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Short Trade on kBONK

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31 Jul 2026 at 17:10:04 hyperliquid

Short Trade on kBONK (momentum_rotation_score)

With 88800.09 kBONK at 0.00278$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002868 (3.24 %)

kBONK SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 31 Jul 2026 17:10 → 20:05 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.002778$

Qty 88800.0888 kBONK

Size 246.6866$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 246.69$

SL 0.002868 (-3.24%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR

Status loss PnL -1.19% / -2.93$ MAE -1.33% MFE +0.40% 0.1R expires 31 Jul 20:10 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 54916)
#43 / 48 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/07/2026 17:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.4388

Quality Score
0.430
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#43 / 48 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.24 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#43 / 48 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.24 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -1.15×ATR
4h near -2.23×ATR
1d clear —
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2 OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/07 17:01
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3)

30/07 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

31/07 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

31/07 16:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 1197
range ranging range_breakdown_risk
Strategic range

—

range

0

Operational bear

—

expansion

+1

Tactical bear

—

transition

+1

Micro —

—

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 0.63
Transition risk : 0.37
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score —
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m —
1h —
4h —
24h —
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m — —
4h — —
24h — —
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : —
Universe : —
Regime confidence : 0.53
Snapshot évalué : 31/07 17:00 · env range_with_pressure

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 31/07/2026 17:00
Score brut
0.4298
Score SMA
0.4849
Rank
#43 / 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4388
Rank Norm SMA
0.2871
Calculé le
31/07/2026 17:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3400 r1h: -0.108% · r4h: -0.924% · r1d: -4.98% · r3d: -8.74% · ema21_slope: -0.1898% · dist_ema21: -1.166%
Force Relative 25% 0.3811 rs_1h: -0.162% · rs_4h: -1.118% · rs_1d: -2.24% · rs_3d: -7.31% · beta_24h: 0.412
Volume 20% 0.2057 rvol_20: 0.31× · zscore_50: -0.648 · trend: -13.31%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6090 ADX: 33.3 (trend) · Chop: 59.0 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.126% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -3.240% (0.0001)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.396% 0.1R -0.252% 0.1R 1.6× 12
2h +0.396% 0.1R -1.260% 0.4R 0.3× 24
3h ★ +0.396% 0.1R -1.332% 0.4R 0.3× 36
4h +0.396% 0.1R -2.664% 0.8R 0.2× 48
8h +0.396% 0.1R -2.844% 0.9R 0.1× 96
12h +0.396% 0.1R -2.844% 0.9R 0.1× 144

computed 2 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.35
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↓ down range range moderate grind compression bear_high
52%
noisy_chop 46% mid — — 0.68 bear_high -6.38% -1.00 30/07 20:00
4h ↓ down range range moderate fading compression bear_high
53%
noisy_chop 42% mid near -2.2ATR — 0.58 bear_high -2.02% -0.53 31/07 16:00
1h ↓ down range range moderate grind normal bear_high
59%
noisy_chop 44% early near -1.1ATR — 0.48 bear_medium -1.75% -0.21 31/07 16:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong balanced compression bear_medium
61%
noisy_chop 38% early near -0.4ATR — — bear_low -1.05% +0.00 31/07 16:30
5m —

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 27b — 8.979×ATR p79 -0.636×ATR p63
4h ↓ down mid 19b — 4.421×ATR p75 -0.662×ATR p61
1h ↑ up early 6b — 1.275×ATR p0 -0.265×ATR p26
15m ↓ down early 11b — 2.201×ATR p40 -0.464×ATR p45

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.00286809
  2. atr: 3.003E-5
  3. expires_at: 2026-08-01T00:10:04+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 45
  2. total: 48
  3. score: 0.34
  4. confidence: 0.936

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.002778 0.002868 0.002929
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.002778
  • Stop Loss: 0.002868
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.002868 - 0.002778 = 9.0E-5

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.002778 - = 0.002778

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.002778 / 9.0E-5 = 30.8667

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
246.6866 100 88800.0888 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 9.0E-5

Taille de position = 8 / 9.0E-5 = 88888.89

Taille de position USD = 88888.89 x 0.002778 = 246.93

Donc, tu peux acheter 88888.89 avec un stoploss a 0.002868

Avec un position size USD de 246.93$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 88888.89 x 9.0E-5 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 88888.89 x 0.002778 = 246.93

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 246.93$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 88888.89
  • Taille de position USD 246.93
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 246.93
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 30.8667

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 246.69 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.24 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
-2.93 $ -1.19
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.3319 % 41.11 % 7
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.002778 0.002868 0.002929
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.002778
  • Stop Loss: 0.002868
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.002868 - 0.002778 = 9.0E-5

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.002778 - = 0.002778

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.002778 / 9.0E-5 = 30.8667

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -3.240% (0.0001)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.396% 0.1R -0.252% 0.1R 1.6× 12
2h +0.396% 0.1R -1.260% 0.4R 0.3× 24
3h ★ +0.396% 0.1R -1.332% 0.4R 0.3× 36
4h +0.396% 0.1R -2.664% 0.8R 0.2× 48
8h +0.396% 0.1R -2.844% 0.9R 0.1× 96
12h +0.396% 0.1R -2.844% 0.9R 0.1× 144

computed 2 months ago

Commentaires

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