Short Trade on LTC (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 12.68 LTC at 44.576$ per unit. Take profit: 42.9987 (3.54 %) & Stop Loss: 45.2069 (1.42 %)
01 Aug 2026 at 01:36:50
hyperliquid
LTC
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
01 Aug 2026 01:36
→ 13:35
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 44.576$
Qty 12.6796 LTC
Size 565.2069$ (margin 100$) (leverage 6)
Risk Setup
TP 42.9987 (+3.54%)
TP $ 20$
SL 45.2069 (-1.42%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+1.33%
/ +7.54$
MAE -0.16%
MFE +1.55%
1.1R
expires
01 Aug 13:36
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 55259)
#18 / 42
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 01/08/2026 01:00
score du 01/08/2026 01:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6948
Quality Score
0.503
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/08 01:30
01/08 01:30
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 55259)
#18 / 42
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 01/08/2026 01:00
score du 01/08/2026 01:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.6948
Quality Score
0.503
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#18 / 42
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.42 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#18 / 42
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.42 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | near | -0.43×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.30×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/08 01:30
01/08 01:30
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 31/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 01/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_medium (+1) 01/08 01:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
01/08/2026 01:00
Score brut
0.5029
Score SMA
0.4934
Rank
#18
/ 42
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6948
Rank Norm SMA
0.4095
Calculé le
01/08/2026 01:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4709 | r1h: 0.159% · r4h: 0.911% · r1d: -1.59% · r3d: -1.12% · ema21_slope: -0.0789% · dist_ema21: -0.177% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5237 | rs_1h: 0.056% · rs_4h: 0.698% · rs_1d: 0.35% · rs_3d: 0.29% · beta_24h: 0.466 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1527 | rvol_20: 0.30× · zscore_50: -0.709 · trend: -51.94% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6679 | ADX: 37.7 (trend) · Chop: 56.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.533% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.415%
(0.6309)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.473% | 0.3R | -0.092% | 0.1R | 5.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.473% | 0.3R | -0.164% | 0.1R | 2.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.529% | 0.4R | -0.164% | 0.1R | 3.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.859% | 0.6R | -0.164% | 0.1R | 5.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.555% | 1.1R | -0.164% | 0.1R | 9.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.221% | 1.6R | -0.453% | 0.3R | 4.9× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 4.75
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 33% | mid | — | — | 0.73 | bear_high | -6.57% | +0.18 | 31/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | near -0.4ATR | — | 0.70 | bear_high | -1.71% | -0.20 | 01/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_medium |
63%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.59 | bear_medium | -1.26% | +0.02 | 01/08 01:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_low |
41%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.42 | range_low | -0.38% | +0.02 | 01/08 01:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 2.807×ATR | p7 | -0.927×ATR | p83 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 2.232×ATR | p19 | -0.349×ATR | p35 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 2.142×ATR | p33 | +0.401×ATR | p41 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 2.326×ATR | p26 | -0.382×ATR | p37 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.8163
- reason: down_bo width=2.93×ATR dur=72b phase=extending
- stop_price: 45.20693355
- tp_price: 42.99866612
- atr:
- score: 0.81628163254133
- expires_at: 2026-08-01T17:36:42.609799
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.81628163254133
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.1158
- obi_top10 : 0.0843
- micro_price : 44.53942342
- spread_pct : 0.022457
- mid_price : 44.535
- bid_wall_price : 44.4
- bid_wall_size : 20931.22
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 44.6
- ask_wall_size : 19844.86
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.1167
- obi_top5_std : 0.0007
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6943
- aggregation_tick : 0.1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
45.5365
- balance_zone_bottom:
44.829
- balance_zone_mid:
45.18275
- balance_zone_start_time:
1785304800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1785560400
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.9255
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
72
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: stretched
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8163
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: extending
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1785528000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
44.829
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7222
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
9
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
1.0462
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
8
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
10
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.24183551 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
72
inside_close_ratio
0.7222
bars_since_breakout
9
distance_to_edge_atr
1.0462
Signaux confirmants (10)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:36 | 44.57600000 | 0% |
| 2 | 01:42 | 44.57600000 | 0% |
| 3 | 01:48 | 44.43400000 | -0.319% |
| 4 | 01:54 | 44.43400000 | -0.319% |
| 5 | 02:01 | 44.43400000 | -0.319% |
| 6 | 02:36 | 44.61200000 | +0.081% |
| 7 | 02:42 | 44.61200000 | +0.081% |
| 8 | 02:48 | 44.55900000 | -0.038% |
| 9 | 02:54 | 44.55900000 | -0.038% |
| 10 | 03:01 | 44.55900000 | -0.038% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6943ms
Confidence avant OB :
82%
→
82%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.116
avg 0.117
± 0.001
OBI Top 10
0.084
Microstructure
Mid Price
44.5350
Micro Price
44.5394
Spread
0.0225%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
44.4000
Size
20,931.22
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
44.6000
Size
19,844.86
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.576 | 45.2069 | 42.9987 | 2.5 | 56.72 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 44.576
- Stop Loss: 45.2069
- Take Profit: 42.9987
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 45.2069 - 44.576 = 0.6309
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 44.576 - 42.9987 = 1.5773
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.5773 / 0.6309 = 2.5001
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 565.2069 | 100 | 12.6796 | 6.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.6309
Taille de position = 8 / 0.6309 = 12.68
Taille de position USD = 12.68 x 44.576 = 565.22
Donc, tu peux acheter 12.68 avec un stoploss a 45.2069
Avec un position size USD de 565.22$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 12.68 x 0.6309 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 12.68 x 1.5773 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position 12.68
- Taille de position USD 565.22
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5001
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.54 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.42 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 7.54 $ | 1.33 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1638 % | 11.57 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.576 | 45.2069 | 42.9987 | 2.5 | 56.72 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 44.576
- Stop Loss: 45.2069
- Take Profit: 42.9987
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 45.2069 - 44.576 = 0.6309
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 44.576 - 42.9987 = 1.5773
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.5773 / 0.6309 = 2.5001
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.415%
(0.6309)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.473% | 0.3R | -0.092% | 0.1R | 5.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.473% | 0.3R | -0.164% | 0.1R | 2.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.529% | 0.4R | -0.164% | 0.1R | 3.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.859% | 0.6R | -0.164% | 0.1R | 5.3× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.555% | 1.1R | -0.164% | 0.1R | 9.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.221% | 1.6R | -0.453% | 0.3R | 4.9× | 288 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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