Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 7.48 XMR at 354.67$ per unit. Take profit: 356.8097 (0.6 %) & Stop Loss: 353.6001 (0.3 %)
Long Trade on XMR (CatchTheWave)
With 7.48 XMR at 354.67$ per unit. Take profit: 356.8097 (0.6 %) & Stop Loss: 353.6001 (0.3 %)
Position
Entry 354.67$
Qty 7.4775 XMR
Size 2652.0563$ (margin 100$) (leverage 27)
Risk Setup
TP 356.8097 (+0.6%)
TP $ 16$
SL 353.6001 (-0.3%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9049
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 3.17×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.68×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.98×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 30/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 31/07 00:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 31/07 00:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.297092 15m : 0.324283 |
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : bear_medium 5m_regime : bear_low |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5189 | r1h: -0.705% · r4h: -0.880% · r1d: 0.36% · r3d: 3.59% · ema21_slope: 0.0667% · dist_ema21: -1.018% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4864 | rs_1h: -0.603% · rs_4h: -0.229% · rs_1d: -0.09% · rs_3d: 2.09% · beta_24h: 1.435 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5683 | rvol_20: 1.39× · zscore_50: 0.923 · trend: 73.15% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6189 | ADX: 21.4 (weak) · Chop: 45.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.899% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.434% | 1.4R | -0.327% | 1.1R | 1.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.434% | 1.4R | -0.643% | 2.1R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.434% | 1.4R | -0.970% | 3.2R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.434% | 1.4R | -1.492% | 4.9R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.094% | 3.6R | -2.151% | 7.1R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | — | — | 0.51 | bear_high | -4.03% | +0.74 | 30/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.32 | range_high | +0.00% | +0.26 | 31/07 00:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | range_high |
33%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.35 | range_medium | -0.11% | -0.02 | 31/07 00:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | compression | bear_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 48% | mid | — | — | 0.34 | range_low | -0.36% | -0.05 | 31/07 00:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 0.917×ATR | p0 | +0.544×ATR | p67 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 2b | — | 1.798×ATR | p0 | +0.246×ATR | p29 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 6b | — | 3.952×ATR | p83 | -0.959×ATR | p75 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 2.121×ATR | p33 | -0.883×ATR | p68 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64565.4
-0.00361581
64332
0.297092
64537.4
-0.00318281
64332
0.324283
64411.9
-0.000247425
64396
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368
193
0.5274
0.566
0.3678
0.3316
0.3975
1
0.2422
0.5133
0.6411
0.904
0.602
0.6037
-0.0599
0.0233
0.3333
-1.1339
-0.1785
0.4
0.6
1
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1
0.3368
0.3864
4.5532
0.6
1.9534
4.368
-0.1785
0.4701
0.1541
0.84
0.571
0.7726
0.5396
0.5455
0.6037
-3.9747
6.0559
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 21:20:00 | 364.53 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 22:10:00 | 368 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 23:45:00 | 359.98 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 00:55:00 | 358.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 01:30:00 | 361.38 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 03:25:00 | 356.27 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 04:05:00 | 358.77 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 04:55:00 | 354.25 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 11:00:00 | 356.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 13:45:00 | 361.86 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 14:45:00 | 355.42 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 16:00:00 | 359.67 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 17:15:00 | 356.06 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 22:00:00 | 368 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 00:45:00 | 358.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 01:30:00 | 361.38 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 04:00:00 | 358.77 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 04:45:00 | 354.25 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 09:00:00 | 344.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-28 15:00:00 | 334.89 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 07:00:00 | 351.69 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 12:00:00 | 345.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 18:00:00 | 355.19 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 21:00:00 | 349.99 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 13:00:00 | 361.86 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 14:00:00 | 355.42 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 22:00:00 | 368 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 04:00:00 | 354.88 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 354.67 | 353.6001 | 356.8097 | 2 | 610.33 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 353.6001 - 354.67 = -1.0699
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 354.67 - 356.8097 = -2.1397
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.1397 / -1.0699 = 1.9999
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2652.0563 | 100 | 7.4775 | 27.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -1.0699 = -7.48
Taille de position USD = -7.48 x 354.67 = -2652.93
Donc, tu peux acheter -7.48 avec un stoploss a 353.6001
Avec un position size USD de -2652.93$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -7.48 x -1.0699 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -7.48 x -2.1397 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.6 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.3 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.30 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3271 % | 108.42 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 354.67 | 353.6001 | 356.8097 | 2 | 610.33 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 353.6001 - 354.67 = -1.0699
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 354.67 - 356.8097 = -2.1397
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.1397 / -1.0699 = 1.9999
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.434% | 1.4R | -0.327% | 1.1R | 1.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.434% | 1.4R | -0.643% | 2.1R | 0.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.434% | 1.4R | -0.970% | 3.2R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.434% | 1.4R | -1.492% | 4.9R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.094% | 3.6R | -2.151% | 7.1R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
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