Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 7.06 XMR at 356.11$ per unit. Take profit: 358.3772 (0.64 %) & Stop Loss: 354.9764 (0.32 %)
Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 7.06 XMR at 356.11$ per unit. Take profit: 358.3772 (0.64 %) & Stop Loss: 354.9764 (0.32 %)
Position
Entry 356.11$
Qty 7.0572 XMR
Size 2513.1541$ (margin 100$) (leverage 25)
Risk Setup
TP 358.3772 (+0.64%)
TP $ 16$
SL 354.9764 (-0.32%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9079
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.85×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.96×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.98×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 30/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 30/07 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 30/07 23:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.206609 15m : 0.332986 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : bear_low |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5356 | r1h: 0.143% · r4h: -0.852% · r1d: 1.02% · r3d: 4.54% · ema21_slope: 0.0768% · dist_ema21: -0.477% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5275 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.242% · rs_1d: 0.68% · rs_3d: 2.90% · beta_24h: 1.314 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5410 | rvol_20: 1.30× · zscore_50: 0.697 · trend: 75.38% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6124 | ADX: 21.8 (weak) · Chop: 46.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.869% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.090% | 0.3R | -0.522% | 1.6R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.090% | 0.3R | -0.730% | 2.3R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.090% | 0.3R | -1.370% | 4.3R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.090% | 0.3R | -1.845% | 5.8R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.303% | 1.0R | -2.547% | 8.0R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.51 | bear_high | -4.03% | +0.74 | 30/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.33 | range_high | -0.17% | +0.28 | 30/07 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | near 0.5ATR | — | 0.35 | range_medium | +0.01% | -0.02 | 30/07 23:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | fading | compression | range_low |
38%
|
choppy 54% | mid | near -1.5ATR | — | 0.35 | range_low | -0.32% | -0.17 | 30/07 23:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 0.917×ATR | p0 | +0.544×ATR | p67 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 2.02×ATR | p3 | +0.002×ATR | p0 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 3.646×ATR | p79 | -0.772×ATR | p65 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 9b | — | 3.487×ATR | p77 | -0.621×ATR | p52 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64606
-0.00549587
64251
0.206609
64559
-0.00460074
64262
0.332986
64417.7
-0.00122273
64339
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-28 09:00:00
[1] => 344.7
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-28 15:00:00
[1] => 334.89
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-29 07:00:00
[1] => 351.69
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-29 12:00:00
[1] => 345.39
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-29 18:00:00
[1] => 355.19
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-29 21:00:00
[1] => 349.99
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 13:00:00
[1] => 361.86
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 14:00:00
[1] => 355.42
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 22:00:00
[1] => 368
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-31 03:00:00
[1] => 356.27
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.8804347826087
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.31717517613046
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.2924467398322
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 11:00:00
[1] => 356.1
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 13:45:00
[1] => 361.86
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 14:45:00
[1] => 355.42
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 16:00:00
[1] => 359.67
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 17:15:00
[1] => 356.06
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 22:00:00
[1] => 368
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-31 00:45:00
[1] => 358.01
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-31 01:30:00
[1] => 361.38
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-31 03:15:00
[1] => 356.27
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-31 04:00:00
[1] => 358.77
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.40415865317613
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.29472029640442
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.70171499143908
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 20:10:00
[1] => 364.91
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 20:20:00
[1] => 362.09
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 21:20:00
[1] => 364.53
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 22:10:00
[1] => 368
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-30 23:45:00
[1] => 359.98
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-31 00:55:00
[1] => 358.01
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-31 01:30:00
[1] => 361.38
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-31 03:25:00
[1] => 356.27
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-31 04:05:00
[1] => 358.77
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-31 04:20:00
[1] => 355.98
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.74142208099896
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.036518905556491
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.78375189617393
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
368
193
0.6123
0.566
0.3609
0.3163
0.3975
1
0.2845
0.5346
0.6411
0.772
0.6077
0.6799
-0.0496
0.032
0.6667
-0.4847
0.607
0.4
0.6
1
6
1
0.3675
0.3864
4.5532
0.6
1.9534
4.368
0.607
0.4701
0.1735
0.62
0.4365
0.7346
0.5509
0.5651
0.6799
-3.512
7.458
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:22 | 356.11000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 00:28 | 355.79000000 | -0.09% |
| 3 | 00:40 | 355.23000000 | -0.247% |
| 4 | 00:52 | 354.51000000 | -0.449% |
| 5 | 00:58 | 354.38000000 | -0.486% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 20:10:00 | 364.91 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 20:20:00 | 362.09 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 21:20:00 | 364.53 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 22:10:00 | 368 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 23:45:00 | 359.98 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 00:55:00 | 358.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 01:30:00 | 361.38 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 03:25:00 | 356.27 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 04:05:00 | 358.77 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 04:20:00 | 355.98 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 11:00:00 | 356.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 13:45:00 | 361.86 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 14:45:00 | 355.42 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 16:00:00 | 359.67 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 17:15:00 | 356.06 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 22:00:00 | 368 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 00:45:00 | 358.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 01:30:00 | 361.38 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 03:15:00 | 356.27 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 04:00:00 | 358.77 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 09:00:00 | 344.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 15:00:00 | 334.89 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 07:00:00 | 351.69 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 12:00:00 | 345.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 18:00:00 | 355.19 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 21:00:00 | 349.99 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 13:00:00 | 361.86 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 14:00:00 | 355.42 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 22:00:00 | 368 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 03:00:00 | 356.27 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 356.11 | 354.9764 | 358.3772 | 2 | 627.06 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 354.9764 - 356.11 = -1.1336
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 356.11 - 358.3772 = -2.2672
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.2672 / -1.1336 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2513.1541 | 100 | 7.0572 | 25.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -1.1336 = -7.06
Taille de position USD = -7.06 x 356.11 = -2514.14
Donc, tu peux acheter -7.06 avec un stoploss a 354.9764
Avec un position size USD de -2514.14$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -7.06 x -1.1336 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -7.06 x -2.2672 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.64 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.32 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.32 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4746 % | 149.1 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 356.11 | 354.9764 | 358.3772 | 2 | 627.06 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 354.9764 - 356.11 = -1.1336
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 356.11 - 358.3772 = -2.2672
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.2672 / -1.1336 = 2
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 358.3772
[entry_price] => 356.11
[stop_loss] => 354.86304
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-07-31 04:45:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 358.3772
[entry_price] => 356.11
[stop_loss] => 354.74968
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-07-31 04:45:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 358.3772
[entry_price] => 356.11
[stop_loss] => 354.63632
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-07-31 04:45:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 358.3772
[entry_price] => 356.11
[stop_loss] => 354.4096
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-07-31 04:55:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.090% | 0.3R | -0.522% | 1.6R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.090% | 0.3R | -0.730% | 2.3R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.090% | 0.3R | -1.370% | 4.3R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.090% | 0.3R | -1.845% | 5.8R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.303% | 1.0R | -2.547% | 8.0R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
Aucun commentaire.