Short Trade on XPL (BosPullback)
With 5603.54 XPL at 0.0752$ per unit. Take profit: 0.0716 (4.74 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07659 (1.9 %)
Short Trade on XPL (BosPullback)
With 5603.54 XPL at 0.0752$ per unit. Take profit: 0.0716 (4.74 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07659 (1.9 %)
Position
Entry 0.07516$
Qty 5603.5358 XPL
Size 421.1898$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 0.0716 (+4.74%)
TP $ 19.95$
SL 0.07659 (-1.9%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 2.49
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2421
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2421
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | 0.09×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 31/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 31/07 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 31/07 21:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_high |
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bear
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5002 | r1h: 3.075% · r4h: 1.861% · r1d: -2.43% · r3d: -7.65% · ema21_slope: -0.1698% · dist_ema21: 0.617% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6091 | rs_1h: 3.013% · rs_4h: 1.821% · rs_1d: 0.03% · rs_3d: -6.50% · beta_24h: 0.961 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8665 | rvol_20: 3.20× · zscore_50: 2.196 · trend: 40.06% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5738 | ADX: 22.3 (weak) · Chop: 52.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.659% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.089% | 0.1R | -0.542% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.089% | 0.1R | -0.792% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.089% | 0.1R | -2.982% | 1.6R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.089% | 0.1R | -3.575% | 1.9R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.451% | 0.2R | -3.575% | 1.9R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
48%
|
noisy_chop 37% | late | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.54 | bear_high | -6.57% | -0.93 | 31/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.39 | bear_high | -1.99% | -0.76 | 31/07 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.49 | bear_medium | -1.62% | -0.02 | 31/07 21:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | range_high |
41%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.44 | range_low | -0.72% | +0.13 | 31/07 21:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 28b | — | 6.459×ATR | p85 | -0.867×ATR | p75 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 1.768×ATR | p0 | -0.316×ATR | p37 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 3b | — | 2.03×ATR | p27 | +0.797×ATR | p72 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 6b | — | 3.87×ATR | p82 | +1.472×ATR | p93 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.073
145
0.3458
0.5288
0.3774
0.2694
0.4658
1
0.3635
0.4043
0.2836
0.8089
0.5988
0.1609
-0.085
-0.0721
0.3333
0.1033
-0.8103
0.3
0.7
-1
4
1
0.4612
0.3279
3.8438
0.65
1.815
3.1089
-0.8103
0.5836
0.2366
0.8
0.1933
0.57
0.4527
0.8888
0.1609
-9.4881
1.8191
1
0
0
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0.073
0.076474
0.076474
0.073
0.079092
0.076701
0.0778965
0.8497
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (6)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22:22 | 0.07516500 | +0.007% |
| 2 | 22:28 | 0.07516500 | +0.007% |
| 3 | 22:52 | 0.07535200 | +0.255% |
| 4 | 22:57 | 0.07535200 | +0.255% |
| 5 | 23:52 | 0.07535000 | +0.253% |
| 6 | 23:58 | 0.07535000 | +0.253% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07516 | 0.07659 | 0.0716 | 2.49 | 0.078 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07659 - 0.07516 = 0.00143
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07516 - 0.0716 = 0.00356
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00356 / 0.00143 = 2.4895
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 421.1898 | 100 | 5603.5358 | 4.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00143 = 5594.41
Taille de position USD = 5594.41 x 0.07516 = 420.48
Donc, tu peux acheter 5594.41 avec un stoploss a 0.07659
Avec un position size USD de 420.48$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 5594.41 x 0.00143 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 5594.41 x 0.00356 = 19.92
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.92$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.74 % | 19.95 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.9 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.01 $ | -1.90 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.367 % | 124.41 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07516 | 0.07659 | 0.0716 | 2.49 | 0.078 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07659 - 0.07516 = 0.00143
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07516 - 0.0716 = 0.00356
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00356 / 0.00143 = 2.4895
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.089% | 0.1R | -0.542% | 0.3R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.089% | 0.1R | -0.792% | 0.4R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.089% | 0.1R | -2.982% | 1.6R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.089% | 0.1R | -3.575% | 1.9R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.451% | 0.2R | -3.575% | 1.9R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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