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Short Trade on VVV

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31 Jul 2026 at 17:10:04 hyperliquid

Short Trade on VVV (momentum_rotation_score)

With 15.8 VVV at 11.647$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 12.1535 (4.35 %)

VVV SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 31 Jul 2026 17:10 → 20:05 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 11.647$

Qty 15.7962 VVV

Size 183.9785$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 183.98$

SL 12.1535 (-4.35%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status loss PnL -2.17% / -4$ MAE -2.59% MFE +0.50% 0.1R expires 31 Jul 20:10 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 54929)
#47 / 48 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/07/2026 17:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2004

Quality Score
0.397
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#47 / 48 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.35 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#47 / 48 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.35 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.10×ATR
4h near -1.55×ATR
1d near 0.10×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2 OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
3.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/07 17:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

30/07 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

31/07 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

31/07 16:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1197
range ranging range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

—

range

0

Operational bear

—

expansion

+1

Tactical bear

—

transition

+1

Micro —

—

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.63
Transition risk : 0.37
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.53
Snapshot évalué : 31/07 17:00 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 31/07/2026 17:00
Score brut
0.3965
Score SMA
0.4774
Rank
#47 / 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2004
Rank Norm SMA
0.2713
Calculé le
31/07/2026 17:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2946 r1h: -0.859% · r4h: -1.779% · r1d: -4.72% · r3d: -11.26% · ema21_slope: -0.1933% · dist_ema21: -2.630%
Force Relative 25% 0.3142 rs_1h: -0.914% · rs_4h: -1.973% · rs_1d: -1.98% · rs_3d: -9.83% · beta_24h: -0.243
Volume 20% 0.2436 rvol_20: 0.69× · zscore_50: -0.233 · trend: -28.47%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5392 ADX: 15.8 (weak) · Chop: 49.6 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.491% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -4.349% (0.5065)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.498% 0.1R -0.386% 0.1R 1.3× 12
2h +0.498% 0.1R -0.653% 0.2R 0.8× 24
3h ★ +0.498% 0.1R -2.593% 0.6R 0.2× 36
4h +0.498% 0.1R -2.790% 0.6R 0.2× 48
8h +0.498% 0.1R -3.091% 0.7R 0.2× 96
12h +0.498% 0.1R -3.091% 0.7R 0.2× 144

computed 2 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.72
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
69%
noisy_chop 40% mid near 0.1ATR — 0.46 bear_high -6.38% +0.86 30/07 20:00
4h ↓ down range range strong fading compression bear_high
51%
noisy_chop 44% mid near -1.5ATR — 0.46 bear_high -2.02% -0.77 31/07 16:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong fading compression bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 43% late near -0.1ATR — 0.43 bear_medium -1.75% -0.19 31/07 16:00
15m ↓ down transition bullish_transition strong fading compression bear_medium
55%
noisy_chop 41% late — — 0.47 bear_low -1.04% -0.15 31/07 16:45
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 5b — 2.773×ATR p17 -0.615×ATR p61
4h ↓ down mid 20b — 4.517×ATR p77 -0.83×ATR p79
1h ↓ down late 12b — 3.869×ATR p84 -1.023×ATR p82
15m ↓ down late 7b — 3.27×ATR p57 -1.05×ATR p86

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 12.15345041
  2. atr: 0.1688168
  3. expires_at: 2026-08-01T00:10:04+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 47
  2. total: 48
  3. score: 0.2946
  4. confidence: 0.979

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
11.647 12.1535 22.587
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 11.647
  • Stop Loss: 12.1535
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 12.1535 - 11.647 = 0.5065

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 11.647 - = 11.647

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 11.647 / 0.5065 = 22.9951

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
183.9785 100 15.7962 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.5065

Taille de position = 8 / 0.5065 = 15.79

Taille de position USD = 15.79 x 11.647 = 183.91

Donc, tu peux acheter 15.79 avec un stoploss a 12.1535

Avec un position size USD de 183.91$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 15.79 x 0.5065 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 15.79 x 11.647 = 183.91

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 183.91$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 15.79
  • Taille de position USD 183.91
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 183.91
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 22.9951

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 183.98 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.35 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-4 $ -2.17
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.2667 % 52.12 % 4
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
11.647 12.1535 22.587
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 11.647
  • Stop Loss: 12.1535
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 12.1535 - 11.647 = 0.5065

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 11.647 - = 11.647

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 11.647 / 0.5065 = 22.9951

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -4.349% (0.5065)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.498% 0.1R -0.386% 0.1R 1.3× 12
2h +0.498% 0.1R -0.653% 0.2R 0.8× 24
3h ★ +0.498% 0.1R -2.593% 0.6R 0.2× 36
4h +0.498% 0.1R -2.790% 0.6R 0.2× 48
8h +0.498% 0.1R -3.091% 0.7R 0.2× 96
12h +0.498% 0.1R -3.091% 0.7R 0.2× 144

computed 2 months ago

Commentaires

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