Short Trade on LDO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 941 LDO at 0.337$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3283 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3452 (2.52 %)
Short Trade on LDO (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 941 LDO at 0.337$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3283 (2.49 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3452 (2.52 %)
Position
Entry 0.3367$
Qty 941.0004 LDO
Size 316.8725$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.3283 (+2.49%)
TP $ 7.9$
SL 0.3452 (-2.52%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.99
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1676
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1676
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 7.20×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.28×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 31/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 31/07 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 31/07 23:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bear
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2191 | r1h: -0.601% · r4h: -2.639% · r1d: -8.33% · r3d: -6.41% · ema21_slope: -0.2932% · dist_ema21: -3.586% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2993 | rs_1h: -0.495% · rs_4h: -2.829% · rs_1d: -6.20% · rs_3d: -5.24% · beta_24h: 0.915 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1820 | rvol_20: 0.22× · zscore_50: -0.611 · trend: -32.91% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8476 | ADX: 41.7 (trend) · Chop: 37.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.067% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.235% | 0.1R | -0.217% | 0.1R | 1.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.760% | 0.3R | -0.217% | 0.1R | 3.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.770% | 0.7R | -0.217% | 0.1R | 8.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.026% | 0.8R | -0.217% | 0.1R | 9.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.026% | 0.8R | -0.217% | 0.1R | 9.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.303% | 1.3R | -0.217% | 0.1R | 15.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.71 | bear_high | -6.57% | +0.86 | 31/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 50% | late | — | — | 0.45 | bear_high | -1.84% | -0.73 | 31/07 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | grind | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
choppy 57% | late | — | — | 0.42 | bear_medium | -1.51% | -0.56 | 31/07 23:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | normal | bear_low |
51%
|
choppy 52% | mid | — | — | 0.50 | range_low | -0.60% | -0.27 | 31/07 23:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 9b | — | 2.911×ATR | p6 | -0.695×ATR | p65 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 8b | — | 4.577×ATR | p80 | -1.714×ATR | p95 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 35b | — | 12.15×ATR | p100 | -1.655×ATR | p90 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 3.316×ATR | p69 | -1.47×ATR | p79 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3367 | 0.3452 | 0.3283 | 0.99 | 0.3637 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3452 - 0.3367 = 0.0085
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3367 - 0.3283 = 0.0084
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0084 / 0.0085 = 0.9882
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 316.8725 | 100 | 941.0004 | 3.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0085 = 941.18
Taille de position USD = 941.18 x 0.3367 = 316.9
Donc, tu peux acheter 941.18 avec un stoploss a 0.3452
Avec un position size USD de 316.9$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 941.18 x 0.0085 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 941.18 x 0.0084 = 7.91
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 7.91$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.49 % | 7.9 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.52 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 4.9 $ | 1.55 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2168 % | 8.59 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3367 | 0.3452 | 0.3283 | 0.99 | 0.3637 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3452 - 0.3367 = 0.0085
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3367 - 0.3283 = 0.0084
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0084 / 0.0085 = 0.9882
Array
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.235% | 0.1R | -0.217% | 0.1R | 1.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.760% | 0.3R | -0.217% | 0.1R | 3.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.770% | 0.7R | -0.217% | 0.1R | 8.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.026% | 0.8R | -0.217% | 0.1R | 9.3× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.026% | 0.8R | -0.217% | 0.1R | 9.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.303% | 1.3R | -0.217% | 0.1R | 15.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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