Short Trade on AAVE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 2.92 AAVE at 91.27$ per unit. Take profit: 88.9883 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 94.0138 (3.01 %)
01 Aug 2026 at 02:10:08
hyperliquid
AAVE
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
01 Aug 2026 02:10
→ 05:15
· 3 hours
Position
Entry 91.27$
Qty 2.9156 AAVE
Size 266.1085$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 88.9883 (+2.5%)
TP $ 6.65$
SL 94.0138 (-3.01%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.83
Status
win
PnL
+0.31%
/ +0.82$
MAE -0.19%
MFE +0.54%
0.2R
expires
01 Aug 05:20
Exit
rank_decay: short rank=29 <= threshold=30/40
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 55313)
#37 / 41
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/08/2026 02:00
score du 01/08/2026 02:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2890
Quality Score
0.407
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
21.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/08 02:00
01/08 02:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 55313)
#37 / 41
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/08/2026 02:00
score du 01/08/2026 02:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2890
Quality Score
0.407
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#37 / 41
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.01 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#37 / 41
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.01 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.66×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.46×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.27×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
21.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/08 02:00
01/08 02:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 31/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2) 01/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 01/08 01:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1206
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bear
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.60
Transition risk :
0.40
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.51
Snapshot évalué :
01/08 02:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
01/08/2026 02:00
Score brut
0.4074
Score SMA
0.4960
Rank
#37
/ 41
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2890
Rank Norm SMA
0.4194
Calculé le
01/08/2026 02:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2419 | r1h: -1.257% · r4h: -2.260% · r1d: -9.36% · r3d: -7.57% · ema21_slope: -0.2797% · dist_ema21: -3.881% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2649 | rs_1h: -1.115% · rs_4h: -2.330% · rs_1d: -7.27% · rs_3d: -5.92% · beta_24h: 0.363 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2522 | rvol_20: 0.47× · zscore_50: -0.322 · trend: 5.26% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7881 | ADX: 34.6 (trend) · Chop: 33.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.288% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
3.2h)
Initial Risk: -3.006%
(2.7438)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.542% | 0.2R | -0.187% | 0.1R | 2.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.542% | 0.2R | -0.187% | 0.1R | 2.9× | 24 |
| 3.2h ★ | +0.542% | 0.2R | -0.187% | 0.1R | 2.9× | 37 |
| 4h | +1.156% | 0.4R | -0.187% | 0.1R | 6.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.156% | 0.4R | -0.547% | 0.2R | 2.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.156% | 0.4R | -1.071% | 0.4R | 1.1× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.23
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 36% | early | near -0.3ATR | near 0.0ATR | 0.72 | bear_high | -6.57% | -0.19 | 31/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | normal | bear_high_confirmed |
52%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | near -0.5ATR | — | 0.53 | bear_high | -1.71% | -0.65 | 01/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | expansion | bear_high |
60%
|
choppy 51% | late | near -0.7ATR | — | 0.53 | bear_medium | -1.44% | -0.54 | 01/08 01:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | normal | bear_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.38 | range_low | -0.51% | -0.29 | 01/08 01:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 14b | — | 1.196×ATR | p0 | -0.396×ATR | p40 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 7b | — | 4.346×ATR | p71 | -1.489×ATR | p90 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 3b | — | 2.163×ATR | p31 | -1.637×ATR | p91 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 13b | — | 4.878×ATR | p97 | -2.216×ATR | p97 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 94.01384302
- tp_price: 88.98825
- atr: 1.09753721
- expires_at: 2026-08-01T12:10:08+00:00
Details
- rank: 45
- total: 45
- score: 0.2419
- delta_2h: -0.0702
- extension_atr: -2.68
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.289
- confidence: 1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:10 | 91.27000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 03:10 | 91.26400000 | -0.007% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91.27 | 94.0138 | 88.9883 | 0.83 | 135.91 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 91.27
- Stop Loss: 94.0138
- Take Profit: 88.9883
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 94.0138 - 91.27 = 2.7438
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 91.27 - 88.9883 = 2.2817
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.2817 / 2.7438 = 0.8316
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 266.1085 | 100 | 2.9156 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 2.7438
Taille de position = 8 / 2.7438 = 2.92
Taille de position USD = 2.92 x 91.27 = 266.51
Donc, tu peux acheter 2.92 avec un stoploss a 94.0138
Avec un position size USD de 266.51$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2.92 x 2.7438 = 8.01
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2.92 x 2.2817 = 6.66
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.66$
Résumé
- Taille de position 2.92
- Taille de position USD 266.51
- Perte potentielle 8.01
- Gain potentiel 6.66
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.8316
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 6.65 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.01 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0.82 $ | 0.31 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1874 % | 6.23 % | 14 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91.27 | 94.0138 | 88.9883 | 0.83 | 135.91 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 91.27
- Stop Loss: 94.0138
- Take Profit: 88.9883
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 94.0138 - 91.27 = 2.7438
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 91.27 - 88.9883 = 2.2817
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.2817 / 2.7438 = 0.8316
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
3.2h)
Initial Risk: -3.006%
(2.7438)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.542% | 0.2R | -0.187% | 0.1R | 2.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.542% | 0.2R | -0.187% | 0.1R | 2.9× | 24 |
| 3.2h ★ | +0.542% | 0.2R | -0.187% | 0.1R | 2.9× | 37 |
| 4h | +1.156% | 0.4R | -0.187% | 0.1R | 6.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.156% | 0.4R | -0.547% | 0.2R | 2.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.156% | 0.4R | -1.071% | 0.4R | 1.1× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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