Short Trade on KAITO

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01 Aug 2026 at 00:34:17 hyperliquid

Short Trade on KAITO (BosPullback)

With 208.93 KAITO at 1.096$ per unit. Take profit: 1.0001 (8.73 %) & Stop Loss: 1.1341 (3.5 %)

KAITO SHORT BosPullback hyperliquid 01 Aug 2026 00:34 → 10:15 · 9 hours

Position

Entry 1.0958$

Qty 208.9275 KAITO

Size 228.9427$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 1.0001 (+8.73%)

TP $ 19.99$

SL 1.1341 (-3.5%)

SL $ 8$

RR 2.5

Status loss PnL -3.50% / -8$ MAE -1.51% MFE +0.89% 0.3R

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 55247)

#19 / 45 OUT

seuil : top 15
score du 01/08/2026 00:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1001

Quality Score

0.498

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

86 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

2 OK

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

7.5M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
01/08 00:31

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 55247)

#19 / 45 OUT

seuil : top 15
score du 01/08/2026 00:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1001

Quality Score

0.498

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#19 / 45 OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

86 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-2 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.50 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#19 / 45 OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

86 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-2 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.50 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	2.86×ATR
4h	clear	1.78×ATR
1d	clear	2.82×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	mid	OK
4h	↑ up	early	OK
1d	↓ down	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

7.5M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
01/08 00:31

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 31/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 01/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 01/08 00:00 Score : -4 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

31/07 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

01/08 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

01/08 00:00

Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime
	1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_high

BTC Correlation

Coin Market Regime

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_high

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 01/08/2026 00:00

Score brut

0.4978

Score SMA

0.4539

Rank

#19 / 45

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.1001

Rank Norm SMA

0.2282

Calculé le

01/08/2026 00:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.5071	r1h: 2.155% · r4h: 3.462% · r1d: -1.99% · r3d: -11.72% · ema21_slope: -0.1734% · dist_ema21: 0.897%
Force Relative	25%	0.5763	rs_1h: 2.261% · rs_4h: 3.273% · rs_1d: 0.14% · rs_3d: -10.55% · beta_24h: -0.737
Volume	20%	0.1598	rvol_20: 0.10× · zscore_50: -0.603 · trend: -78.71%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.4640	ADX: 19.5 (weak) · Chop: 62.7 (range)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.432% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BosPullback (★ 4h) Initial Risk: -3.495% (0.0383)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.885%	0.3R	-0.493%	0.1R	1.8×	12
2h	+0.885%	0.3R	-1.506%	0.4R	0.6×	24
4h ★	+0.885%	0.3R	-1.506%	0.4R	0.6×	48
8h	+2.026%	0.6R	-2.628%	0.8R	0.8×	96
12h	+2.026%	0.6R	-6.461%	1.9R	0.3×	144

computed 2 months ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0.88

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	volatile_reversal	bull_high	61%	noisy_chop 38%	early	—	—	0.44	bear_high	-6.57%	+1.00	31/07 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	compression	bull_high	55%	noisy_chop 40%	early	—	—	0.05	bear_high	-1.87%	-0.58	01/08 00:00
1h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 44%	mid	—	near 0.2ATR	-0.07	bear_medium	-1.47%	-0.16	01/08 00:00
15m	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	expansion	bull_high	58%	noisy_chop 42%	mid	—	—	—	range_low	-0.49%	+0.34	01/08 00:15
5m	—

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	early	3b	—	2.335×ATR	p0	-0.182×ATR	p19
4h	↑ up	early	10b	—	1.84×ATR	p0	+0.031×ATR	p3
1h	↑ up	mid	6b	—	2.116×ATR	p25	+0.822×ATR	p71
15m	↑ up	mid	7b	—	3.248×ATR	p59	+0.959×ATR	p72

