Long Trade on MON (CatchTheWave)
With 111763.06 MON at 0.0212$ per unit. Take profit: 0.02132 (0.66 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0211 (0.38 %)
Long Trade on MON (CatchTheWave)
With 111763.06 MON at 0.0212$ per unit. Take profit: 0.02132 (0.66 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0211 (0.38 %)
Position
Entry 0.02118$
Qty 111763.0623 MON
Size 2366.6946$ (margin 100$) (leverage 24)
Risk Setup
TP 0.02132 (+0.66%)
TP $ 15.65$
SL 0.0211 (-0.38%)
SL $ 8.94$
RR 1.75
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h:
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.05×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 3.56×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 7.66×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie CatchTheWave. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 30/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (-2) 31/07 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 31/07 01:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.599695 15m : 0.429818 |
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : bear_medium_confirmed 5m_regime : bear_low_confirmed |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5148 | r1h: -0.491% · r4h: -1.327% · r1d: 2.64% · r3d: 0.57% · ema21_slope: 0.1189% · dist_ema21: -0.476% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4855 | rs_1h: -0.437% · rs_4h: -0.892% · rs_1d: 2.27% · rs_3d: -0.72% · beta_24h: 1.135 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9171 | rvol_20: 2.91× · zscore_50: 3.140 · trend: 48.89% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5743 | ADX: 25.1 (trend) · Chop: 54.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.038% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.486% | 1.3R | -0.014% | 0.0R | 34.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.699% | 1.9R | -0.014% | 0.0R | 49.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.699% | 1.9R | -0.897% | 2.4R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.699% | 1.9R | -2.691% | 7.1R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.699% | 1.9R | -2.691% | 7.1R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early | — | — | — | bear_high | -4.03% | -0.38 | 30/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.55 | range_high | +0.04% | +0.46 | 31/07 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | normal | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 47% | mid | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.38 | range_medium | -0.16% | +0.36 | 31/07 01:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | range_medium |
41%
|
choppy 53% | late | near -1.2ATR | — | 0.58 | range_low | -0.41% | -0.15 | 31/07 01:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 24b | — | 3.578×ATR | p25 | +0.203×ATR | p21 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 1.795×ATR | p0 | +0.227×ATR | p23 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 8b | — | 2.797×ATR | p54 | -0.528×ATR | p53 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 7b | — | 4.143×ATR | p72 | -1.806×ATR | p94 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
64495.7
-0.00252405
64333
0.599695
64508.4
-0.00272037
64333
0.429818
64424.1
-0.00161627
64320
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0.021952
190
0.5451
0.7667
0.3409
0.2871
0.385
1
0.3385
0.4915
0.6871
0.4796
0.7411
0.6038
-0.0147
0.0325
0.3333
-0.8253
-0.0243
0.6
0.4
1
9
1
0.4258
0.8301
4.58
0.6
1.622
3.3425
-0.0243
0.6633
0.2842
0.24
0.2034
0.5756
0.4216
0.7024
0.6038
-3.8252
5.8304
1
0
0
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:10 | 0.02117600 | -0.019% |
| 2 | 02:16 | 0.02119700 | +0.08% |
| 3 | 02:22 | 0.02120400 | +0.113% |
| 4 | 02:27 | 0.02120800 | +0.132% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 00:20:00 | 0.021664 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 00:55:00 | 0.021658 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 01:10:00 | 0.021832 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 01:45:00 | 0.021526 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 02:40:00 | 0.021597 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 03:10:00 | 0.021403 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 03:25:00 | 0.021526 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 04:00:00 | 0.021569 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 04:50:00 | 0.021358 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 06:00:00 | 0.021153 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 15:45:00 | 0.021669 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 16:30:00 | 0.021269 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 17:30:00 | 0.021441 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 18:45:00 | 0.021214 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 21:15:00 | 0.021952 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 22:45:00 | 0.021667 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 23:30:00 | 0.02193 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 03:00:00 | 0.021403 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 04:00:00 | 0.021569 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 06:00:00 | 0.021153 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 18:00:00 | 0.021502 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 00:00:00 | 0.021349 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 04:00:00 | 0.020734 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 18:00:00 | 0.021422 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 20:00:00 | 0.020578 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 03:00:00 | 0.021074 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 07:00:00 | 0.020573 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 15:00:00 | 0.021669 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 21:00:00 | 0.021952 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 06:00:00 | 0.021153 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.02118 | 0.0211 | 0.02132 | 1.75 | 0.01796 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0211 - 0.02118 = -8.0E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.02118 - 0.02132 = -0.00014
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00014 / -8.0E-5 = 1.75
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2366.6946 | 100 | 111763.0623 | 24.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -8.0E-5 = -100000
Taille de position USD = -100000 x 0.02118 = -2118
Donc, tu peux acheter -100000 avec un stoploss a 0.0211
Avec un position size USD de -2118$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -100000 x -8.0E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -100000 x -0.00014 = 14
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 14$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.66 % | 15.65 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.38 % | 8.94 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.64 $ | 0.66 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0142 % | 3.76 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.02118 | 0.0211 | 0.02132 | 1.75 | 0.01796 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.0211 - 0.02118 = -8.0E-5
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.02118 - 0.02132 = -0.00014
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00014 / -8.0E-5 = 1.75
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.486% | 1.3R | -0.014% | 0.0R | 34.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.699% | 1.9R | -0.014% | 0.0R | 49.2× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.699% | 1.9R | -0.897% | 2.4R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.699% | 1.9R | -2.691% | 7.1R | 0.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.699% | 1.9R | -2.691% | 7.1R | 0.3× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
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