Long Trade on TAO (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1.25 TAO at 199.82$ per unit. Take profit: 215.8795 (8.04 %) & Stop Loss: 193.3962 (3.21 %)
01 Aug 2026 at 00:51:04
hyperliquid
TAO
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
01 Aug 2026 00:51
→ 09:25
· 8 hours
Position
Entry 199.82$
Qty 1.2454 TAO
Size 248.8503$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 215.8795 (+8.04%)
TP $ 20$
SL 193.3962 (-3.21%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-3.21%
/ -8$
MAE -3.69%
MFE +0.06%
0.0R
expires
01 Aug 12:50
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 55238)
#6 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/08/2026 00:00
score du 01/08/2026 00:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7473
Quality Score
0.586
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
74 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
3.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/08 00:46
01/08 00:46
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 55238)
#6 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/08/2026 00:00
score du 01/08/2026 00:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7473
Quality Score
0.586
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#6 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
74 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.21 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#6 / 45
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
74 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.21 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.74×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.63×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 11.04×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
3.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/08 00:46
01/08 00:46
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 31/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 01/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 01/08 00:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
01/08/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.5858
Score SMA
0.5292
Rank
#6
/ 45
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7473
Rank Norm SMA
0.6890
Calculé le
01/08/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5970 | r1h: 0.449% · r4h: 1.888% · r1d: 0.34% · r3d: 2.36% · ema21_slope: 0.0374% · dist_ema21: 1.256% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6188 | rs_1h: 0.555% · rs_4h: 1.698% · rs_1d: 2.47% · rs_3d: 3.53% · beta_24h: 1.206 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3622 | rvol_20: 1.24× · zscore_50: 0.352 · trend: -34.29% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5303 | ADX: 14.4 (weak) · Chop: 49.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.839% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.215%
(6.4238)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.055% | 0.0R | -1.822% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.055% | 0.0R | -1.822% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.055% | 0.0R | -2.162% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.055% | 0.0R | -2.968% | 0.9R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.055% | 0.0R | -3.688% | 1.2R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.055% | 0.0R | -5.150% | 1.6R | 0.0× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.04
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 35% | late | — | — | 0.61 | bear_high | -6.57% | -0.59 | 31/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | near -0.6ATR | 0.62 | bear_high | -1.87% | +0.29 | 01/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 48% | late | — | near -0.7ATR | 0.67 | bear_medium | -1.38% | +0.37 | 01/08 00:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bull_medium_confirmed |
68%
|
choppy 50% | late | — | — | — | range_low | -0.45% | +0.27 | 01/08 00:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 47b | — | 10.417×ATR | p92 | +0.019×ATR | p2 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 2.158×ATR | p12 | +0.814×ATR | p78 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 7b | — | 4.056×ATR | p84 | +2.087×ATR | p99 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 1b | — | 2.341×ATR | p39 | +2.496×ATR | p100 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.7365
- reason: up_bo width=1.56×ATR dur=51b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 193.39621794
- tp_price: 215.87945516
- atr:
- score: 0.73647598914852
- expires_at: 2026-08-01T16:50:56.869001
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.73647598914852
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.1397
- obi_top10 : -0.1397
- micro_price : 199.5767298
- spread_pct : 0.005011
- mid_price : 199.575
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.1396
- obi_top5_std : 0.0002
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6813
- aggregation_tick : 1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
194.95
- balance_zone_bottom:
192.195
- balance_zone_mid:
193.5725
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785376800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785556800
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.5628
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
51
- balance_zone_quality: loose
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7365
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785546000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
194.95
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6078
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
3
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
2.7626
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
12
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
10
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 1.76282064 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
51
inside_close_ratio
0.6078
bars_since_breakout
3
distance_to_edge_atr
2.7626
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:51 | 199.82000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 00:57 | 199.82000000 | 0% |
| 3 | 01:04 | 199.82000000 | 0% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6813ms
Confidence avant OB :
74%
→
74%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.140
avg -0.140
± 0.000
OBI Top 10
-0.140
Microstructure
Mid Price
199.5750
Micro Price
199.5767
Spread
0.0050%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 199.82 | 193.3962 | 215.8795 | 2.5 | 248.43 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 199.82
- Stop Loss: 193.3962
- Take Profit: 215.8795
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 193.3962 - 199.82 = -6.4238
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 199.82 - 215.8795 = -16.0595
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -16.0595 / -6.4238 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 248.8503 | 100 | 1.2454 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -6.4238
Taille de position = 8 / -6.4238 = -1.25
Taille de position USD = -1.25 x 199.82 = -249.78
Donc, tu peux acheter -1.25 avec un stoploss a 193.3962
Avec un position size USD de -249.78$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1.25 x -6.4238 = 8.03
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.03$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1.25 x -16.0595 = 20.07
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.07$
Résumé
- Taille de position -1.25
- Taille de position USD -249.78
- Perte potentielle 8.03
- Gain potentiel 20.07
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 8.04 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.21 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -3.21 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.6733 % | 114.26 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 199.82 | 193.3962 | 215.8795 | 2.5 | 248.43 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 199.82
- Stop Loss: 193.3962
- Take Profit: 215.8795
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 193.3962 - 199.82 = -6.4238
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 199.82 - 215.8795 = -16.0595
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -16.0595 / -6.4238 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.215%
(6.4238)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.055% | 0.0R | -1.822% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.055% | 0.0R | -1.822% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.055% | 0.0R | -2.162% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.055% | 0.0R | -2.968% | 0.9R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.055% | 0.0R | -3.688% | 1.2R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.055% | 0.0R | -5.150% | 1.6R | 0.0× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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