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BosPullback - SELL

Indicators:

long_trend: -1
confidence: 0.86
reason: bos_pullback_short|score=3|shallow|bars_since_bos=6|retests=1|break_atr=0.35|prog=0.33|zone=tested
stop_price: 1.1340908
tp_price: 1.00007301
atr:
score: 0.86
confidence_pre_ob: 0.86

Details

1H:
15m:
5m:
btc_indicators
market_structures
market_structure_v2
timeframe : 1h
state : range
confidence : 0.929
trend_strength : 0.0357
trend_persistence : 0.5
high_delta_atr : -1.7606
low_delta_atr : -0.5117
current_swing_amp_atr : 2.8451
current_swing_speed : 0.47419
current_swing_efficiency : 0.5141
retracement_ratio : 1.1945
extension_ratio : 0.7157
compression_score : 0.9014
swing_entropy : 1
breakout_strength : -1.604
distance_to_last_high_atr : -1.0273
distance_to_last_low_atr : 2.1157
pivot_count : 18
swing_count : 17
market_structure_v2
last_pivot_kind: low
last_pivot_price:
```
1.0497
```
last_pivot_index:
```
143
```
trend_analyzer_1h
direction : neutral
phase : range
structure : range
breakout_state : none
quality : volatile
strength : moderate
exhaustion : low
momentum_type : grind
volatility_regime : compression
htf_context : unknown
risk_state : discount
confidence : 0.491
state : neutral_range_grind
trend_analyzer_1h
scores_direction_score:
```
0.4068
```
scores_strength_score:
```
0.5719
```
scores_quality_score:
```
0.3192
```
scores_cleanliness_score:
```
0.2723
```
scores_structural_quality:
```
0.3575
```
scores_pullback_score:
```
1
```
scores_exhaustion_score:
```
0.3793
```
scores_continuation_score:
```
0.4239
```
scores_structure_score:
```
0.3679
```
scores_volatility_expansion:
```
0.012
```
scores_momentum_type_score:
```
0.5856
```
scores_risk_score:
```
0.3069
```
trend_analyzer_1h
features_ema20_slope:
```
-0.0015
```
features_ema50_slope:
```
-0.0553
```
features_ema_alignment_score:
```
0.3333
```
features_price_vs_ema20:
```
0.6029
```
features_price_vs_ema50:
```
-0.5871
```
features_recent_hh_hl_score:
```
0.4667
```
features_recent_lh_ll_score:
```
0.5333
```
features_last_bos_direction:
```
-1
```
features_bars_since_last_bos:
```
6
```
features_candle_overlap_ratio:
```
1
```
features_wick_ratio:
```
0.4553
```
features_trend_efficiency:
```
0.5141
```
features_impulse_strength:
```
3.2645
```
features_directional_candle_ratio:
```
0.6
```
features_pullback_depth_ratio:
```
1.1945
```
features_pullback_depth_atr:
```
2.3683
```
features_extension_from_mean:
```
-0.5871
```
features_impulse_decay_score:
```
0.6422
```
features_opposing_wick_pressure:
```
0.284
```
features_volatility_percentile:
```
0.02
```
features_volatility_delta:
```
-0.3292
```
features_body_ratio:
```
0.4948
```
features_closes_position_ratio:
```
0.3565
```
features_slope_consistency:
```
0.7356
```
features_range_position:
```
0.3069
```
features_distance_to_recent_high:
```
-11.8394
```
features_distance_to_recent_low:
```
5.2429
```
features_had_recent_range:
```
1
```
features_had_recent_compression:
```
1
```
features_post_break_hl_count:
```
0
```
features_htf_trend_strength:
features_htf_compression_score:
features_htf_entropy_score:
features_htf_hh_hl_score:
features_htf_state_str:
orderbook_context
obi_top5 : 0.0509
obi_top10 : -0.018
micro_price : 1.09789732
spread_pct : 0.009109
mid_price : 1.09785
bid_wall_price : 1.09
bid_wall_size : 148617.58
bid_wall_dist_atr :
ask_wall_price : 1.1
ask_wall_size : 150663.8
ask_wall_dist_atr :
snapshots_count : 5
obi_top5_mean : 0.044
obi_top5_std : 0.0118
pressure_side : neutral
collection_mode : ws_rolling
collection_ms : 7049
aggregation_tick : 0.01
error :
strategy_details
strategy : bos_pullback
ms_state_1h : range
strategy_details

