Short Trade on WLD (BosPullback)
With 1924.21 WLD at 0.304$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2933 (3.42 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3079 (1.38 %)
Short Trade on WLD (BosPullback)
With 1924.21 WLD at 0.304$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2933 (3.42 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3079 (1.38 %)
Position
Entry 0.3037$
Qty 1924.2148 WLD
Size 584.4225$ (margin 100$) (leverage 6)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2933 (+3.42%)
TP $ 20.01$
SL 0.3079 (-1.38%)
SL $ 8.08$
RR 2.48
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2702
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2702
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.11×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 1.98×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 31/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 31/07 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 31/07 23:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5422 | r1h: 0.936% · r4h: 2.554% · r1d: -0.29% · r3d: 0.22% · ema21_slope: -0.0947% · dist_ema21: 0.979% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6139 | rs_1h: 0.766% · rs_4h: 2.320% · rs_1d: 1.61% · rs_3d: 1.63% · beta_24h: 0.812 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1374 | rvol_20: 0.39× · zscore_50: -0.939 · trend: -55.86% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4379 | ADX: 13.8 (weak) · Chop: 60.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.182% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.103% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.874% | 1.4R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.874% | 1.4R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.282% | 1.7R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.282% | 1.7R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.52 | bear_high | -6.57% | -1.00 | 31/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.43 | bear_high | -1.84% | -0.30 | 31/07 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.51 | bear_medium | -1.53% | +0.02 | 31/07 23:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | range_medium |
43%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | 0.43 | range_low | -0.55% | +0.14 | 31/07 23:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 45b | — | 15.542×ATR | p94 | -0.973×ATR | p77 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 1.056×ATR | p0 | +0.105×ATR | p12 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 6b | — | 2.287×ATR | p26 | +0.686×ATR | p63 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 2.164×ATR | p19 | -0.155×ATR | p19 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.29723
143
0.3328
0.4991
0.4027
0.2623
0.5175
1
0.3523
0.4024
0.2403
0.2702
0.5667
0.1459
-0.0196
-0.0423
0.3333
0.1332
-0.6217
0.2
0.8
-1
6
1
0.4753
0.3874
3.3074
0.55
1.4011
2.4862
-0.6217
0.6238
0.1936
0.24
-0.1107
0.5068
0.417
0.7711
0.1459
-15.0791
2.576
1
0
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0.29723
0.30757
0.30757
0.29723
0.30571
0.29498
0.300345
0.8191
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23:38 | 0.30372000 | +0.007% |
| 2 | 23:44 | 0.30372000 | +0.007% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3037 | 0.3079 | 0.2933 | 2.48 | 0.4288 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3079 - 0.3037 = 0.0042
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3037 - 0.2933 = 0.0104
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0104 / 0.0042 = 2.4762
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 584.4225 | 100 | 1924.2148 | 6.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0042 = 1904.76
Taille de position USD = 1904.76 x 0.3037 = 578.48
Donc, tu peux acheter 1904.76 avec un stoploss a 0.3079
Avec un position size USD de 578.48$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1904.76 x 0.0042 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1904.76 x 0.0104 = 19.81
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.81$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.42 % | 20.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.38 % | 8.08 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.08 $ | -1.38 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.4257 % | 103.09 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3037 | 0.3079 | 0.2933 | 2.48 | 0.4288 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3079 - 0.3037 = 0.0042
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3037 - 0.2933 = 0.0104
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0104 / 0.0042 = 2.4762
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.103% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.874% | 1.4R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.874% | 1.4R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.282% | 1.7R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.282% | 1.7R | 0.0× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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