Short Trade on HYPE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 5.95 HYPE at 51.882$ per unit. Take profit: 50.585 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 53.2268 (2.59 %)
01 Aug 2026 at 03:10:05
hyperliquid
HYPE
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
01 Aug 2026 03:10
→ 03:15
· 4 minutes
Position
Entry 51.882$
Qty 5.9486 HYPE
Size 308.6274$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 50.585 (+2.5%)
TP $ 7.72$
SL 53.2268 (-2.59%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.96
Status
win
PnL
+0.12%
/ +0.36$
MAE -1.11%
MFE +0.55%
0.2R
expires
01 Aug 03:20
Exit
rank_decay: short rank=28 <= threshold=31/41
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 55368)
#28 / 41
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/08/2026 03:00
score du 01/08/2026 03:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3130
Quality Score
0.453
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
320.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/08 03:01
01/08 03:01
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 55368)
#28 / 41
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/08/2026 03:00
score du 01/08/2026 03:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3130
Quality Score
0.453
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#28 / 41
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.59 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#28 / 41
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
88 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.59 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 3.07×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
320.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/08 03:01
01/08 03:01
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (+3) 31/07 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 01/08 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 01/08 02:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 1207
range
compression
range_breakdown_risk
| Strategic |
range
— |
compression
0 |
| Operational |
bear
— |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
bear
— |
transition
+1 |
| Micro |
—
— |
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
0.60
Transition risk :
0.40
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
—
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | — |
| 1h | — |
| 4h | — |
| 24h | — |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | — | — |
| 4h | — | — |
| 24h | — | — |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
—
Universe :
—
Regime confidence :
0.51
Snapshot évalué :
01/08 03:00
· env range_with_pressure
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
01/08/2026 03:00
Score brut
0.4527
Score SMA
0.5034
Rank
#28
/ 41
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3130
Rank Norm SMA
0.4960
Calculé le
01/08/2026 03:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3484 | r1h: 0.525% · r4h: -0.576% · r1d: -6.55% · r3d: -6.22% · ema21_slope: -0.2301% · dist_ema21: -1.890% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4146 | rs_1h: 0.477% · rs_4h: -0.570% · rs_1d: -4.74% · rs_3d: -4.10% · beta_24h: 0.998 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1833 | rvol_20: 0.41× · zscore_50: -0.644 · trend: -30.31% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7189 | ADX: 43.0 (trend) · Chop: 55.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.101% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
4h)
Initial Risk: -2.592%
(1.3448)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.546% | 0.2R | -0.266% | 0.1R | 2.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.546% | 0.2R | -1.108% | 0.4R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.546% | 0.2R | -1.108% | 0.4R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.546% | 0.2R | -1.405% | 0.5R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.546% | 0.2R | -1.405% | 0.5R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.63
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
47%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | 0.49 | bear_high | -6.49% | -0.99 | 31/07 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | normal | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 41% | mid | — | — | 0.60 | bear_high | -1.87% | -0.43 | 01/08 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | — | 0.51 | bear_low | -1.33% | -0.38 | 01/08 02:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | bear_medium |
63%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | — | range_low | -0.39% | -0.13 | 01/08 02:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 25b | — | 6.453×ATR | p91 | -1.23×ATR | p88 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 3.507×ATR | p59 | -1.117×ATR | p82 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 17b | — | 6.268×ATR | p98 | -0.685×ATR | p60 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 2.229×ATR | p31 | -0.15×ATR | p16 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 53.22684505
- tp_price: 50.58495
- atr: 0.53793802
- expires_at: 2026-08-01T13:10:05+00:00
Details
- rank: 37
- total: 42
- score: 0.3484
- delta_2h: -0.0275
- extension_atr: -1.66
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.313
- confidence: 0.878
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51.882 | 53.2268 | 50.585 | 0.96 | 76.231 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 51.882
- Stop Loss: 53.2268
- Take Profit: 50.585
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 53.2268 - 51.882 = 1.3448
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 51.882 - 50.585 = 1.297
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.297 / 1.3448 = 0.9645
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 308.6274 | 100 | 5.9486 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 1.3448
Taille de position = 8 / 1.3448 = 5.95
Taille de position USD = 5.95 x 51.882 = 308.7
Donc, tu peux acheter 5.95 avec un stoploss a 53.2268
Avec un position size USD de 308.7$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 5.95 x 1.3448 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 5.95 x 1.297 = 7.72
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 7.72$
Résumé
- Taille de position 5.95
- Taille de position USD 308.7
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 7.72
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.9645
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 7.72 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.59 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 0.36 $ | 0.12 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51.882 | 53.2268 | 50.585 | 0.96 | 76.231 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 51.882
- Stop Loss: 53.2268
- Take Profit: 50.585
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 53.2268 - 51.882 = 1.3448
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 51.882 - 50.585 = 1.297
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.297 / 1.3448 = 0.9645
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
4h)
Initial Risk: -2.592%
(1.3448)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.546% | 0.2R | -0.266% | 0.1R | 2.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.546% | 0.2R | -1.108% | 0.4R | 0.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.546% | 0.2R | -1.108% | 0.4R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.546% | 0.2R | -1.405% | 0.5R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.546% | 0.2R | -1.405% | 0.5R | 0.4× | 144 |
computed 2 months ago
Commentaires
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