30 Jul 2026 at 23:10:07 hyperliquid

Short Trade on JTO (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 427.59 JTO at 0.5$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4877 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.5189 (3.74 %)

JTO SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 30 Jul 2026 23:10 → 04:10 · 4 hours

Position

Entry 0.5002$

Qty 427.5887 JTO

Size 213.8756$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.4877 (+2.5%)

TP $ 5.34$

SL 0.5189 (-3.74%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.67

Status loss PnL -1.94% / -4.15$ MAE -3.01% MFE +0.00% 0.0R expires 31 Jul 04:20 Exit rank_decay: short rank=22 <= threshold=36/46

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 54107)
#44 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/07/2026 23:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0805

Quality Score
0.401
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#44 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.74 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#44 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.74 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h clear —
1d clear 0.76×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
N/A
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/07 23:01
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

30/07 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

30/07 20:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

30/07 22:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #1179
Voir snapshot →
range compression range_bound
Strategic range

—

compression

0

Operational range

—

range

0

Tactical range

—

range

0

Micro —

—

MTF alignment : 0.65
Stability : 0.63
Transition risk : 0.37
Score contribution (this trade) 0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.78
Snapshot évalué : 30/07 23:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 30/07/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.4008
Score SMA
0.4109
Rank
#44 / 44
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0805
Rank Norm SMA
0.1086
Calculé le
30/07/2026 23:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2877 r1h: -0.780% · r4h: -0.429% · r1d: -6.70% · r3d: -11.29% · ema21_slope: -0.2134% · dist_ema21: -1.622%
Force Relative 25% 0.3080 rs_1h: -0.264% · rs_4h: 0.544% · rs_1d: -6.76% · rs_3d: -12.93% · beta_24h: 1.116
Volume 20% 0.2149 rvol_20: 0.49× · zscore_50: -0.399 · trend: -18.92%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6302 ADX: 31.2 (trend) · Chop: 54.3 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.582% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 5.2h) Initial Risk: -3.739% (0.0187)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -1.773% 0.5R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -1.773% 0.5R 0.0× 24
4h +0.000% 0.0R -3.013% 0.8R 0.0× 48
5.2h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -3.013% 0.8R 0.0× 61
8h +0.000% 0.0R -3.013% 0.8R 0.0× 96
12h +0.000% 0.0R -4.416% 1.2R 0.0× 144

computed 3 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range strong fading compression bear_high
51%
noisy_chop 45% late — — 0.48 bear_high -4.03% -0.96 30/07 20:00
4h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong grind compression bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 45% late — — 0.30 range_high +0.33% -0.89 30/07 20:00
1h ↓ down pullback bear_trend moderate grind expansion_after_compression bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 36% early — — 0.31 range_medium -0.24% -0.33 30/07 22:00
15m ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition strong grind expansion bear_medium
61%
noisy_chop 42% mid — — — range_low -0.58% +0.10 30/07 22:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down late 35b — 7.54×ATR p89 -1.155×ATR p85
4h ↓ down late 22b — 8.096×ATR p100 -0.594×ATR p56
1h ↓ down early 2b — 2.072×ATR p23 -0.366×ATR p37
15m ↓ down mid 7b — 4.285×ATR p65 -0.829×ATR p55

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.51889957
  2. tp_price: 0.48768525
  3. atr: 0.00748383
  4. expires_at: 2026-07-31T09:10:07+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 44
  2. total: 44
  3. score: 0.2877
  4. delta_2h: -0.135
  5. extension_atr: -1.02
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0805
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 23:10 0.50019000 -0.002%
2 01:10 0.50503000 +0.966%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.5002 0.5189 0.4877 0.67 0.3416
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.5002
  • Stop Loss: 0.5189
  • Take Profit: 0.4877

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.5189 - 0.5002 = 0.0187

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.5002 - 0.4877 = 0.0125

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0125 / 0.0187 = 0.6684

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
213.8756 100 427.5887 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0187

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0187 = 427.81

Taille de position USD = 427.81 x 0.5002 = 213.99

Donc, tu peux acheter 427.81 avec un stoploss a 0.5189

Avec un position size USD de 213.99$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 427.81 x 0.0187 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 427.81 x 0.0125 = 5.35

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.35$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 427.81
  • Taille de position USD 213.99
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 5.35
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6684

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 5.34 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.74 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-4.15 $ -1.94
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.0128 % 80.59 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.5002 0.5189 0.4877 0.67 0.3416
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.5002
  • Stop Loss: 0.5189
  • Take Profit: 0.4877

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.5189 - 0.5002 = 0.0187

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.5002 - 0.4877 = 0.0125

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0125 / 0.0187 = 0.6684

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 5.2h) Initial Risk: -3.739% (0.0187)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -1.773% 0.5R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -1.773% 0.5R 0.0× 24
4h +0.000% 0.0R -3.013% 0.8R 0.0× 48
5.2h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -3.013% 0.8R 0.0× 61
8h +0.000% 0.0R -3.013% 0.8R 0.0× 96
12h +0.000% 0.0R -4.416% 1.2R 0.0× 144

computed 3 months ago

Commentaires

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