Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 7.6 XMR at 364.34$ per unit. Take profit: 366.444 (0.58 %) & Stop Loss: 363.288 (0.29 %)
Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 7.6 XMR at 364.34$ per unit. Take profit: 366.444 (0.58 %) & Stop Loss: 363.288 (0.29 %)
Position
Entry 364.34$
Qty 7.6045 XMR
Size 2770.6174$ (margin 100$) (leverage 28)
Risk Setup
TP 366.444 (+0.58%)
TP $ 16$
SL 363.288 (-0.29%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8150
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.05×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.71×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.92×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 29/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 30/07 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 30/07 19:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.192934 15m : 0.230032 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6296 | r1h: -0.403% · r4h: 1.499% · r1d: 3.90% · r3d: 5.47% · ema21_slope: 0.1404% · dist_ema21: 1.921% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5565 | rs_1h: -0.687% · rs_4h: 1.165% · rs_1d: 2.38% · rs_3d: 3.72% · beta_24h: 0.904 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4008 | rvol_20: 1.22× · zscore_50: 0.065 · trend: 10.83% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7023 | ADX: 29.2 (trend) · Chop: 43.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.823% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.154% | 0.5R | -1.235% | 4.3R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.154% | 0.5R | -1.737% | 6.0R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.154% | 0.5R | -2.215% | 7.7R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.154% | 0.5R | -3.593% | 12.4R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.154% | 0.5R | -3.598% | 12.5R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | — | 0.51 | bear_high | -4.05% | +0.76 | 29/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | near -0.7ATR | 0.32 | bull_high | +0.86% | +0.50 | 30/07 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 47% | mid | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.35 | bull_medium | +0.88% | +0.21 | 30/07 19:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_low |
53%
|
noisy_chop 48% | early | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.28 | range_low | +0.55% | +0.15 | 30/07 19:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 0.933×ATR | p0 | +0.607×ATR | p72 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 14b | — | 5.612×ATR | p90 | +1.513×ATR | p98 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 9b | — | 3.537×ATR | p77 | +0.697×ATR | p60 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.731×ATR | p12 | -0.266×ATR | p24 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64794.5
0.00127201
64877
0.192934
64539.6
0.00559892
64901
0.230032
64341.3
0.00897745
64919
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355.42
190
0.7394
0.7259
0.4123
0.2714
0.5275
0.5425
0.5006
0.7456
0.6327
0.726
0.7808
0.8749
0.2424
0.1552
1
1.9064
3.5692
0.35
0.65
1
10
1
0.4571
0.6639
4.5532
0.7
0.5425
2.4701
3.5692
0.3808
0.1438
0.62
0.231
0.6277
0.6947
0.8317
0.8749
-1.514
10.5913
1
1
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:28 | 364.34000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 19:34 | 364.52000000 | +0.049% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 15:10:00 | 355.67 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 16:00:00 | 359.67 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 16:45:00 | 356.48 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 17:25:00 | 356.06 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 19:20:00 | 359.67 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 20:10:00 | 364.91 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 21:20:00 | 364.53 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 22:10:00 | 368 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 23:25:00 | 364.33 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 06:30:00 | 356.06 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 08:15:00 | 354.06 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 10:00:00 | 359.03 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 11:00:00 | 356.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 13:45:00 | 361.86 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 14:45:00 | 355.42 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 16:00:00 | 359.67 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 17:15:00 | 356.06 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 22:00:00 | 368 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 23:00:00 | 365.26 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 02:00:00 | 340.38 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 09:00:00 | 344.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 15:00:00 | 334.89 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 07:00:00 | 351.69 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 12:00:00 | 345.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 18:00:00 | 355.19 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 21:00:00 | 349.99 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 13:00:00 | 361.86 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 14:00:00 | 355.42 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 22:00:00 | 368 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 364.34 | 363.288 | 366.444 | 2 | 638.47 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 363.288 - 364.34 = -1.052
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 364.34 - 366.444 = -2.104
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.104 / -1.052 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2770.6174 | 100 | 7.6045 | 28.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -1.052 = -7.6
Taille de position USD = -7.6 x 364.34 = -2768.98
Donc, tu peux acheter -7.6 avec un stoploss a 363.288
Avec un position size USD de -2768.98$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -7.6 x -1.052 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -7.6 x -2.104 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.58 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.29 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.29 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2964 % | 102.67 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 364.34 | 363.288 | 366.444 | 2 | 638.47 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 363.288 - 364.34 = -1.052
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 364.34 - 366.444 = -2.104
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.104 / -1.052 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.154% | 0.5R | -1.235% | 4.3R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.154% | 0.5R | -1.737% | 6.0R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.154% | 0.5R | -2.215% | 7.7R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.154% | 0.5R | -3.593% | 12.4R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.154% | 0.5R | -3.598% | 12.5R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
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