Short Trade on AAVE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 2.91 AAVE at 92.505$ per unit. Take profit: 90.1924 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 95.2585 (2.98 %)
01 Aug 2026 at 00:10:05
hyperliquid
AAVE
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
01 Aug 2026 00:10
→ 01:15
· 1 hour
Position
Entry 92.505$
Qty 2.9054 AAVE
Size 268.7636$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 90.1924 (+2.5%)
TP $ 6.72$
SL 95.2585 (-2.98%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.84
Status
win
PnL
+0.81%
/ +2.18$
MAE -0.07%
MFE +0.89%
0.3R
expires
01 Aug 01:20
Exit
rank_decay: short rank=29 <= threshold=32/42
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 55227)
#38 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/08/2026 00:00
score du 01/08/2026 00:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3697
Quality Score
0.463
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
21.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/08 00:00
01/08 00:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 55227)
#38 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/08/2026 00:00
score du 01/08/2026 00:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3697
Quality Score
0.463
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#38 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#38 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.47×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.12×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.27×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
21.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/08 00:00
01/08 00:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 31/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 31/07 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 31/07 23:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1204
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bear
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.60
Transition risk :
0.40
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.51
Snapshot évalué :
01/08 00:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
01/08/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.4627
Score SMA
0.5029
Rank
#38
/ 45
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3697
Rank Norm SMA
0.4492
Calculé le
01/08/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3121 | r1h: -0.480% · r4h: -1.123% · r1d: -7.19% · r3d: -5.80% · ema21_slope: -0.2412% · dist_ema21: -2.769% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3553 | rs_1h: -0.374% · rs_4h: -1.313% · rs_1d: -5.06% · rs_3d: -4.63% · beta_24h: 0.454 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3359 | rvol_20: 0.58× · zscore_50: -0.135 · trend: 48.69% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7541 | ADX: 30.5 (trend) · Chop: 33.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.270% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
1.2h)
Initial Risk: -2.977%
(2.7535)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.782% | 0.3R | -0.072% | 0.0R | 10.8× | 12 |
| 1.2h ★ | +0.885% | 0.3R | -0.072% | 0.0R | 12.2× | 13 |
| 2h | +1.716% | 0.6R | -0.072% | 0.0R | 23.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.870% | 0.6R | -0.072% | 0.0R | 25.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.476% | 0.8R | -0.072% | 0.0R | 34.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.476% | 0.8R | -0.072% | 0.0R | 34.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.12
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | near -0.3ATR | near 0.0ATR | 0.72 | bear_high | -6.57% | -0.19 | 31/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | normal | bear_high_confirmed |
52%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.53 | bear_high | -1.84% | -0.65 | 31/07 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 47% | mid | near 0.5ATR | — | 0.54 | bear_medium | -1.51% | -0.43 | 31/07 23:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bear_medium |
62%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.39 | range_low | -0.60% | -0.17 | 31/07 23:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 14b | — | 1.196×ATR | p0 | -0.396×ATR | p40 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 6b | — | 3.849×ATR | p65 | -1.452×ATR | p90 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 2b | — | 1.045×ATR | p0 | -0.884×ATR | p69 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.542×ATR | p8 | -0.341×ATR | p35 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 95.25849772
- tp_price: 90.192375
- atr: 1.10139909
- expires_at: 2026-08-01T10:10:05+00:00
Details
- rank: 44
- total: 45
- score: 0.3121
- delta_2h: -0.0488
- extension_atr: -2.17
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3697
- confidence: 0.977
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:10 | 92.50500000 | 0% |
| 2 | 01:10 | 92.08300000 | -0.456% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92.505 | 95.2585 | 90.1924 | 0.84 | 131.44 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 92.505
- Stop Loss: 95.2585
- Take Profit: 90.1924
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 95.2585 - 92.505 = 2.7535
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 92.505 - 90.1924 = 2.3126
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.3126 / 2.7535 = 0.8399
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 268.7636 | 100 | 2.9054 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 2.7535
Taille de position = 8 / 2.7535 = 2.91
Taille de position USD = 2.91 x 92.505 = 269.19
Donc, tu peux acheter 2.91 avec un stoploss a 95.2585
Avec un position size USD de 269.19$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2.91 x 2.7535 = 8.01
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2.91 x 2.3126 = 6.73
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.73$
Résumé
- Taille de position 2.91
- Taille de position USD 269.19
- Perte potentielle 8.01
- Gain potentiel 6.73
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.8399
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 6.72 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.98 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 2.18 $ | 0.81 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0724 % | 2.43 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92.505 | 95.2585 | 90.1924 | 0.84 | 131.44 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 92.505
- Stop Loss: 95.2585
- Take Profit: 90.1924
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 95.2585 - 92.505 = 2.7535
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 92.505 - 90.1924 = 2.3126
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.3126 / 2.7535 = 0.8399
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
1.2h)
Initial Risk: -2.977%
(2.7535)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.782% | 0.3R | -0.072% | 0.0R | 10.8× | 12 |
| 1.2h ★ | +0.885% | 0.3R | -0.072% | 0.0R | 12.2× | 13 |
| 2h | +1.716% | 0.6R | -0.072% | 0.0R | 23.7× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.870% | 0.6R | -0.072% | 0.0R | 25.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.476% | 0.8R | -0.072% | 0.0R | 34.2× | 96 |
| 12h | +2.476% | 0.8R | -0.072% | 0.0R | 34.2× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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