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Short Trade on KAITO

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30 Jul 2026 at 21:10:04 hyperliquid

Short Trade on KAITO (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 80.96 KAITO at 1.106$ per unit. Take profit: 1.0784 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1.2049 (8.93 %)

KAITO SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 30 Jul 2026 21:10 → 03:05 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 1.1061$

Qty 80.9588 KAITO

Size 89.5485$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 1.0784 (+2.5%)

TP $ 2.24$

SL 1.2049 (-8.93%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.28

Status loss PnL -4.09% / -3.66$ MAE -6.51% MFE +0.37% 0.0R expires 31 Jul 03:10 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 54032)
#43 / 43
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/07/2026 21:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0238

Quality Score
0.387
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#43 / 43
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-4
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#43 / 43
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-4
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.55×ATR
4h clear 1.64×ATR
1d clear 3.07×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
N/A
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
10.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/07 21:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3)

30/07 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

30/07 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

30/07 20:00

Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #1177
Voir snapshot →
range compression range_bound
Strategic range

—

compression

0

Operational range

—

range

0

Tactical range

—

range

0

Micro —

—

MTF alignment : 0.65
Stability : 0.63
Transition risk : 0.37
Score contribution (this trade) 0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.78
Snapshot évalué : 30/07 21:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 30/07/2026 21:00
Score brut
0.3866
Score SMA
0.4274
Rank
#43 / 43
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0238
Rank Norm SMA
0.2832
Calculé le
30/07/2026 21:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2680 r1h: -1.109% · r4h: 3.199% · r1d: -12.17% · r3d: -14.83% · ema21_slope: -0.4373% · dist_ema21: -2.622%
Force Relative 25% 0.2680 rs_1h: -1.143% · rs_4h: 3.150% · rs_1d: -13.90% · rs_3d: -16.91% · beta_24h: -2.513
Volume 20% 0.2849 rvol_20: 1.01× · zscore_50: -0.191 · trend: -38.17%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7254 ADX: 38.9 (trend) · Chop: 50.5 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.7339 ATR%: 3.798% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -8.932% (0.0988)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.371% 0.0R -2.767% 0.3R 0.1× 12
2h +0.371% 0.0R -3.381% 0.4R 0.1× 24
4h +0.371% 0.0R -3.607% 0.4R 0.1× 48
6h ★ +0.371% 0.0R -6.509% 0.7R 0.1× 72
8h +0.371% 0.0R -6.509% 0.7R 0.1× 96
12h +3.888% 0.4R -6.509% 0.7R 0.6× 144

computed 3 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.13
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
61%
noisy_chop 37% early — — 0.44 bear_high -4.03% +1.00 30/07 20:00
4h ↑ up range range moderate balanced expansion_after_compression bull_high
55%
noisy_chop 42% early — — 0.05 range_high +0.71% -0.76 30/07 20:00
1h ↓ down range range strong fading expansion bear_high
53%
noisy_chop 47% early — near -0.1ATR -0.06 range_medium +0.65% -0.79 30/07 20:00
15m ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate grind normal bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 39% mid near -0.6ATR — — range_low +0.33% -0.09 30/07 20:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 2b — 1.993×ATR p0 -0.025×ATR p3
4h ↓ down early 8b — 3.139×ATR p26 -0.258×ATR p27
1h ↑ up early 5b — 0.94×ATR p0 -0.13×ATR p12
15m ↓ down mid 2b — 3.288×ATR p58 -1.159×ATR p79

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 1.20491574
  2. tp_price: 1.0784475
  3. atr: 0.0395263
  4. expires_at: 2026-07-31T07:10:04+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 43
  2. total: 43
  3. score: 0.268
  4. delta_2h: -0.0801
  5. extension_atr: -0.45
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0238
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
1.1061 1.2049 1.0784 0.28 0.2309
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 1.1061
  • Stop Loss: 1.2049
  • Take Profit: 1.0784

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1.2049 - 1.1061 = 0.0988

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 1.1061 - 1.0784 = 0.0277

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0277 / 0.0988 = 0.2804

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
89.5485 89.5485 80.9588 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0988

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0988 = 80.97

Taille de position USD = 80.97 x 1.1061 = 89.56

Donc, tu peux acheter 80.97 avec un stoploss a 1.2049

Avec un position size USD de 89.56$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 80.97 x 0.0988 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 80.97 x 0.0277 = 2.24

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.24$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 80.97
  • Taille de position USD 89.56
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 2.24
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.2804

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 2.24 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
8.93 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-3.66 $ -4.09
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-6.5094 % 72.87 % 2
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
1.1061 1.2049 1.0784 0.28 0.2309
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 1.1061
  • Stop Loss: 1.2049
  • Take Profit: 1.0784

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1.2049 - 1.1061 = 0.0988

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 1.1061 - 1.0784 = 0.0277

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0277 / 0.0988 = 0.2804

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -8.932% (0.0988)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.371% 0.0R -2.767% 0.3R 0.1× 12
2h +0.371% 0.0R -3.381% 0.4R 0.1× 24
4h +0.371% 0.0R -3.607% 0.4R 0.1× 48
6h ★ +0.371% 0.0R -6.509% 0.7R 0.1× 72
8h +0.371% 0.0R -6.509% 0.7R 0.1× 96
12h +3.888% 0.4R -6.509% 0.7R 0.6× 144

computed 3 months ago

Commentaires

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