Long Trade on PUMP (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 51563 PUMP at 0.00216$ per unit. Take profit: 0.002546 (17.98 %) & Stop Loss: 0.002003 (7.18 %)
31 Jul 2026 at 23:21:57
hyperliquid
PUMP
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
31 Jul 2026 23:21
→ 11:20
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.002158$
Qty 51563.0035 PUMP
Size 111.273$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.002546 (+17.98%)
TP $ 20.01$
SL 0.002003 (-7.18%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-1.34%
/ -1.5$
MAE -2.09%
MFE +4.22%
0.6R
expires
01 Aug 11:21
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 55203)
#2 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/07/2026 23:00
score du 31/07/2026 23:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9778
Quality Score
0.687
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
90 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
27.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/07 23:17
31/07 23:17
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 55203)
#2 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 31/07/2026 23:00
score du 31/07/2026 23:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9778
Quality Score
0.687
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#2 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
90 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.18 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#2 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
90 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+4
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.18 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.34×ATR |
| 4h | near | -1.48×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.08×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
27.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
31/07 23:17
31/07 23:17
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 31/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 31/07 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 31/07 22:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1203
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bear
— |
expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
bear
— |
transition
-1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.60
Transition risk :
0.40
Score contribution (this trade)
-2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.51
Snapshot évalué :
31/07 23:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
31/07/2026 23:00
Score brut
0.6874
Score SMA
0.6404
Rank
#2
/ 45
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9778
Rank Norm SMA
0.9192
Calculé le
31/07/2026 23:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8053 | r1h: 0.235% · r4h: 5.222% · r1d: 6.48% · r3d: 9.04% · ema21_slope: 0.2670% · dist_ema21: 3.124% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7984 | rs_1h: 0.065% · rs_4h: 4.988% · rs_1d: 8.38% · rs_3d: 10.44% · beta_24h: -0.406 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2056 | rvol_20: 0.24× · zscore_50: -0.591 · trend: -16.29% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7005 | ADX: 35.3 (trend) · Chop: 49.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.235% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -7.183%
(0.0002)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.900% | 0.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +4.217% | 0.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +4.217% | 0.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +4.217% | 0.6R | -0.046% | 0.0R | 91.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +4.217% | 0.6R | -2.085% | 0.3R | 2.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +6.024% | 0.8R | -5.422% | 0.8R | 1.1× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.24
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.60 | bear_high | -6.57% | +1.00 | 31/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 36% | late | — | near -1.5ATR | 0.51 | bear_high | -1.93% | +0.79 | 31/07 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.28 | bear_medium | -1.43% | +0.63 | 31/07 22:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 50% | late | — | near -1.0ATR | 0.28 | range_low | -0.51% | +0.29 | 31/07 22:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 18b | — | 4.546×ATR | p65 | +0.596×ATR | p65 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 13b | — | 4.092×ATR | p63 | +1.13×ATR | p86 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 2.241×ATR | p55 | +0.556×ATR | p61 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 17b | — | 5.131×ATR | p85 | +0.541×ATR | p55 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8955
- reason: up_bo width=1.53×ATR dur=35b phase=fresh|ob:bid_pressure(+0.07)|ob:obi_moderate(+0.05)
- stop_price: 0.00200285
- tp_price: 0.00254587
- atr:
- score: 0.77546702934124
- expires_at: 2026-08-01T15:21:50.063828
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.77546702934124
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.2614
- obi_top10 : 0.2016
- micro_price : 0.00215215
- spread_pct : 0.046468
- mid_price : 0.0021525
- bid_wall_price : 0.00214
- bid_wall_size : 116057316
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.00217
- ask_wall_size : 47105918
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.2621
- obi_top5_std : 0.0016
- pressure_side : bid
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6991
- aggregation_tick : 1.0E-5
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.002043
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.001972
- balance_zone_mid:
0.0020075
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785430800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785553200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.5282
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
35
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7755
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785538800
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.002043
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
4
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
2.4752
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
5
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
6
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 4.646E-5 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
35
inside_close_ratio
0.6
bars_since_breakout
4
distance_to_edge_atr
2.4752
Signaux confirmants (8)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23:21 | 0.00215800 | 0% |
| 2 | 23:27 | 0.00215800 | 0% |
| 3 | 23:34 | 0.00215800 | 0% |
| 4 | 23:39 | 0.00217500 | +0.788% |
| 5 | 23:46 | 0.00217500 | +0.788% |
| 6 | 23:51 | 0.00217500 | +0.788% |
| 7 | 23:57 | 0.00217500 | +0.788% |
| 8 | 00:05 | 0.00217500 | +0.788% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↑ bid
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6991ms
Confidence avant OB :
78%
→
90%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.261
avg 0.262
± 0.002
OBI Top 10
0.202
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0022
Micro Price
0.0022
Spread
0.0465%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.0021
Size
116,057,316.00
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.0022
Size
47,105,918.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002158 | 0.002003 | 0.002546 | 2.5 | 0.004179 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.002158
- Stop Loss: 0.002003
- Take Profit: 0.002546
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002003 - 0.002158 = -0.000155
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002158 - 0.002546 = -0.000388
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000388 / -0.000155 = 2.5032
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 111.273 | 100 | 51563.0035 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.000155
Taille de position = 8 / -0.000155 = -51612.9
Taille de position USD = -51612.9 x 0.002158 = -111.38
Donc, tu peux acheter -51612.9 avec un stoploss a 0.002003
Avec un position size USD de -111.38$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -51612.9 x -0.000155 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -51612.9 x -0.000388 = 20.03
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.03$
Résumé
- Taille de position -51612.9
- Taille de position USD -111.38
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.03
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5032
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 17.98 % | 20.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.18 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -1.5 $ | -1.34 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.0853 % | 29.03 % | 15 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.002158 | 0.002003 | 0.002546 | 2.5 | 0.004179 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.002158
- Stop Loss: 0.002003
- Take Profit: 0.002546
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.002003 - 0.002158 = -0.000155
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.002158 - 0.002546 = -0.000388
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000388 / -0.000155 = 2.5032
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -7.183%
(0.0002)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.900% | 0.3R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +4.217% | 0.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 4h | +4.217% | 0.6R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +4.217% | 0.6R | -0.046% | 0.0R | 91.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +4.217% | 0.6R | -2.085% | 0.3R | 2.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +6.024% | 0.8R | -5.422% | 0.8R | 1.1× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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