pivots_1h_0:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-07-26 13:00:00
    [price] => 1.227
    [kind] => high
    [label] => 
)

pivots_1h_1:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-07-27 06:00:00
    [price] => 1.1495
    [kind] => low
    [label] => 
)

pivots_1h_2:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-07-27 08:00:00
    [price] => 1.2053
    [kind] => high
    [label] => 
)

pivots_1h_3:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-07-27 10:00:00
    [price] => 1.1246
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_1h_4:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-07-27 22:00:00
    [price] => 1.3581
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

pivots_1h_5:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-07-28 00:00:00
    [price] => 1.2645
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_6:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-07-28 02:00:00
    [price] => 1.3452
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_7:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-07-28 18:00:00
    [price] => 1.0861
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_1h_8:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-07-29 03:00:00
    [price] => 1.2888
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_9:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-07-29 06:00:00
    [price] => 1.1987
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_10:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-07-29 17:00:00
    [price] => 1.3731
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

pivots_1h_11:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-07-30 12:00:00
    [price] => 0.98642
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_1h_12:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-07-30 16:00:00
    [price] => 1.1473
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_13:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-07-30 19:00:00
    [price] => 1.0552
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_14:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-07-31 06:00:00
    [price] => 1.1781
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

pivots_1h_15:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-07-31 12:00:00
    [price] => 1.0631
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_1h_16:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-07-31 16:00:00
    [price] => 1.132
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_1h_17:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-07-31 22:00:00
    [price] => 1.0497
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

strategy_details

pivots_15m_0:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-07-31 06:15:00
    [price] => 1.1781
    [kind] => high
    [label] => 
)

pivots_15m_1:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-07-31 08:00:00
    [price] => 1.118
    [kind] => low
    [label] => 
)

pivots_15m_2:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-07-31 09:15:00
    [price] => 1.1477
    [kind] => high
    [label] => 
)

pivots_15m_3:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-07-31 12:45:00
    [price] => 1.0631
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_15m_4:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-07-31 13:15:00
    [price] => 1.1069
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_15m_5:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-07-31 14:15:00
    [price] => 1.0816
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_15m_6:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-07-31 14:45:00
    [price] => 1.1113
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_15m_7:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-07-31 15:45:00
    [price] => 1.084
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_15m_8:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-07-31 16:30:00
    [price] => 1.132
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

pivots_15m_9:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-07-31 22:45:00
    [price] => 1.0497
    [kind] => low
    [label] => LL
)

pivots_15m_10:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-08-01 00:30:00
    [price] => 1.0895
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_15m_11:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-08-01 00:45:00
    [price] => 1.0671
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_15m_12:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-08-01 01:30:00
    [price] => 1.0877
    [kind] => high
    [label] => LH
)

pivots_15m_13:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-08-01 02:30:00
    [price] => 1.0715
    [kind] => low
    [label] => HL
)

pivots_15m_14:

Array
(
    [time] => 2026-08-01 04:00:00
    [price] => 1.1184
    [kind] => high
    [label] => HH
)

bos_level_long : 0
bos_level_short : 1.0631
strategy_details
levels_hl_price:
```
1.0497
```
levels_hl_timestamp: 2026-07-31 22:00:00
levels_hh_price:
```
1.132
```
levels_lh_price:
```
1.132
```
levels_lh_timestamp: 2026-07-31 16:00:00
levels_ll_price:
```
1.0497
```
demand_zone :
strategy_details
supply_zone_top:
```
1.132
```
supply_zone_bottom:
```
1.0816
```
supply_zone_mid:
```
1.1068
```
supply_zone_freshness: tested
supply_zone_strength:
```
0.8207
```
regimes
1H : bear_high
15m : range_high

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

1H ↔ range

Confidence 93%

Trend

Trend Strength

0.036

Persistence

0.500

High Δ ATR

-1.761

Low Δ ATR

-0.512

Current Swing

Amp ATR

2.845

Speed

0.474

Efficiency

0.514

Structure

Retracement

1.195

Extension

0.716

Compression

0.901

Entropy

1.000

Breakout Str.

