Short Trade on ZRO (momentum_rotation_score)
With 264.92 ZRO at 0.723$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.7534 (4.18 %)
31 Jul 2026 at 08:10:04
hyperliquid
ZRO
SHORT
momentum_rotation_score
hyperliquid
31 Jul 2026 08:10
→ 11:05
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.7232$
Qty 264.918 ZRO
Size 191.5834$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0 (+100%)
TP $ 191.59$
SL 0.7534 (-4.18%)
SL $ 8$
RR
Status
win
PnL
+0.02%
/ +0.034$
MAE -1.81%
MFE +1.01%
0.2R
expires
31 Jul 11:10
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 54505)
#44 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/07/2026 08:00
score du 31/07/2026 08:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2803
Quality Score
0.423
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#44 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.18 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#44 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.18 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | -2.44×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
3.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/07 08:00
31/07 08:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 30/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 31/07 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 31/07 07:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1188
range
ranging
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
bear
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
31/07 08:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
31/07/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.4234
Score SMA
0.4324
Rank
#44
/ 45
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2803
Rank Norm SMA
0.1689
Calculé le
31/07/2026 08:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2723 | r1h: -0.183% · r4h: 0.044% · r1d: -6.42% · r3d: -16.64% · ema21_slope: -0.3088% · dist_ema21: -2.757% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3149 | rs_1h: -0.055% · rs_4h: 0.210% · rs_1d: -4.97% · rs_3d: -17.22% · beta_24h: 2.334 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2739 | rvol_20: 0.32× · zscore_50: -0.476 · trend: 29.22% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7213 | ADX: 26.6 (trend) · Chop: 31.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.476% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★
3h)
Initial Risk: -4.176%
(0.0302)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.623% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.009% | 0.2R | -1.814% | 0.4R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +1.009% | 0.2R | -1.814% | 0.4R | 0.6× | 36 |
| 4h | +1.009% | 0.2R | -1.814% | 0.4R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.218% | 0.3R | -2.806% | 0.7R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.218% | 0.3R | -3.128% | 0.8R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.72
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | near -2.4ATR | — | 0.51 | bear_high | -4.62% | -0.98 | 30/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
51%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | 0.42 | range_high | -0.60% | -0.95 | 31/07 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | — | 0.38 | bear_medium | -0.76% | -0.45 | 31/07 07:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bear_medium |
50%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.51 | bear_low | -0.76% | -0.08 | 31/07 07:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 4b | — | 3.73×ATR | p23 | -1.111×ATR | p88 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 23b | — | 9.635×ATR | p96 | -1.284×ATR | p92 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 1.31×ATR | p2 | -0.581×ATR | p51 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 2.08×ATR | p16 | +0.258×ATR | p22 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7232 | 0.7534 | 1.8463 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.7232
- Stop Loss: 0.7534
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7534 - 0.7232 = 0.0302
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.7232 - = 0.7232
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.7232 / 0.0302 = 23.947
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 191.5834 | 100 | 264.918 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0302
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0302 = 264.9
Taille de position USD = 264.9 x 0.7232 = 191.58
Donc, tu peux acheter 264.9 avec un stoploss a 0.7534
Avec un position size USD de 191.58$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 264.9 x 0.0302 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 264.9 x 0.7232 = 191.58
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 191.58$
Résumé
- Taille de position 264.9
- Taille de position USD 191.58
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 191.58
- Risk-Reward Ratio 23.947
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 100 % | 191.59 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.18 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0.034 $ | 0.02 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.8142 % | 43.44 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7232 | 0.7534 | 1.8463 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.7232
- Stop Loss: 0.7534
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7534 - 0.7232 = 0.0302
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.7232 - = 0.7232
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.7232 / 0.0302 = 23.947
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★
3h)
Initial Risk: -4.176%
(0.0302)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.623% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.009% | 0.2R | -1.814% | 0.4R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +1.009% | 0.2R | -1.814% | 0.4R | 0.6× | 36 |
| 4h | +1.009% | 0.2R | -1.814% | 0.4R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.218% | 0.3R | -2.806% | 0.7R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.218% | 0.3R | -3.128% | 0.8R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 3 months ago
Commentaires
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