Short Trade on kBONK (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 105862.11 kBONK at 0.00278$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002709 (2.48 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002854 (2.74 %)
31 Jul 2026 at 17:10:07
hyperliquid
kBONK
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
31 Jul 2026 17:10
→ 21:10
· 3 hours
Position
Entry 0.002778$
Qty 105862.1146 kBONK
Size 294.085$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.002709 (+2.48%)
TP $ 7.3$
SL 0.002854 (-2.74%)
SL $ 8.05$
RR 0.91
Status
loss
PnL
-1.76%
/ -5.19$
MAE -2.66%
MFE +0.40%
0.1R
expires
31 Jul 21:20
Exit
rank_decay: short rank=23 <= threshold=35/45
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 54916)
#43 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/07/2026 17:00
score du 31/07/2026 17:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4388
Quality Score
0.430
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#43 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.74 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#43 / 48
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.74 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.15×ATR |
| 4h | near | -2.23×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/07 17:01
31/07 17:01
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 30/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 31/07 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 31/07 16:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1197
range
ranging
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
— |
range
0 |
| Operational |
bear
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.63
Transition risk :
0.37
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.53
Snapshot évalué :
31/07 17:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
31/07/2026 17:00
Score brut
0.4298
Score SMA
0.4849
Rank
#43
/ 48
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4388
Rank Norm SMA
0.2871
Calculé le
31/07/2026 17:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3400 | r1h: -0.108% · r4h: -0.924% · r1d: -4.98% · r3d: -8.74% · ema21_slope: -0.1898% · dist_ema21: -1.166% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3811 | rs_1h: -0.162% · rs_4h: -1.118% · rs_1d: -2.24% · rs_3d: -7.31% · beta_24h: 0.412 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2057 | rvol_20: 0.31× · zscore_50: -0.648 · trend: -13.31% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6090 | ADX: 33.3 (trend) · Chop: 59.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.126% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
4.2h)
Initial Risk: -2.736%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.396% | 0.1R | -0.252% | 0.1R | 1.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.396% | 0.1R | -1.260% | 0.5R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.396% | 0.1R | -2.664% | 1.0R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 4.2h ★ | +0.396% | 0.1R | -2.664% | 1.0R | 0.2× | 49 |
| 8h | +0.396% | 0.1R | -2.844% | 1.0R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.396% | 0.1R | -2.844% | 1.0R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.36
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
52%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | — | — | 0.68 | bear_high | -6.38% | -1.00 | 30/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 42% | mid | near -2.2ATR | — | 0.58 | bear_high | -2.02% | -0.53 | 31/07 16:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | near -1.1ATR | — | 0.48 | bear_medium | -1.75% | -0.21 | 31/07 16:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | compression | bear_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | near -0.4ATR | — | — | bear_low | -1.05% | +0.00 | 31/07 16:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 27b | — | 8.979×ATR | p79 | -0.636×ATR | p63 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 19b | — | 4.421×ATR | p75 | -0.662×ATR | p61 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 6b | — | 1.275×ATR | p0 | -0.265×ATR | p26 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 11b | — | 2.201×ATR | p40 | -0.464×ATR | p45 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.00285357
- tp_price: 0.00270855
- atr: 3.023E-5
- expires_at: 2026-08-01T03:10:07+00:00
Details
- rank: 45
- total: 48
- score: 0.34
- delta_2h: -0.0427
- extension_atr: -1.13
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.4388
- confidence: 0.936
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002778 | 0.002854 | 0.002709 | 0.91 | 0.002785 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.002778
- Stop Loss: 0.002854
- Take Profit: 0.002709
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002854 - 0.002778 = 7.6E-5
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002778 - 0.002709 = 6.9E-5
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 6.9E-5 / 7.6E-5 = 0.9079
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 294.085 | 100 | 105862.1146 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 7.6E-5
Taille de position = 8 / 7.6E-5 = 105263.16
Taille de position USD = 105263.16 x 0.002778 = 292.42
Donc, tu peux acheter 105263.16 avec un stoploss a 0.002854
Avec un position size USD de 292.42$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 105263.16 x 7.6E-5 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 105263.16 x 6.9E-5 = 7.26
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 7.26$
Résumé
- Taille de position 105263.16
- Taille de position USD 292.42
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 7.26
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.9079
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.48 % | 7.3 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.74 % | 8.05 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -5.19 $ | -1.76 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.6638 % | 97.37 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002778 | 0.002854 | 0.002709 | 0.91 | 0.002785 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.002778
- Stop Loss: 0.002854
- Take Profit: 0.002709
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002854 - 0.002778 = 7.6E-5
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002778 - 0.002709 = 6.9E-5
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 6.9E-5 / 7.6E-5 = 0.9079
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
4.2h)
Initial Risk: -2.736%
(0.0001)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.396% | 0.1R | -0.252% | 0.1R | 1.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.396% | 0.1R | -1.260% | 0.5R | 0.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.396% | 0.1R | -2.664% | 1.0R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 4.2h ★ | +0.396% | 0.1R | -2.664% | 1.0R | 0.2× | 49 |
| 8h | +0.396% | 0.1R | -2.844% | 1.0R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.396% | 0.1R | -2.844% | 1.0R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.