Short Trade on LIT (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 105.88 LIT at 2.055$ per unit. Take profit: 2.004 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 2.131 (3.68 %)
01 Aug 2026 at 02:10:08
hyperliquid
LIT
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
01 Aug 2026 02:10
→ 08:05
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 2.0554$
Qty 105.8773 LIT
Size 217.6202$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 2.004 (+2.5%)
TP $ 5.44$
SL 2.131 (-3.68%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.68
Status
win
PnL
+0.37%
/ +0.8$
MAE -0.46%
MFE +1.13%
0.3R
expires
01 Aug 08:10
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 55335)
#41 / 41
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/08/2026 02:00
score du 01/08/2026 02:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0903
Quality Score
0.367
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
13.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/08 02:02
01/08 02:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 55335)
#41 / 41
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/08/2026 02:00
score du 01/08/2026 02:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0903
Quality Score
0.367
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#41 / 41
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.68 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#41 / 41
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.68 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.22×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.10×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.59×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
13.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/08 02:02
01/08 02:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 31/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 01/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 01/08 01:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1206
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bear
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.60
Transition risk :
0.40
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.51
Snapshot évalué :
01/08 02:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
01/08/2026 02:00
Score brut
0.3667
Score SMA
0.4499
Rank
#41
/ 41
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0903
Rank Norm SMA
0.1593
Calculé le
01/08/2026 02:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2469 | r1h: -1.087% · r4h: -1.780% · r1d: -7.53% · r3d: -12.60% · ema21_slope: -0.2823% · dist_ema21: -2.963% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2628 | rs_1h: -0.946% · rs_4h: -1.850% · rs_1d: -5.44% · rs_3d: -10.95% · beta_24h: 1.190 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2027 | rvol_20: 0.52× · zscore_50: -0.783 · trend: -11.40% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5758 | ADX: 29.9 (trend) · Chop: 59.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.559% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.678%
(0.0756)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.730% | 0.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.774% | 0.2R | -0.092% | 0.0R | 8.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.129% | 0.3R | -0.457% | 0.1R | 2.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.129% | 0.3R | -0.457% | 0.1R | 2.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.289% | 0.4R | -0.457% | 0.1R | 2.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.844% | 0.5R | -0.545% | 0.2R | 3.4× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 5.25
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | — | bear_high | -6.57% | -0.98 | 31/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
51%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | near 0.1ATR | — | 0.39 | bear_high | -1.71% | -0.73 | 01/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | near -0.2ATR | — | 0.48 | bear_medium | -1.44% | -0.41 | 01/08 01:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | compression | bear_medium |
62%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.42 | range_low | -0.50% | -0.12 | 01/08 01:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 26b | — | 3.512×ATR | p43 | -0.531×ATR | p54 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 3.13×ATR | p45 | -0.741×ATR | p67 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 18b | — | 5.235×ATR | p93 | -0.511×ATR | p40 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 3b | — | 2.428×ATR | p23 | -1.325×ATR | p91 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 2.13095916
- tp_price: 2.004015
- atr: 0.03022366
- expires_at: 2026-08-01T12:10:08+00:00
Details
- rank: 44
- total: 45
- score: 0.2469
- delta_2h: -0.0689
- extension_atr: -1.55
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0903
- confidence: 0.977
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:10 | 2.05540000 | 0% |
| 2 | 03:10 | 2.04960000 | -0.282% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.0554 | 2.131 | 2.004 | 0.68 | 3.0952 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.0554
- Stop Loss: 2.131
- Take Profit: 2.004
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.131 - 2.0554 = 0.0756
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.0554 - 2.004 = 0.0514
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0514 / 0.0756 = 0.6799
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 217.6202 | 100 | 105.8773 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0756
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0756 = 105.82
Taille de position USD = 105.82 x 2.0554 = 217.5
Donc, tu peux acheter 105.82 avec un stoploss a 2.131
Avec un position size USD de 217.5$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 105.82 x 0.0756 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 105.82 x 0.0514 = 5.44
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.44$
Résumé
- Taille de position 105.82
- Taille de position USD 217.5
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 5.44
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6799
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 5.44 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.68 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0.8 $ | 0.37 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4573 % | 12.43 % | 13 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.0554 | 2.131 | 2.004 | 0.68 | 3.0952 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 2.0554
- Stop Loss: 2.131
- Take Profit: 2.004
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 2.131 - 2.0554 = 0.0756
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 2.0554 - 2.004 = 0.0514
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0514 / 0.0756 = 0.6799
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -3.678%
(0.0756)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.730% | 0.2R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +0.774% | 0.2R | -0.092% | 0.0R | 8.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.129% | 0.3R | -0.457% | 0.1R | 2.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.129% | 0.3R | -0.457% | 0.1R | 2.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.289% | 0.4R | -0.457% | 0.1R | 2.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.844% | 0.5R | -0.545% | 0.2R | 3.4× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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