Short Trade on AAVE (momentum_rotation_score)
With 2.57 AAVE at 93.652$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 96.7687 (3.33 %)
31 Jul 2026 at 20:10:04
hyperliquid
AAVE
SHORT
momentum_rotation_score
hyperliquid
31 Jul 2026 20:10
→ 23:05
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 93.652$
Qty 2.5669 AAVE
Size 240.3908$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0 (+100%)
TP $ 240.39$
SL 96.7687 (-3.33%)
SL $ 8$
RR
Status
win
PnL
+0.96%
/ +2.31$
MAE -0.38%
MFE +2.42%
0.7R
expires
31 Jul 23:10
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 55050)
#42 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/07/2026 20:00
score du 31/07/2026 20:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3092
Quality Score
0.430
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#42 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.33 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#42 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.33 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.04×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.31×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.28×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
N/A
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
15.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/07 20:00
31/07 20:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 30/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 31/07 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 31/07 19:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1200
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bear
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.60
Transition risk :
0.40
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.51
Snapshot évalué :
31/07 20:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
31/07/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4301
Score SMA
0.5098
Rank
#42
/ 45
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3092
Rank Norm SMA
0.4917
Calculé le
31/07/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2984 | r1h: 0.109% · r4h: -3.046% · r1d: -6.31% · r3d: -7.56% · ema21_slope: -0.1880% · dist_ema21: -3.332% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3465 | rs_1h: 0.075% · rs_4h: -3.024% · rs_1d: -3.48% · rs_3d: -6.02% · beta_24h: 0.494 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2745 | rvol_20: 0.41× · zscore_50: -0.515 · trend: 31.65% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6603 | ADX: 22.2 (weak) · Chop: 41.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.201% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★
3h)
Initial Risk: -3.328%
(3.1167)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.421% | 0.7R | -0.384% | 0.1R | 6.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.421% | 0.7R | -0.384% | 0.1R | 6.3× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +2.421% | 0.7R | -0.384% | 0.1R | 6.3× | 36 |
| 4h | +2.421% | 0.7R | -0.384% | 0.1R | 6.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.072% | 0.9R | -0.384% | 0.1R | 8.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.670% | 1.1R | -0.384% | 0.1R | 9.6× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.29
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | near 0.3ATR | near -0.5ATR | 0.72 | bear_high | -6.38% | -0.03 | 30/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | bear_high_confirmed |
53%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | near 0.3ATR | — | 0.53 | bear_high | -1.98% | -0.47 | 31/07 16:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | normal | bear_high_confirmed |
55%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | 0.55 | bear_medium | -1.72% | -0.43 | 31/07 19:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | expansion | bear_medium |
62%
|
choppy 56% | mid | — | near 0.4ATR | — | bear_low | -0.89% | -0.33 | 31/07 19:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 13b | — | 1.703×ATR | p0 | -0.038×ATR | p4 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 5b | — | 3.468×ATR | p61 | -1.348×ATR | p88 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 22b | — | 7.39×ATR | p95 | -1.766×ATR | p93 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 0.531×ATR | p0 | -1.098×ATR | p83 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 93.652 | 96.7687 | 132.6 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 93.652
- Stop Loss: 96.7687
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 96.7687 - 93.652 = 3.1167
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 93.652 - = 93.652
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 93.652 / 3.1167 = 30.0484
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 240.3908 | 100 | 2.5669 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 3.1167
Taille de position = 8 / 3.1167 = 2.57
Taille de position USD = 2.57 x 93.652 = 240.69
Donc, tu peux acheter 2.57 avec un stoploss a 96.7687
Avec un position size USD de 240.69$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2.57 x 3.1167 = 8.01
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2.57 x 93.652 = 240.69
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 240.69$
Résumé
- Taille de position 2.57
- Taille de position USD 240.69
- Perte potentielle 8.01
- Gain potentiel 240.69
- Risk-Reward Ratio 30.0484
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 100 % | 240.39 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.33 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 2.31 $ | 0.96 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3844 % | 11.55 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 93.652 | 96.7687 | 132.6 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 93.652
- Stop Loss: 96.7687
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 96.7687 - 93.652 = 3.1167
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 93.652 - = 93.652
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 93.652 / 3.1167 = 30.0484
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★
3h)
Initial Risk: -3.328%
(3.1167)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +2.421% | 0.7R | -0.384% | 0.1R | 6.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.421% | 0.7R | -0.384% | 0.1R | 6.3× | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +2.421% | 0.7R | -0.384% | 0.1R | 6.3× | 36 |
| 4h | +2.421% | 0.7R | -0.384% | 0.1R | 6.3× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.072% | 0.9R | -0.384% | 0.1R | 8.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.670% | 1.1R | -0.384% | 0.1R | 9.6× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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