Long Trade on PUMP (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 81234.77 PUMP at 0.0021$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002347 (11.71 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002003 (4.66 %)
31 Jul 2026 at 14:39:53
hyperliquid
PUMP
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
31 Jul 2026 14:39
→ 02:35
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.002101$
Qty 81234.7685 PUMP
Size 170.6742$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.002347 (+11.71%)
TP $ 19.98$
SL 0.002003 (-4.66%)
SL $ 7.96$
RR 2.51
Status
win
PnL
+4.81%
/ +8.2$
MAE -3.66%
MFE +7.04%
1.5R
expires
01 Aug 02:39
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 54789)
#1 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/07/2026 14:00
score du 31/07/2026 14:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9659
Quality Score
0.778
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#1 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
71 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.66 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#1 / 46
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
71 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.66 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.12×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.58×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.25×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
24.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/07 14:31
31/07 14:31
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 30/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 31/07 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 31/07 14:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
31/07/2026 14:00
Score brut
0.7783
Score SMA
0.6105
Rank
#1
/ 46
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9659
Rank Norm SMA
0.8348
Calculé le
31/07/2026 14:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8051 | r1h: 0.421% · r4h: 6.554% · r1d: 8.82% · r3d: 9.04% · ema21_slope: 0.2411% · dist_ema21: 5.442% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8390 | rs_1h: 0.128% · rs_4h: 6.913% · rs_1d: 11.61% · rs_3d: 10.04% · beta_24h: -0.280 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4895 | rvol_20: 0.96× · zscore_50: 0.228 · trend: 130.36% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8608 | ADX: 44.5 (trend) · Chop: 39.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.307% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.664%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.952% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.952% | 0.4R | -1.095% | 0.2R | 1.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.952% | 0.4R | -3.379% | 0.7R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.142% | 0.5R | -3.665% | 0.8R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +7.044% | 1.5R | -3.665% | 0.8R | 1.9× | 144 |
| 24h | +7.044% | 1.5R | -3.665% | 0.8R | 1.9× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.26
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 47% | mid | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.60 | bear_high | -6.38% | +1.00 | 30/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 35% | late | — | near -1.6ATR | 0.51 | bear_high_confirmed | -1.68% | +0.63 | 31/07 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | weak | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
52%
|
noisy_chop 35% | mid | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.28 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.59% | +0.69 | 31/07 14:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | — | bear_low | -1.11% | +0.19 | 31/07 14:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 17b | — | 4.465×ATR | p65 | +0.855×ATR | p77 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 11b | — | 4.259×ATR | p63 | +1.584×ATR | p94 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 9b | — | 3.056×ATR | p72 | +0.715×ATR | p70 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 2.029×ATR | p11 | -0.597×ATR | p64 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.7057
- reason: up_bo width=1.43×ATR dur=26b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.00200252
- tp_price: 0.00234721
- atr:
- score: 0.7057218443206
- expires_at: 2026-08-01T06:39:46.114958
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.7057218443206
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.076
- obi_top10 : 0.0821
- micro_price : 0.00210485
- spread_pct : 0.095057
- mid_price : 0.002105
- bid_wall_price : 0.00209
- bid_wall_size : 85175548
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.00212
- ask_wall_size : 60953573.2
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0878
- obi_top5_std : 0.0243
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6947
- aggregation_tick : 1.0E-5
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.002043
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.001972
- balance_zone_mid:
0.0020075
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785430800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785520800
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.425
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
26
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: forming
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7057
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785506400
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.002043
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7692
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
4
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.1641
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
4
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
6
- regime : bull_high_confirmed
- atr_entry : 4.982E-5 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
26
inside_close_ratio
0.7692
bars_since_breakout
4
distance_to_edge_atr
1.1641
Signaux confirmants (10)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:39 | 0.00210100 | 0% |
| 2 | 14:46 | 0.00210100 | 0% |
| 3 | 14:51 | 0.00212000 | +0.904% |
| 4 | 14:57 | 0.00212000 | +0.904% |
| 5 | 15:05 | 0.00212000 | +0.904% |
| 6 | 15:10 | 0.00211300 | +0.571% |
| 7 | 15:16 | 0.00211300 | +0.571% |
| 8 | 15:22 | 0.00211000 | +0.428% |
| 9 | 15:28 | 0.00211000 | +0.428% |
| 10 | 15:34 | 0.00211000 | +0.428% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6947ms
Confidence avant OB :
71%
→
71%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.076
avg 0.088
± 0.024
OBI Top 10
0.082
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0021
Micro Price
0.0021
Spread
0.0951%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.0021
Size
85,175,548.00
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.0021
Size
60,953,573.20
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002101 | 0.002003 | 0.002347 | 2.51 | 0.004094 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.002101
- Stop Loss: 0.002003
- Take Profit: 0.002347
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002003 - 0.002101 = -9.8E-5
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002101 - 0.002347 = -0.000246
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000246 / -9.8E-5 = 2.5102
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 170.6742 | 100 | 81234.7685 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -9.8E-5
Taille de position = 8 / -9.8E-5 = -81632.65
Taille de position USD = -81632.65 x 0.002101 = -171.51
Donc, tu peux acheter -81632.65 avec un stoploss a 0.002003
Avec un position size USD de -171.51$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -81632.65 x -9.8E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -81632.65 x -0.000246 = 20.08
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.08$
Résumé
- Taille de position -81632.65
- Taille de position USD -171.51
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.08
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5102
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 11.71 % | 19.98 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.66 % | 7.96 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 8.2 $ | 4.81 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.6649 % | 78.57 % | 15 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002101 | 0.002003 | 0.002347 | 2.51 | 0.004094 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.002101
- Stop Loss: 0.002003
- Take Profit: 0.002347
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002003 - 0.002101 = -9.8E-5
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002101 - 0.002347 = -0.000246
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000246 / -9.8E-5 = 2.5102
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.664%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.952% | 0.4R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +1.952% | 0.4R | -1.095% | 0.2R | 1.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.952% | 0.4R | -3.379% | 0.7R | 0.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.142% | 0.5R | -3.665% | 0.8R | 0.6× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +7.044% | 1.5R | -3.665% | 0.8R | 1.9× | 144 |
| 24h | +7.044% | 1.5R | -3.665% | 0.8R | 1.9× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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