Long Trade on TAO (CatchTheWave)
With 9.5 TAO at 196.84$ per unit. Take profit: 198.525 (0.86 %) & Stop Loss: 195.9975 (0.43 %)
Long Trade on TAO (CatchTheWave)
With 9.5 TAO at 196.84$ per unit. Take profit: 198.525 (0.86 %) & Stop Loss: 195.9975 (0.43 %)
Position
Entry 196.84$
Qty 9.4954 TAO
Size 1869.0761$ (margin 100$) (leverage 19)
Risk Setup
TP 198.525 (+0.86%)
TP $ 16$
SL 195.9975 (-0.43%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7533
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7533
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.12×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.86×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 11.04×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 31/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 01/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 01/08 01:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.253835 15m : 0.325956 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6237 | r1h: 1.047% · r4h: 2.799% · r1d: 2.07% · r3d: 3.93% · ema21_slope: 0.0592% · dist_ema21: 2.421% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6878 | rs_1h: 0.944% · rs_4h: 2.586% · rs_1d: 4.01% · rs_3d: 5.34% · beta_24h: 1.265 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5729 | rvol_20: 1.81× · zscore_50: 1.496 · trend: -2.37% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6014 | ADX: 16.5 (weak) · Chop: 42.6 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.882% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.188% | 0.4R | -0.213% | 0.5R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.188% | 0.4R | -0.432% | 1.0R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.188% | 0.4R | -1.042% | 2.4R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.188% | 0.4R | -2.215% | 5.2R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.188% | 0.4R | -2.799% | 6.5R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 35% | late | — | — | 0.61 | bear_high | -6.57% | -0.59 | 31/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 38% | late | — | near -0.9ATR | 0.62 | bear_high | -1.71% | +0.31 | 01/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
64%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.67 | bear_medium | -1.26% | +0.34 | 01/08 01:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_medium |
53%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | 0.45 | range_low | -0.38% | +0.14 | 01/08 01:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 47b | — | 10.417×ATR | p92 | +0.019×ATR | p2 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 4b | — | 2.349×ATR | p18 | +1×ATR | p89 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 8b | — | 3.201×ATR | p65 | +0.997×ATR | p79 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 2b | — | 2.627×ATR | p50 | -0.311×ATR | p34 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
62993.7
-0.000154445
62984
0.253835
63272
-0.00324042
63067
0.325956
63693.3
-0.00973894
63073
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192.67
191
0.6978
0.66
0.3679
0.2878
0.4333
0.642
0.4148
0.5297
0.6262
0.7446
0.6733
0.8001
0.1457
0.0722
1
1.0918
1.6388
0.5
0.5
1
11
1
0.4243
0.6784
3.6171
0.6
0.642
2.3222
1.6388
0.5337
0.2319
0.82
0.0789
0.608
0.5518
0.3191
0.8001
-1.8626
7.4558
1
0
1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:45 | 196.84000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 01:51 | 196.67000000 | -0.086% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 22:30:00 | 194.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 23:15:00 | 192.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 02:20:00 | 196.52 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 02:40:00 | 195.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 02:50:00 | 195.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 03:05:00 | 196.99 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 03:30:00 | 196 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-01 04:00:00 | 199.04 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 05:05:00 | 199.93 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 05:40:00 | 196.75 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 09:30:00 | 191.93 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 11:00:00 | 194.95 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 12:00:00 | 192.99 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 13:00:00 | 194.74 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 14:00:00 | 190.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 18:00:00 | 197.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 21:00:00 | 192.67 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 22:30:00 | 194.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 05:00:00 | 199.93 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 05:30:00 | 197.42 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 18:00:00 | 194.72 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-29 21:00:00 | 186.41 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 02:00:00 | 194.13 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 07:00:00 | 190.79 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-30 16:00:00 | 195.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-30 23:00:00 | 192.46 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 03:00:00 | 197.85 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-31 14:00:00 | 190.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-31 18:00:00 | 197.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-01 05:00:00 | 199.93 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 196.84 | 195.9975 | 198.525 | 2 | 252.05 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 195.9975 - 196.84 = -0.8425
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 196.84 - 198.525 = -1.685
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.685 / -0.8425 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1869.0761 | 100 | 9.4954 | 19.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.8425 = -9.5
Taille de position USD = -9.5 x 196.84 = -1869.98
Donc, tu peux acheter -9.5 avec un stoploss a 195.9975
Avec un position size USD de -1869.98$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -9.5 x -0.8425 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -9.5 x -1.685 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.86 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.43 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.43 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4318 % | 100.89 % | 14 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 196.84 | 195.9975 | 198.525 | 2 | 252.05 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 195.9975 - 196.84 = -0.8425
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 196.84 - 198.525 = -1.685
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -1.685 / -0.8425 = 2
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| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.188% | 0.4R | -0.213% | 0.5R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.188% | 0.4R | -0.432% | 1.0R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.188% | 0.4R | -1.042% | 2.4R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.188% | 0.4R | -2.215% | 5.2R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.188% | 0.4R | -2.799% | 6.5R | 0.1× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
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