Short Trade on ZRO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 303.36 ZRO at 0.724$ per unit. Take profit: 0.706 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.7505 (3.65 %)
31 Jul 2026 at 11:10:07
hyperliquid
ZRO
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
31 Jul 2026 11:10
→ 17:05
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.7241$
Qty 303.3647 ZRO
Size 219.6664$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.706 (+2.5%)
TP $ 5.49$
SL 0.7505 (-3.65%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 0.69
Status
loss
PnL
-1.97%
/ -4.33$
MAE -2.68%
MFE +1.34%
0.4R
expires
31 Jul 17:10
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 54638)
#44 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/07/2026 11:00
score du 31/07/2026 11:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1356
Quality Score
0.412
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#44 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+1
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.65 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#44 / 44
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.65 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.13×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+1
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
3.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/07 11:00
31/07 11:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 30/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 31/07 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 31/07 10:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1191
range
ranging
range_bound
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
bear
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.65
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+1
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.78
Snapshot évalué :
31/07 11:00
· env range_bound
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
31/07/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.4117
Score SMA
0.4403
Rank
#44
/ 44
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1356
Rank Norm SMA
0.1827
Calculé le
31/07/2026 11:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2316 | r1h: -1.192% · r4h: -0.132% · r1d: -6.71% · r3d: -14.83% · ema21_slope: -0.2886% · dist_ema21: -2.265% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3698 | rs_1h: -0.223% · rs_4h: 1.823% · rs_1d: -3.62% · rs_3d: -13.64% · beta_24h: 1.589 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2125 | rvol_20: 0.36× · zscore_50: -0.410 · trend: -20.15% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7154 | ADX: 25.9 (trend) · Chop: 36.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.542% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.646%
(0.0264)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.985% | 0.3R | -0.007% | 0.0R | 142.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.341% | 0.4R | -1.269% | 0.4R | 1.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.341% | 0.4R | -2.678% | 0.7R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.341% | 0.4R | -2.685% | 0.7R | 0.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.341% | 0.4R | -2.942% | 0.8R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.341% | 0.4R | -3.545% | 1.0R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.18
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.51 | bear_high | -5.56% | -0.98 | 30/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high_confirmed |
51%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | 0.43 | bear_high | -2.59% | -0.95 | 31/07 08:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 46% | early | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.38 | bear_medium_confirmed | -2.48% | -0.31 | 31/07 10:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion | bear_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | near 0.5ATR | — | bear_low_confirmed | -2.21% | +0.27 | 31/07 10:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 4b | — | 3.804×ATR | p23 | -1.236×ATR | p92 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 24b | — | 9.896×ATR | p100 | -1.211×ATR | p90 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 1.36×ATR | p2 | -0.507×ATR | p44 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 1.167×ATR | p3 | -0.531×ATR | p46 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.7504709
- tp_price: 0.7059975
- atr: 0.01054836
- expires_at: 2026-07-31T21:10:07+00:00
Details
- rank: 45
- total: 45
- score: 0.2316
- delta_2h: -0.1345
- extension_atr: -1.12
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1356
- confidence: 1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:10 | 0.72410000 | 0% |
| 2 | 12:10 | 0.71809000 | -0.83% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7241 | 0.7505 | 0.706 | 0.69 | 1.7703 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.7241
- Stop Loss: 0.7505
- Take Profit: 0.706
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7505 - 0.7241 = 0.0264
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.7241 - 0.706 = 0.0181
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0181 / 0.0264 = 0.6856
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 219.6664 | 100 | 303.3647 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0264
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0264 = 303.03
Taille de position USD = 303.03 x 0.7241 = 219.42
Donc, tu peux acheter 303.03 avec un stoploss a 0.7505
Avec un position size USD de 219.42$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 303.03 x 0.0264 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 303.03 x 0.0181 = 5.48
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.48$
Résumé
- Taille de position 303.03
- Taille de position USD 219.42
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 5.48
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6856
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 5.49 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.65 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -4.33 $ | -1.97 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.6847 % | 73.64 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.7241 | 0.7505 | 0.706 | 0.69 | 1.7703 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.7241
- Stop Loss: 0.7505
- Take Profit: 0.706
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7505 - 0.7241 = 0.0264
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.7241 - 0.706 = 0.0181
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0181 / 0.0264 = 0.6856
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.646%
(0.0264)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.985% | 0.3R | -0.007% | 0.0R | 142.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.341% | 0.4R | -1.269% | 0.4R | 1.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.341% | 0.4R | -2.678% | 0.7R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.341% | 0.4R | -2.685% | 0.7R | 0.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.341% | 0.4R | -2.942% | 0.8R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.341% | 0.4R | -3.545% | 1.0R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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