-1.604

Dist High ATR

-1.027

Dist Low ATR

2.116

18 pivots · 17 swings · Last pivot: ↓ 1.0497 @ bar 143

Trend Analyzer 1H

1H ↔ neutral neutral_range_grind

Confidence 49%

Context

phase range

structure range

breakout none

quality volatile

strength moderate

exhaustion low

momentum grind

volatility compression

risk discount

htf unknown

Scores

0.407

0.572

0.319

0.272

0.358

1.000

0.379

0.424

0.368

0.012

0.586

0.307

Features

Ema20 Slope

-0.002

Ema50 Slope

-0.055

Ema Alignment Score

0.333

Price Vs Ema20

0.603

Price Vs Ema50

-0.587

Recent Hh Hl Score

0.467

Recent Lh Ll Score

0.533

Last Bos Direction

-1.000

Bars Since Last Bos

6.000

Candle Overlap Ratio

1.000

Wick Ratio

0.455

Trend Efficiency

0.514

Impulse Strength

3.265

Directional Candle Ratio

0.600

Pullback Depth Ratio

1.195

Pullback Depth Atr

2.368

Extension From Mean

-0.587

Impulse Decay Score

0.642

Opposing Wick Pressure

0.284

Volatility Percentile

0.020

Volatility Delta

-0.329

Body Ratio

0.495

Closes Position Ratio

0.357

Slope Consistency

0.736

Range Position

0.307

Distance To Recent High

-11.839

Distance To Recent Low

5.243

Had Recent Range

1.000

Had Recent Compression

1.000

Post Break Hl Count

0.000

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7049ms Confidence avant OB : 86% → 86%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.051

avg 0.044 ± 0.012

OBI Top 10 -0.018

Microstructure

Mid Price

1.0979

Micro Price

1.0979

Spread

0.0091%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price

1.0900

Size

148,617.58

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price

1.1000

Size

150,663.80

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
1.0958	1.1341	1.0001	2.5	0.2499

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 1.0958
Stop Loss: 1.1341
Take Profit: 1.0001

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 1.1341 - 1.0958 = 0.0383
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 1.0958 - 1.0001 = 0.0957
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0957 / 0.0383 = 2.4987

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
228.9427	100	208.9275	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.0383

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0383 = 208.88

Taille de position USD = 208.88 x 1.0958 = 228.89

Donc, tu peux acheter 208.88 avec un stoploss a 1.1341

Avec un position size USD de 228.89$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 208.88 x 0.0383 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 208.88 x 0.0957 = 19.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.99$

Résumé

Taille de position 208.88
Taille de position USD 228.89
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 19.99
Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4987

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
8.73 %	19.99 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
3.5 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
-8 $	-3.50

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-4.1248 %	118.01 %	20

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
1.0958	1.1341	1.0001	2.5	0.2499

Details

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Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 1.0958
Stop Loss: 1.1341
Take Profit: 1.0001

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 1.1341 - 1.0958 = 0.0383
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 1.0958 - 1.0001 = 0.0957
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0957 / 0.0383 = 2.4987

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BosPullback (★ 4h) Initial Risk: -3.495% (0.0383)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.885%	0.3R	-0.493%	0.1R	1.8×	12
2h	+0.885%	0.3R	-1.506%	0.4R	0.6×	24
4h ★	+0.885%	0.3R	-1.506%	0.4R	0.6×	48
8h	+2.026%	0.6R	-2.628%	0.8R	0.8×	96
12h	+2.026%	0.6R	-6.461%	1.9R	0.3×	144

computed 2 months ago

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