Short Trade on KAITO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 86.96 KAITO at 1.118$ per unit. Take profit: 1.0901 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1.21 (8.23 %)
31 Jul 2026 at 00:10:04
hyperliquid
KAITO
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
31 Jul 2026 00:10
→ 03:15
· 3 hours
Position
Entry 1.118$
Qty 86.9579 KAITO
Size 97.219$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 1.0901 (+2.5%)
TP $ 2.43$
SL 1.21 (-8.23%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.3
Status
loss
PnL
-2.76%
/ -2.69$
MAE -5.38%
MFE +0.57%
0.1R
expires
31 Jul 03:20
Exit
rank_decay: short rank=33 <= threshold=34/44
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 54162)
#44 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/07/2026 00:00
score du 31/07/2026 00:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0238
Quality Score
0.382
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#44 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
0
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-4
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.23 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#44 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-4
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
8.23 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.77×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.76×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.07×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+0
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
N/A
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
9.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/07 00:02
31/07 00:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 30/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 30/07 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 30/07 23:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #1180
Voir snapshot →
range
compression
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
0
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
31/07 00:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
31/07/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.3823
Score SMA
0.4202
Rank
#44
/ 44
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0238
Rank Norm SMA
0.2541
Calculé le
31/07/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3460 | r1h: -1.016% · r4h: 1.903% · r1d: -4.34% · r3d: -12.25% · ema21_slope: -0.2973% · dist_ema21: 0.174% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3297 | rs_1h: -1.159% · rs_4h: 2.513% · rs_1d: -4.69% · rs_3d: -13.89% · beta_24h: -3.122 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1446 | rvol_20: 0.19× · zscore_50: -0.831 · trend: -58.84% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5473 | ADX: 37.3 (trend) · Chop: 70.8 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8509 | ATR%: 3.447% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
3.2h)
Initial Risk: -8.229%
(0.0920)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.573% | 0.1R | -1.825% | 0.2R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.573% | 0.1R | -1.825% | 0.2R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 3.2h ★ | +0.573% | 0.1R | -5.376% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 37 |
| 4h | +0.573% | 0.1R | -5.376% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.943% | 0.4R | -5.376% | 0.7R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.911% | 0.6R | -5.376% | 0.7R | 0.9× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.5
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.44 | bear_high | -4.03% | +1.00 | 30/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.05 | range_high | -0.17% | -0.66 | 30/07 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | normal | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | near -1.2ATR | -0.07 | range_medium | +0.01% | -0.54 | 30/07 23:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | compression | range_high |
46%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | near -1.5ATR | — | range_low | -0.30% | +0.22 | 30/07 23:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 1.993×ATR | p0 | -0.025×ATR | p3 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 2.891×ATR | p24 | -0.125×ATR | p15 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 2.122×ATR | p23 | +0.549×ATR | p53 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 12b | — | 2.67×ATR | p50 | -0.096×ATR | p8 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 1.20999849
- tp_price: 1.09005
- atr: 0.0367994
- expires_at: 2026-07-31T10:10:04+00:00
Details
- rank: 43
- total: 44
- score: 0.346
- delta_2h: -0.0226
- extension_atr: -0.2
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0238
- confidence: 0.977
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:10 | 1.11800000 | 0% |
| 2 | 01:10 | 1.12410000 | +0.546% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.118 | 1.21 | 1.0901 | 0.3 | 0.2328 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.118
- Stop Loss: 1.21
- Take Profit: 1.0901
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.21 - 1.118 = 0.092
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.118 - 1.0901 = 0.0279
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0279 / 0.092 = 0.3033
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 97.219 | 97.219 | 86.9579 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.092
Taille de position = 8 / 0.092 = 86.96
Taille de position USD = 86.96 x 1.118 = 97.22
Donc, tu peux acheter 86.96 avec un stoploss a 1.21
Avec un position size USD de 97.22$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 86.96 x 0.092 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 86.96 x 0.0279 = 2.43
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.43$
Résumé
- Taille de position 86.96
- Taille de position USD 97.22
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 2.43
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3033
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 2.43 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 8.23 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -2.69 $ | -2.76 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -5.3757 % | 65.33 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.118 | 1.21 | 1.0901 | 0.3 | 0.2328 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.118
- Stop Loss: 1.21
- Take Profit: 1.0901
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.21 - 1.118 = 0.092
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.118 - 1.0901 = 0.0279
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0279 / 0.092 = 0.3033
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
3.2h)
Initial Risk: -8.229%
(0.0920)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.573% | 0.1R | -1.825% | 0.2R | 0.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.573% | 0.1R | -1.825% | 0.2R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 3.2h ★ | +0.573% | 0.1R | -5.376% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 37 |
| 4h | +0.573% | 0.1R | -5.376% | 0.7R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.943% | 0.4R | -5.376% | 0.7R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.911% | 0.6R | -5.376% | 0.7R | 0.9× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
Commentaires
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