Long Trade on PENGU (CatchTheWave)
With 283687.94 PENGU at 0.00603$ per unit. Take profit: 0.006087 (0.93 %) & Stop Loss: 0.006003 (0.46 %)
Long Trade on PENGU (CatchTheWave)
With 283687.94 PENGU at 0.00603$ per unit. Take profit: 0.006087 (0.93 %) & Stop Loss: 0.006003 (0.46 %)
Position
Entry 0.006031$
Qty 283687.9433 PENGU
Size 1710.922$ (margin 100$) (leverage 17)
Risk Setup
TP 0.006087 (+0.93%)
TP $ 15.89$
SL 0.006003 (-0.46%)
SL $ 7.94$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7111
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.95×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.75×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.74×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 29/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 30/07 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 30/07 19:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.273088 15m : 0.374361 |
1H_regime : bull_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5966 | r1h: -0.066% · r4h: 1.035% · r1d: 5.29% · r3d: 1.65% · ema21_slope: 0.1589% · dist_ema21: 2.111% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5702 | rs_1h: -0.011% · rs_4h: 0.999% · rs_1d: 3.99% · rs_3d: -0.01% · beta_24h: 0.867 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3433 | rvol_20: 0.54× · zscore_50: -0.372 · trend: 71.55% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7410 | ADX: 28.9 (trend) · Chop: 28.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.084% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.310% | 2.8R | -0.232% | 0.5R | 5.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.238% | 4.8R | -0.232% | 0.5R | 9.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.238% | 4.8R | -0.879% | 1.9R | 2.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.238% | 4.8R | -0.879% | 1.9R | 2.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.238% | 4.8R | -0.879% | 1.9R | 2.6× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | pullback | bear_trend | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | near -1.4ATR | — | 0.75 | bear_high | -4.05% | -0.65 | 29/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | — | 0.72 | bull_high | +0.86% | -0.11 | 30/07 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
65%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | — | near -0.9ATR | 0.56 | range_medium | +0.69% | +0.31 | 30/07 19:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_medium |
66%
|
noisy_chop 49% | early | — | — | — | range_low | +0.36% | +0.29 | 30/07 19:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 26b | — | 3.111×ATR | p28 | -0.446×ATR | p44 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 6b | — | 3.001×ATR | p48 | +1.131×ATR | p87 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 1b | — | 1.421×ATR | p2 | +1.074×ATR | p84 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 2.757×ATR | p48 | -0.268×ATR | p28 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64805.4
0.000872286
64862
0.273088
64555.3
0.00474974
64862
0.374361
64375.6
0.00735217
64849
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0.006168
197
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0.4602
0.2632
0.1101
1
1.4658
1.8797
0.3
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1
2
1
0.5701
0.4148
5.7149
0.55
3.0714
6.8461
1.8797
0.2412
0.3027
0.58
0.0835
0.4981
0.5096
0.6669
0.4602
-6.8074
5.8028
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 20:09 | 0.00603100 | 0% |
| 2 | 20:15 | 0.00602300 | -0.133% |
| 3 | 20:21 | 0.00601800 | -0.216% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 17:10:00 | 0.005831 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 18:15:00 | 0.005856 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 18:20:00 | 0.005894 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 18:55:00 | 0.005864 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 21:00:00 | 0.006167 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 21:20:00 | 0.006072 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 22:00:00 | 0.006168 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 22:55:00 | 0.006045 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 23:35:00 | 0.006083 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 00:05:00 | 0.006027 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 08:00:00 | 0.005781 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 10:15:00 | 0.005836 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 12:00:00 | 0.005851 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 13:30:00 | 0.005812 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 13:45:00 | 0.005903 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 15:30:00 | 0.005831 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 16:00:00 | 0.00587 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 17:00:00 | 0.005831 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 22:00:00 | 0.006168 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 00:00:00 | 0.006027 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 08:00:00 | 0.005966 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 13:00:00 | 0.005805 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-28 16:00:00 | 0.006128 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 04:00:00 | 0.005807 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 18:00:00 | 0.005892 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 21:00:00 | 0.005652 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 02:00:00 | 0.005907 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 08:00:00 | 0.005781 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 13:00:00 | 0.005903 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 22:00:00 | 0.006168 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.006031 | 0.006003 | 0.006087 | 2 | 0.007219 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.006003 - 0.006031 = -2.8E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.006031 - 0.006087 = -5.6E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -5.6E-5 / -2.8E-5 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1710.922 | 100 | 283687.9433 | 17.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -2.8E-5 = -285714.29
Taille de position USD = -285714.29 x 0.006031 = -1723.14
Donc, tu peux acheter -285714.29 avec un stoploss a 0.006003
Avec un position size USD de -1723.14$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -285714.29 x -2.8E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -285714.29 x -5.6E-5 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.93 % | 15.89 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.46 % | 7.94 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.89 $ | 0.93 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2321 % | 49.99 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.006031 | 0.006003 | 0.006087 | 2 | 0.007219 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.006003 - 0.006031 = -2.8E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.006031 - 0.006087 = -5.6E-5
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -5.6E-5 / -2.8E-5 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.310% | 2.8R | -0.232% | 0.5R | 5.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.238% | 4.8R | -0.232% | 0.5R | 9.6× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.238% | 4.8R | -0.879% | 1.9R | 2.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.238% | 4.8R | -0.879% | 1.9R | 2.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.238% | 4.8R | -0.879% | 1.9R | 2.6× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
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