Short Trade on BCH (CatchTheWave)
With 17.27 BCH at 211.78$ per unit. Take profit: 210.8536 (0.44 %) & Stop Loss: 212.2432 (0.22 %)
Short Trade on BCH (CatchTheWave)
With 17.27 BCH at 211.78$ per unit. Take profit: 210.8536 (0.44 %) & Stop Loss: 212.2432 (0.22 %)
Position
Entry 211.78$
Qty 17.2708 BCH
Size 3657.6195$ (margin 100$) (leverage 37)
Risk Setup
TP 210.8536 (+0.44%)
TP $ 16$
SL 212.2432 (-0.22%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4765
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4765
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.51×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.44×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 31/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 31/07 20:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 31/07 22:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.381081 15m : 0.24051 |
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : bull_low 5m_regime : bull_low |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4554 | r1h: 0.412% · r4h: 0.301% · r1d: -3.18% · r3d: -2.00% · ema21_slope: -0.0749% · dist_ema21: -0.060% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5039 | rs_1h: 0.350% · rs_4h: 0.262% · rs_1d: -0.72% · rs_3d: -0.85% · beta_24h: 0.643 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1741 | rvol_20: 0.20× · zscore_50: -0.505 · trend: -44.15% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5305 | ADX: 27.4 (trend) · Chop: 62.6 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.732% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.420% | 1.9R | -0.331% | 1.5R | 1.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.439% | 2.0R | -0.331% | 1.5R | 1.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.699% | 3.2R | -0.331% | 1.5R | 2.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.445% | 6.6R | -0.331% | 1.5R | 4.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.927% | 8.8R | -0.331% | 1.5R | 5.8× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | near 0.4ATR | — | 0.67 | bear_high | -6.57% | -0.84 | 31/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | normal | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | near -0.5ATR | — | 0.65 | bear_high | -1.93% | +0.01 | 31/07 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
42%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | — | 0.53 | bear_medium | -1.51% | +0.05 | 31/07 22:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | range_low |
42%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | 0.29 | range_low | -0.54% | +0.12 | 31/07 22:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 22b | — | 4.51×ATR | p70 | -0.401×ATR | p44 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 3.052×ATR | p27 | -0.096×ATR | p9 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 17b | — | 3.693×ATR | p74 | +0.94×ATR | p74 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 7b | — | 4.745×ATR | p86 | +1.835×ATR | p93 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
62980.8
0.00127218
63061
0.381081
63373.5
-0.00507339
63052
0.24051
63814.4
-0.0119476
63052
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[features] => Array
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[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.061358380138762
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.1017188489069
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 17
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205.37
182
0.478
0.6439
0.3098
0.2586
0.3517
1
0.0867
0.5402
0.3399
0.2097
0.6353
0.4226
0.0142
-0.0348
0.6667
1.1668
0.3122
0.4
0.6
-1
17
1
0.4827
0.4809
7.722
0.65
3.5299
7.6096
0.3122
0
0.2376
0.12
-0.0935
0.5565
0.5651
0.6257
0.4226
-7.0846
5.1861
1
0
0
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 20:15:00 | 209.55 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 21:00:00 | 208.14 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 21:20:00 | 208.99 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 21:50:00 | 208.41 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 22:30:00 | 209.84 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 23:10:00 | 209.98 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 23:40:00 | 209.66 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 00:05:00 | 210.28 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 00:55:00 | 208.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 02:20:00 | 211.87 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 11:15:00 | 208.15 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 12:00:00 | 206.71 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 13:30:00 | 208.01 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 14:00:00 | 205.48 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 17:45:00 | 209.8 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 19:30:00 | 208.24 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 21:00:00 | 208.14 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 00:00:00 | 210.28 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 00:45:00 | 208.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 02:15:00 | 211.87 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 00:00:00 | 216 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 04:00:00 | 210.81 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 06:00:00 | 215.73 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 18:00:00 | 212.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 20:00:00 | 204.31 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-29 23:00:00 | 212.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 08:00:00 | 209.42 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 16:00:00 | 221.89 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 09:00:00 | 205.37 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 02:00:00 | 211.87 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 211.78 | 212.2432 | 210.8536 | 2 | 287.4 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 212.2432 - 211.78 = 0.4632
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 211.78 - 210.8536 = 0.9264
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.9264 / 0.4632 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3657.6195 | 100 | 17.2708 | 37.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.4632 = 17.27
Taille de position USD = 17.27 x 211.78 = 3657.44
Donc, tu peux acheter 17.27 avec un stoploss a 212.2432
Avec un position size USD de 3657.44$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 17.27 x 0.4632 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 17.27 x 0.9264 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.44 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.22 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.22 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2833 % | 129.54 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 211.78 | 212.2432 | 210.8536 | 2 | 287.4 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 212.2432 - 211.78 = 0.4632
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 211.78 - 210.8536 = 0.9264
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.9264 / 0.4632 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.420% | 1.9R | -0.331% | 1.5R | 1.3× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.439% | 2.0R | -0.331% | 1.5R | 1.3× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.699% | 3.2R | -0.331% | 1.5R | 2.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.445% | 6.6R | -0.331% | 1.5R | 4.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.927% | 8.8R | -0.331% | 1.5R | 5.8× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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