Long Trade on BCH (CatchTheWave)
With 10.45 BCH at 213.97$ per unit. Take profit: 215.5004 (0.72 %) & Stop Loss: 213.2048 (0.36 %)
Long Trade on BCH (CatchTheWave)
With 10.45 BCH at 213.97$ per unit. Take profit: 215.5004 (0.72 %) & Stop Loss: 213.2048 (0.36 %)
Position
Entry 213.97$
Qty 10.4548 BCH
Size 2237.0062$ (margin 100$) (leverage 22)
Risk Setup
TP 215.5004 (+0.72%)
TP $ 16$
SL 213.2048 (-0.36%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7072
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.64×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.50×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 23.80×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 30/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 30/07 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 30/07 22:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.578097 15m : 0.320115 |
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : bear_medium 5m_regime : bear_low_confirmed |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5373 | r1h: -0.679% · r4h: -0.435% · r1d: 2.48% · r3d: 0.75% · ema21_slope: 0.1413% · dist_ema21: -0.162% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5273 | rs_1h: -0.162% · rs_4h: 0.538% · rs_1d: 2.42% · rs_3d: -0.89% · beta_24h: 1.077 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2306 | rvol_20: 0.53× · zscore_50: -0.159 · trend: -22.88% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7086 | ADX: 25.0 (trend) · Chop: 37.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.901% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.458% | 1.3R | -0.023% | 0.1R | 19.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.458% | 1.3R | -0.187% | 0.5R | 2.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.458% | 1.3R | -0.444% | 1.2R | 1.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.458% | 1.3R | -4.019% | 11.2R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.458% | 1.3R | -4.019% | 11.2R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.67 | bear_high | -4.03% | -0.86 | 30/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | range_high |
36%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | — | — | 0.66 | range_high | +0.33% | +0.12 | 30/07 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | 0.57 | range_medium | -0.24% | +0.19 | 30/07 22:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | range_medium |
39%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | — | range_low | -0.58% | +0.01 | 30/07 22:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 21b | — | 3.725×ATR | p45 | +0.234×ATR | p28 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 7b | — | 3.176×ATR | p26 | +0.448×ATR | p46 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 10b | — | 3.456×ATR | p76 | -0.528×ATR | p51 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 2.765×ATR | p37 | -1.214×ATR | p82 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64684.8
-0.00772814
64185
0.578097
64609.6
-0.00657273
64185
0.320115
64405.8
-0.00273046
64230
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221.89
188
0.6011
0.6806
0.3778
0.2884
0.4508
1
0.4218
0.4889
0.6251
0.4674
0.6717
0.5779
0.0149
0.044
0.6667
-0.5939
0.2449
0.45
0.55
1
14
1
0.4231
0.6792
6.1207
0.5
1.125
2.0988
0.2449
0.8219
0.2865
0.36
0.0771
0.5689
0.4143
0.6227
0.5779
-4.1883
5.735
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (6)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23:08 | 213.97000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 23:13 | 213.92000000 | -0.023% |
| 3 | 23:37 | 214.40000000 | +0.201% |
| 4 | 00:13 | 214.02000000 | +0.023% |
| 5 | 00:19 | 213.96000000 | -0.005% |
| 6 | 00:25 | 213.60000000 | -0.173% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 19:35:00 | 219.36 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 22:00:00 | 215.81 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 22:30:00 | 216.96 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 23:00:00 | 216 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 23:35:00 | 217.83 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 23:50:00 | 216.73 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 00:10:00 | 218.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 00:50:00 | 215.68 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 01:05:00 | 217.73 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 03:05:00 | 213.97 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 08:00:00 | 209.42 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 09:45:00 | 211.15 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 11:00:00 | 210.05 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 13:45:00 | 221.37 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 16:00:00 | 221.89 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 17:15:00 | 218.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 22:00:00 | 215.81 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 00:00:00 | 218.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 00:45:00 | 215.68 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 03:00:00 | 213.97 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 15:00:00 | 215.09 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 00:00:00 | 216 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 04:00:00 | 210.81 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 06:00:00 | 215.73 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 18:00:00 | 212.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 20:00:00 | 204.31 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 23:00:00 | 212.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 08:00:00 | 209.42 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 16:00:00 | 221.89 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 03:00:00 | 214.47 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 213.97 | 213.2048 | 215.5004 | 2 | 271.12 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 213.2048 - 213.97 = -0.76519999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 213.97 - 215.5004 = -1.5304
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.5304 / -0.76519999999999 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2237.0062 | 100 | 10.4548 | 22.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.76519999999999 = -10.45
Taille de position USD = -10.45 x 213.97 = -2235.99
Donc, tu peux acheter -10.45 avec un stoploss a 213.2048
Avec un position size USD de -2235.99$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -10.45 x -0.76519999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -10.45 x -1.5304 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.72 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.36 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.36 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.444 % | 124.16 % | 12 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 213.97 | 213.2048 | 215.5004 | 2 | 271.12 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 213.2048 - 213.97 = -0.76519999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 213.97 - 215.5004 = -1.5304
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.5304 / -0.76519999999999 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.458% | 1.3R | -0.023% | 0.1R | 19.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.458% | 1.3R | -0.187% | 0.5R | 2.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.458% | 1.3R | -0.444% | 1.2R | 1.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.458% | 1.3R | -4.019% | 11.2R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.458% | 1.3R | -4.019% | 11.2R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
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