5 (trend) · Chop: 28.6 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.230% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -3.767% (0.0064)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.518% 0.1R -0.241% 0.1R 2.2× 12
2h +0.518% 0.1R -0.241% 0.1R 2.2× 24
4h +0.589% 0.2R -0.424% 0.1R 1.4× 48
8h +0.589% 0.2R -1.171% 0.3R 0.5× 96
12h ★ +1.118% 0.3R -1.360% 0.4R 0.8× 144
24h +1.542% 0.4R -2.025% 0.5R 0.8× 288

computed 3 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.04
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate fading normal bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 39% mid — — 0.81 bear_high -4.05% +0.20 29/07 20:00
4h ↑ up range range strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high
56%
noisy_chop 42% mid — — 0.69 range_high +0.64% +0.62 30/07 16:00
1h ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition strong grind expansion bull_high
68%
noisy_chop 49% mid — — 0.70 range_medium +0.63% +0.30 30/07 17:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate fading compression bull_medium
57%
noisy_chop 41% mid — — — range_low +0.36% +0.01 30/07 17:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 8b — 0.976×ATR p0 +0.752×ATR p69
4h ↑ up mid 6b — 2.676×ATR p26 +0.797×ATR p65
1h ↓ down mid 6b — 2.722×ATR p57 +0.018×ATR p2
15m ↓ down mid 6b — 3.06×ATR p52 -0.848×ATR p69

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. confidence: 0.6993
  3. reason: up_bo width=2.29×ATR dur=48b phase=extending
  4. stop_price: 0.16354884
  5. tp_price: 0.1859529
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.69930757153028
  8. expires_at: 2026-07-31T10:14:21.494199
  9. max_bars: 12
  10. max_bars_tf: 1h
  11. confidence_pre_ob: 0.69930757153028
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : 0.0545
  14. obi_top10 : 0.0672
  15. micro_price : 0.16993107
  16. spread_pct : 0.058858
  17. mid_price : 0.16995
  18. bid_wall_price : 0.168
  19. bid_wall_size : 11777025
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price : 0.172
  22. ask_wall_size : 8971458.4
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : 0.0549
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.0008
  27. pressure_side : neutral
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 6884
  30. aggregation_tick : 0.001
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    0.166025
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    0.16147
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    0.1637475
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1785279600
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1785448800
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    2.2929
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    48
  43. balance_zone_quality: tight
  44. balance_zone_maturity: established
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.6993
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: extending
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1785416400
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    0.166025
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.75
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    9
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    1.9757
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    
                                                                                                                                
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    0
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    3
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    8
  59. regime : bull_high
  60. atr_entry : 0.0019866
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
48
inside_close_ratio
0.75
bars_since_breakout
9
distance_to_edge_atr
1.9757

Signaux confirmants (12)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 18:14 0.16995000 +0.029%
2 18:20 0.17001000 +0.065%
3 18:26 0.17001000 +0.065%
4 18:32 0.17001000 +0.065%
5 18:38 0.17052000 +0.365%
6 18:44 0.17052000 +0.365%
7 18:50 0.17028000 +0.224%
8 18:56 0.17028000 +0.224%
9 19:03 0.17028000 +0.224%
10 19:50 0.16997000 +0.041%
11 19:56 0.16997000 +0.041%
12 20:03 0.16997000 +0.041%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 6884ms Confidence avant OB : 70% → 70%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.055
avg 0.055 ± 0.001
OBI Top 10 0.067

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.1700
Micro Price
0.1699
Spread
0.0589%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
0.1680
Size
11,777,025.00

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
0.1720
Size
8,971,458.40

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1699 0.1635 0.186 2.52 0.1828
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1699
  • Stop Loss: 0.1635
  • Take Profit: 0.186

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1635 - 0.1699 = -0.0064

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1699 - 0.186 = -0.0161

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0161 / -0.0064 = 2.5156

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
212.399 100 1249.7735 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0064

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0064 = -1250

Taille de position USD = -1250 x 0.1699 = -212.38

Donc, tu peux acheter -1250 avec un stoploss a 0.1635

Avec un position size USD de -212.38$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -1250 x -0.0064 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -1250 x -0.0161 = 20.13

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.13$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -1250
  • Taille de position USD -212.38
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 20.13
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5156

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
9.48 % 20.12 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.77 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-0.93 $ -0.44
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.3596 % 36.09 % 31
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1699 0.1635 0.186 2.52 0.1828
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1699
  • Stop Loss: 0.1635
  • Take Profit: 0.186

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1635 - 0.1699 = -0.0064

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1699 - 0.186 = -0.0161

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0161 / -0.0064 = 2.5156

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -3.767% (0.0064)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.518% 0.1R -0.241% 0.1R 2.2× 12
2h +0.518% 0.1R -0.241% 0.1R 2.2× 24
4h +0.589% 0.2R -0.424% 0.1R 1.4× 48
8h +0.589% 0.2R -1.171% 0.3R 0.5× 96
12h ★ +1.118% 0.3R -1.360% 0.4R 0.8× 144
24h +1.542% 0.4R -2.025% 0.5R 0.8× 288

computed 3 months ago

Commentaires

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