Short Trade on HYPE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 4.75 HYPE at 52.925$ per unit. Take profit: 51.6019 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 54.6102 (3.18 %)
31 Jul 2026 at 15:10:04
hyperliquid
HYPE
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
31 Jul 2026 15:10
→ 15:15
· 4 minutes
Position
Entry 52.925$
Qty 4.7473 HYPE
Size 251.2507$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 51.6019 (+2.5%)
TP $ 6.28$
SL 54.6102 (-3.18%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.79
Status
win
PnL
+0.16%
/ +0.4$
MAE -0.05%
MFE +2.10%
0.7R
expires
31 Jul 15:20
Exit
rank_decay: short rank=24 <= threshold=36/46
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 54829)
#24 / 46
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 31/07/2026 15:00
score du 31/07/2026 15:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5966
Quality Score
0.505
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#24 / 46
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.18 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#24 / 46
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.18 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.91×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.85×ATR |
| 1d | near | -3.14×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
289.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/07 15:02
31/07 15:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 30/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 31/07 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 31/07 14:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1195
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.53
Snapshot évalué :
31/07 15:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
31/07/2026 15:00
Score brut
0.5051
Score SMA
0.5279
Rank
#24
/ 46
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5966
Rank Norm SMA
0.5897
Calculé le
31/07/2026 15:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3475 | r1h: -0.961% · r4h: -2.575% · r1d: -3.36% · r3d: -3.62% · ema21_slope: -0.0827% · dist_ema21: -2.499% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3765 | rs_1h: -0.653% · rs_4h: -3.126% · rs_1d: -0.80% · rs_3d: -2.55% · beta_24h: 1.101 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5615 | rvol_20: 1.58× · zscore_50: 0.657 · trend: 58.46% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6295 | ADX: 20.4 (weak) · Chop: 43.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.289% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
4h)
Initial Risk: -3.184%
(1.6852)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.099% | 0.7R | -0.009% | 0.0R | 223.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.099% | 0.7R | -0.053% | 0.0R | 39.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.099% | 0.7R | -0.053% | 0.0R | 39.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.099% | 0.7R | -0.053% | 0.0R | 39.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.715% | 0.9R | -0.053% | 0.0R | 51.3× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.26
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
47%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | near -3.1ATR | — | 0.49 | bear_high | -6.38% | -0.97 | 30/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | near -0.8ATR | — | 0.61 | bear_high_confirmed | -1.68% | -0.11 | 31/07 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | near -0.9ATR | — | 0.52 | bear_medium_confirmed | -1.75% | -0.24 | 31/07 14:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | normal | bear_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | near -0.9ATR | — | 0.46 | bear_low | -1.15% | -0.30 | 31/07 14:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 24b | — | 5.798×ATR | p81 | -1.005×ATR | p80 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 2.104×ATR | p6 | -0.725×ATR | p65 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 5b | — | 3.515×ATR | p86 | -1.302×ATR | p90 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 4b | — | 1.834×ATR | p19 | -1.242×ATR | p88 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 54.61016922
- tp_price: 51.601875
- atr: 0.67406769
- expires_at: 2026-08-01T01:10:04+00:00
Details
- rank: 44
- total: 46
- score: 0.3475
- delta_2h: -0.0278
- extension_atr: -2
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.5966
- confidence: 0.956
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52.925 | 54.6102 | 51.6019 | 0.79 | 89.841 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 52.925
- Stop Loss: 54.6102
- Take Profit: 51.6019
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 54.6102 - 52.925 = 1.6852
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 52.925 - 51.6019 = 1.3231
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.3231 / 1.6852 = 0.7851
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 251.2507 | 100 | 4.7473 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 1.6852
Taille de position = 8 / 1.6852 = 4.75
Taille de position USD = 4.75 x 52.925 = 251.39
Donc, tu peux acheter 4.75 avec un stoploss a 54.6102
Avec un position size USD de 251.39$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 4.75 x 1.6852 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 4.75 x 1.3231 = 6.28
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.28$
Résumé
- Taille de position 4.75
- Taille de position USD 251.39
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 6.28
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.7851
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 6.28 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.18 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0.4 $ | 0.16 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52.925 | 54.6102 | 51.6019 | 0.79 | 89.841 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 52.925
- Stop Loss: 54.6102
- Take Profit: 51.6019
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 54.6102 - 52.925 = 1.6852
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 52.925 - 51.6019 = 1.3231
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.3231 / 1.6852 = 0.7851
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
4h)
Initial Risk: -3.184%
(1.6852)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.099% | 0.7R | -0.009% | 0.0R | 223.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.099% | 0.7R | -0.053% | 0.0R | 39.7× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +2.099% | 0.7R | -0.053% | 0.0R | 39.7× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.099% | 0.7R | -0.053% | 0.0R | 39.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.715% | 0.9R | -0.053% | 0.0R | 51.3× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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