Short Trade on JTO

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31 Jul 2026 at 08:10:04 hyperliquid

Short Trade on JTO (momentum_rotation_score)

With 393.21 JTO at 0.505$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.5256 (4.04 %)

JTO SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 31 Jul 2026 08:10 → 11:00 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.5052$

Qty 393.2093 JTO

Size 198.669$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 198.65$

SL 0.5256 (-4.04%)

SL $ 8.02$

Status loss PnL -2.89% / -5.73$ MAE -3.38% MFE +0.01% 0.0R expires 31 Jul 11:10 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 54510)

#45 / 45 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 31/07/2026 08:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0860

Quality Score

0.395

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#45 / 45 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

96 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

+7 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.04 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD TRADE

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#45 / 45 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

96 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

+7 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.04 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-0.91×ATR
4h	clear	—
1d	clear	0.93×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	early	OK
4h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
1d	↓ down	late	BLOCKED

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

+1 OK

seuil : ≥ +3

Breadth Leadership

N/A

attendu : btc_leading

Breadth State

N/A

attendu : contracting / deteriorating

Décision V5

N/A

regime + leadership

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

1.6M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
31/07 08:01

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 30/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 31/07 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 31/07 07:00 Score : +6 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

30/07 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

31/07 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

31/07 07:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1188

range ranging range_bound

Strategic	range —	range 0
Operational	range —	range 0
Tactical	bear —	expansion +1
Micro	— —

MTF alignment : 0.65

Stability : 0.63

Transition risk : 0.37

Score contribution (this trade) +1

Market Breadth

Breadth Score —

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	—
1h	—
4h	—
24h	—

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	—	—
4h	—	—
24h	—	—

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : —

Universe : —

Regime confidence : 0.78

Snapshot évalué : 31/07 08:00 · env range_bound

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 31/07/2026 08:00

Score brut

0.3945

Score SMA

0.4208

Rank

#45 / 45

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0860

Rank Norm SMA

0.1103

Calculé le

31/07/2026 08:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3422	r1h: -0.489% · r4h: -1.494% · r1d: -1.02% · r3d: -8.73% · ema21_slope: -0.0335% · dist_ema21: -1.135%
Force Relative	25%	0.3849	rs_1h: -0.361% · rs_4h: -1.328% · rs_1d: 0.42% · rs_3d: -9.32% · beta_24h: 1.414
Volume	20%	0.1512	rvol_20: 0.16× · zscore_50: -0.732 · trend: -60.31%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.4355	ADX: 19.5 (weak) · Chop: 66.3 (range)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.439% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -4.038% (0.0204)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.008%	0.0R	-2.207%	0.6R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.008%	0.0R	-2.207%	0.6R	0.0×	24
3h ★	+0.008%	0.0R	-3.383%	0.8R	0.0×	36
4h	+0.008%	0.0R	-3.399%	0.8R	0.0×	48
8h	+0.008%	0.0R	-4.444%	1.1R	0.0×	96
12h	+0.386%	0.1R	-4.444%	1.1R	0.1×	144

computed 3 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	grind	compression	bear_high	52%	noisy_chop 44%	late	—	—	0.48	bear_high	-4.62%	-0.93	30/07 20:00
4h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	54%	noisy_chop 46%	late	—	—	0.30	range_high	-0.60%	-0.84	31/07 04:00
1h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	normal	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 32%	early	near -0.9ATR	—	0.31	bear_medium	-0.76%	+0.14	31/07 07:00
15m	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	compression	bear_medium	57%	noisy_chop 41%	mid	near -0.6ATR	—	0.34	bear_low	-0.76%	-0.02	31/07 07:30
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	late	35b	—	7.222×ATR	p89	-0.95×ATR	p79
4h	↓ down	late	24b	—	8.496×ATR	p100	-0.533×ATR	p51
1h	↓ down	early	5b	—	1.763×ATR	p12	-0.509×ATR	p46
15m	↑ up	mid	19b	—	0×ATR	p0	-0.976×ATR	p67

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.5255954
atr: 0.0067818
expires_at: 2026-07-31T15:10:04+00:00

Details

rank: 46
total: 48
score: 0.3422
confidence: 0.957

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.5052	0.5256			0.3764

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.5052
Stop Loss: 0.5256
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.5256 - 0.5052 = 0.0204
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.5052 - = 0.5052
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.5052 / 0.0204 = 24.7647

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
198.669	100	393.2093	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.0204

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0204 = 392.16

Taille de position USD = 392.16 x 0.5052 = 198.12

Donc, tu peux acheter 392.16 avec un stoploss a 0.5256

Avec un position size USD de 198.12$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 392.16 x 0.0204 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 392.16 x 0.5052 = 198.12

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 198.12$

Résumé

Taille de position 392.16
Taille de position USD 198.12
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 198.12
Risk-Reward Ratio 24.7647

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
100 %	198.65 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
4.04 %	8.02 $

PNL	PNL %
-5.73 $	-2.89

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-3.1156 %	77.16 %	1

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.5052	0.5256			0.3764

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.5052
Stop Loss: 0.5256
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.5256 - 0.5052 = 0.0204
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.5052 - = 0.5052
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.5052 / 0.0204 = 24.7647

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.5052
            [stop_loss] => 0.52764
            [rr_ratio] => 22.51
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-07-31 17:55:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -4.038% (0.0204)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.008%	0.0R	-2.207%	0.6R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.008%	0.0R	-2.207%	0.6R	0.0×	24
3h ★	+0.008%	0.0R	-3.383%	0.8R	0.0×	36
4h	+0.008%	0.0R	-3.399%	0.8R	0.0×	48
8h	+0.008%	0.0R	-4.444%	1.1R	0.0×	96
12h	+0.386%	0.1R	-4.444%	1.1R	0.1×	144

computed 3 months ago

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